Zogby: Obama up by 5

Discussion in 'Congress' started by DavidS, Oct 10, 2008.

  1. Red Dawn
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    Red Dawn Senior Member

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    Polls are 90% reliable within the margin of error.

    Virtually all the mainstream polls on the eve of the election are 90% predictive, of the final margin of victory plus or minus within the margin of error.

    This is basic statistics.

    I don't understand why republicans so often say polling is voodoo. It is what it is. If done correctly by professionals, they are 90% accurate within the margin of error.
     
  2. Red Dawn
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    Red Dawn Senior Member

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    Right, polls are only predictive of trends. Things could change, there could be an october surprise.

    But as of now, McCain is going down, Palin looks like a dummy who's favorability ratings have cratered, and it looks like Grandpa knows he's losing on the issues....
     
  3. The Paperboy
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    The Paperboy Times Square

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    If the election were held today Obama would win. Period.

    Unless there is a HUGE surprise Obama will win if everything remains status quo from here on out.

    However if we start seeing a tightening up of the polls over the next few weeks as undecideds start making up there minds McCain could still put it off.

    McCain needs to hit Obama hard on taxes, government spending and Fannie Mae.

    McCain needs to lay out his economic plan of tax cuts, spending freeze, earmark reform and an all of the above energy plan.
     
  4. jillian
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    jillian Princess Supporting Member

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    Tax cuts for whom? Corporations? Spending freezes on what? Things that matter to people while Haliburton continues to be enriched?

    The problem is that McCain has nothing to say that Bush hasn't done and which had disasterous results.

    It's a quandry for you.
     
  5. Larkinn
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    Larkinn Senior Member

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    Wow...if even you realize that Obama would win today, your side must be desperate.

    As for the undecideds, many polls have Obama near or at 50%. That means that even if 100% of undecideds break for McCain (an almost impossible likelihood), he would still likely lose.

    Without an october surprise, I'd say Obama has this one in the bag.
     
  6. Chris
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    Chris Gold Member

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  7. Isolde
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    Isolde Knucklehead

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    The only real correlation I am seeing is when Obama's poll numbers go up, the DOW goes down.

    Put that in yur leftist blunt and smoke it. :D
     
    Last edited: Oct 10, 2008
  8. Larkinn
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    Larkinn Senior Member

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    Of course they do. Thats because when the DOW goes down, people freak out about admitting a self-admitted "don't know much about the economy" buffoon into the white house.
     
  9. Isolde
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    Isolde Knucklehead

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    And the prospect of ushering in a non-accomplished do-nothing empty-suiter scares the beejeebers out of them. :lol:
     

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