Zogby: Obama up by 5

Discussion in 'Congress' started by DavidS, Oct 10, 2008.

  1. Isolde
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    Isolde Knucklehead

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    I would agree he is probably up by 5 with a high 2% sampling error. I don't buy a landslide victory for either side, but a lot can happen between now and E day.

    Still, I love your excitement when a 1 pount bounce occurs. You must also have a penchant for shiny objects as well.
     
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  2. Diuretic
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    Diuretic Permanently confused

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    This assumes no corruption Rock.

    Given the corruption, yeah, you're right, Obama's screwed.
     
  3. Article 15
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    Article 15 Dr. House slayer

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  4. Isolde
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    Isolde Knucklehead

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    That's rich, but I'll give you a pass since you are a foreigner. :tongue:
     
  5. DavidS
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    DavidS Anti-Tea Party Member

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    Actually he was up by 2 earlier in the week and now he's up by 5. That's a 150% increase.

    I actually wouldn't mind it if McCain kept up the attacks, people are turning against McCain in droves. I predicted Alabama will be a swing state soon, I was wrong. What I didn't predict, was that the race in Georgia would be so tight. McCain is only up by 7.4% in Georgia. In a state that hasn't voted blue since 1976, that's something!
     
  6. Isolde
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    Isolde Knucklehead

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    If polls were reliable predictors, we would see a lot more consistency between them. I come from a state that has always voted Democrat. For the past few years we have been purple, this year I have seen everything from Strong Obama to Leaning Obama to Tossup.

    I am pretty skeptical of the polling process especially when you try to tie it to a campaign strategy and measure the movement in single percentage points. Your math is strange by the way.
     
  7. Red Dawn
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    Red Dawn Senior Member

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    I remember when McCain was up by a couple percent briefly, before people figured out that Poor Sarah was dumb as a log, republicans were citing those polls as signs of impending victory for Grandpa and the Dummy.

    Now the polls aren't accurate enough?

    Why the flip flop?
     
  8. Larkinn
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    Larkinn Senior Member

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    One poll isn't a reliable predictor. The aggregate of polls are.
     
  9. jillian
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    jillian Princess Supporting Member

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    Cause they only like polls when they can try to ram them up the butts of the left. Otherwise, truthiness makes them cranky.

    But I'd say McCain being up by 4 in Ohio 2 weeks ago and narrowly holding on to 1 point is pretty big. And Obama being up by 4 on the Florida seesaw is big too. Could it change? Yep. But it isn't looking good for the Bushbots.
     
  10. DavidS
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    DavidS Anti-Tea Party Member

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