skookerasbil
Platinum Member
And for Mitt Romney.................
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Let's see who's willing to go on record with a prediction about the race to the White House.
If you picked other, please explain. Here we go...
Any takers after last night?
FiveThrityEight has Obama at a 70% chance to win the Electoral Vote, but only at 50% for the popular vote. I find myself agreeing with that as it looks like Romney will win the Red States by a HUGE margin, get some traction in the Blue States, but seems to still just barely lag behind in the swing states.
I'm still predicting an unconventional end to this. The EC count is going to be VERY narrow, like 273-265 Obama.
Nate Silver.. He's a one hit wonder- he blew it in 2010 and he's doing it again this time. He's only gotten one election right- Obama in '08.... Big F'n Deal - everyone saw that train coming...it's nothing magical. You do know that he's only been around for 4 years, right?
Anyway, I am still sticking with 300+ Electoral Votes for Romney and a decisive win in the Popular Vote. Romney has proven to be a viable alternative to Obama. The economy is the ONLY issue that will move voters this cycle. Barring some major screw up by Romney- Obama is out.
Any takers after last night?
FiveThrityEight has Obama at a 70% chance to win the Electoral Vote, but only at 50% for the popular vote. I find myself agreeing with that as it looks like Romney will win the Red States by a HUGE margin, get some traction in the Blue States, but seems to still just barely lag behind in the swing states.
I'm still predicting an unconventional end to this. The EC count is going to be VERY narrow, like 273-265 Obama.
Let's see who's willing to go on record with a prediction about the race to the White House.
If you picked other, please explain. Here we go...
I think Romney wins, for no better reason that Obiedoodle can't crack the 50% threshold in all of the swing states.
Historically, the "undecideds" have gone for the challenger when the incumbent doesn't have a plurality.
Historically, there has never been such a big disparity in likeability as there is between Obama and Romney. That is what will keep Romney from winning in the end; people just don't like him, and yes, when it comes to casting a ballot, that matters.
It will be close, but I see Romney taking the win.
Any takers after last night?
FiveThrityEight has Obama at a 70% chance to win the Electoral Vote, but only at 50% for the popular vote. I find myself agreeing with that as it looks like Romney will win the Red States by a HUGE margin, get some traction in the Blue States, but seems to still just barely lag behind in the swing states.
I'm still predicting an unconventional end to this. The EC count is going to be VERY narrow, like 273-265 Obama.
Whether he wins by 30-50 EVs or just one; Obama will win. It basically comes down to Florida whether he wins by 30 or more. He'll win though.
Any takers after last night?
FiveThrityEight has Obama at a 70% chance to win the Electoral Vote, but only at 50% for the popular vote. I find myself agreeing with that as it looks like Romney will win the Red States by a HUGE margin, get some traction in the Blue States, but seems to still just barely lag behind in the swing states.
I'm still predicting an unconventional end to this. The EC count is going to be VERY narrow, like 273-265 Obama.
Nate Silver.. He's a one hit wonder- he blew it in 2010 and he's doing it again this time. He's only gotten one election right- Obama in '08.... Big F'n Deal - everyone saw that train coming...it's nothing magical. You do know that he's only been around for 4 years, right?
Anyway, I am still sticking with 300+ Electoral Votes for Romney and a decisive win in the Popular Vote. Romney has proven to be a viable alternative to Obama. The economy is the ONLY issue that will move voters this cycle. Barring some major screw up by Romney- Obama is out.
Care to take me up on my bet?
Romney wins, I stop posting.
Obama wins, you stop posting.
Scared?
Any takers after last night?
FiveThrityEight has Obama at a 70% chance to win the Electoral Vote, but only at 50% for the popular vote. I find myself agreeing with that as it looks like Romney will win the Red States by a HUGE margin, get some traction in the Blue States, but seems to still just barely lag behind in the swing states.
I'm still predicting an unconventional end to this. The EC count is going to be VERY narrow, like 273-265 Obama.
Whether he wins by 30-50 EVs or just one; Obama will win. It basically comes down to Florida whether he wins by 30 or more. He'll win though.
do you really think Obama will win Florida with the Castro endorsement?
Nate Silver.. He's a one hit wonder- he blew it in 2010 and he's doing it again this time. He's only gotten one election right- Obama in '08.... Big F'n Deal - everyone saw that train coming...it's nothing magical. You do know that he's only been around for 4 years, right?
Anyway, I am still sticking with 300+ Electoral Votes for Romney and a decisive win in the Popular Vote. Romney has proven to be a viable alternative to Obama. The economy is the ONLY issue that will move voters this cycle. Barring some major screw up by Romney- Obama is out.
Care to take me up on my bet?
Romney wins, I stop posting.
Obama wins, you stop posting.
Scared?
you already have the same bet with me, and I have every confidence that you'll weasel out of it when Obama loses.
Nate Silver.. He's a one hit wonder- he blew it in 2010 and he's doing it again this time. He's only gotten one election right- Obama in '08.... Big F'n Deal - everyone saw that train coming...it's nothing magical. You do know that he's only been around for 4 years, right?
Anyway, I am still sticking with 300+ Electoral Votes for Romney and a decisive win in the Popular Vote. Romney has proven to be a viable alternative to Obama. The economy is the ONLY issue that will move voters this cycle. Barring some major screw up by Romney- Obama is out.
Any takers after last night?
FiveThrityEight has Obama at a 70% chance to win the Electoral Vote, but only at 50% for the popular vote. I find myself agreeing with that as it looks like Romney will win the Red States by a HUGE margin, get some traction in the Blue States, but seems to still just barely lag behind in the swing states.
I'm still predicting an unconventional end to this. The EC count is going to be VERY narrow, like 273-265 Obama.
Nate Silver.. He's a one hit wonder- he blew it in 2010 and he's doing it again this time. He's only gotten one election right- Obama in '08.... Big F'n Deal - everyone saw that train coming...it's nothing magical. You do know that he's only been around for 4 years, right?
Anyway, I am still sticking with 300+ Electoral Votes for Romney and a decisive win in the Popular Vote. Romney has proven to be a viable alternative to Obama. The economy is the ONLY issue that will move voters this cycle. Barring some major screw up by Romney- Obama is out.
The Benghazi Emails have driven the final nails in Obama's coffin. I don't know if this will equate to 300 EC votes or not, but I see no way the liar in chief can possibly be reelected at this point.
Romney will win in a landslide of well over 300.
Scared? Not in the least bit deary.... But I still wont be taking you up on your ridiculous bet (that youve already made with others here...)Any takers after last night?
FiveThrityEight has Obama at a 70% chance to win the Electoral Vote, but only at 50% for the popular vote. I find myself agreeing with that as it looks like Romney will win the Red States by a HUGE margin, get some traction in the Blue States, but seems to still just barely lag behind in the swing states.
I'm still predicting an unconventional end to this. The EC count is going to be VERY narrow, like 273-265 Obama.
Nate Silver.. He's a one hit wonder- he blew it in 2010 and he's doing it again this time. He's only gotten one election right- Obama in '08.... Big F'n Deal - everyone saw that train coming...it's nothing magical. You do know that he's only been around for 4 years, right?
Anyway, I am still sticking with 300+ Electoral Votes for Romney and a decisive win in the Popular Vote. Romney has proven to be a viable alternative to Obama. The economy is the ONLY issue that will move voters this cycle. Barring some major screw up by Romney- Obama is out.
Care to take me up on my bet?
Romney wins, I stop posting.
Obama wins, you stop posting.
Scared?