Your Prediction as of 10/18

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Dr.Traveler, Oct 18, 2012.

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What will the result of the Presidential Elections

Poll closed Nov 6, 2012.
  1. Romney wins over 300+ Electoral Votes

    15.4%
  2. Romney wins between 270 and 299 Electoral Votes

    51.9%
  3. Other: The Race has an unusual end.

    7.7%
  4. Obama wins between 270 and 299 Electoral Votes

    19.2%
  5. Obama wins over 300+ Electoral Votes.

    5.8%
  1. Dr.Traveler
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    Dr.Traveler Mathematician

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    Let's see who's willing to go on record with a prediction about the race to the White House.

    If you picked other, please explain. Here we go...
     
  2. Dr.Traveler
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    Dr.Traveler Mathematician

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    As for my vote: I picked other. I strongly suspect that the race will come down to a margin of maybe 1 state, probably Ohio. After that, I predict that the winner of Ohio will be disputed in court and we'll see a replay of the 2000 election where the SCOTUS gets involved. I just don't see anyone winning by enough of a margin for this to be a clean victory.
     
  3. Mad Scientist
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    Mad Scientist Feels Good! Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    Romney "wins" in a squeaker that keeps Americans divided, which was the plan all along.
     
  4. Oddball
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    Oddball BANNED Supporting Member

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    I think Romney wins, for no better reason that Obiedoodle can't crack the 50% threshold in all of the swing states.

    Historically, the "undecideds" have gone for the challenger when the incumbent doesn't have a plurality.
     
  5. Dr.Traveler
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    Dr.Traveler Mathematician

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    That's probably the best argument there is for a Romney victory right now. I could see that happening.
     
  6. Oddball
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    Oddball BANNED Supporting Member

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    I'll take it one better.

    I just heard on the news that the Bamster is campaigning in New Hampshire today...New Hampshire and it's 4 electoral votes is now requiring a campaign stop?

    I think he's going to get his as kicked and I think he knows it.
     
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  7. Uncensored2008
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    Uncensored2008 Libertarian Radical Supporting Member

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    I week ago I wouldn't have, but I see a Romney win in a moderately close election.
     
  8. CrusaderFrank
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    CrusaderFrank Diamond Member

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    Obama himself said it best, "When I was president..."

    Adios, dickwad!!
     
  9. toomuchtime_
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    toomuchtime_ Gold Member

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    The RCP electoral map already has Romney ahead of Obama 206 to 201 and the trend has been consistent since the first debate. The latest polls have Obama ahead by only one point in Ohio and by only four points in Pennsylvania. Both states are doable for Romney.

    Until recently, Obama had been outspending Romney in the swing states by 2 to 1, but now Romney is spending as much or more than Obama in those states. For all his blathering about his campaign's ground game, Obama won in 2008 only because he outspent McCain by 4 to 1 during the campaign and by 5 to 1 during the last month. Clearly, that's not going to happen this time. A Romney win now has to be considered likely and a big win is not out of the question.
     
  10. Dr.Traveler
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    Any other takers?
     

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