ItsjustmeIthink
Social Capitalist
Barack Obama on track to lose—John Podhoretz - NYPOST.com
Less than four months until the election, the Real Clear Politics average of all national surveys has Obama at 46.2 percent, vs. 45 percent for Mitt Romney.
Thats not a good number for an incumbent.
The issue today is the economy. Not to mention the economy. Also, the economy. In every poll, more than 50 percent say the economy is the No. 1 issue; health care comes in second, somewhere between 10 and 20 percent.
How is Obama faring on economic questions? Terribly. Much worse than his head-to-head numbers. In this weeks New York Times poll, 39 percent of the public rates him favorably on his handling of the economy, vs. 55 percent who disapprove. Its pretty much the same in other polls.
This is even worse for him than it looks because the poll sample itself the registered voters interviewed by the pollsters is tilted in the presidents favor. Of those interviewed, 32 percent said they were Democrats, 25 percent Republicans and 37 percent independents.
That 7-point Democratic advantage was the spread on Election Day 2008 after the collapse in George W. Bushs support, the Republican scandals of 2006, the financial meltdown and the Obama surge. Does anyone seriously believe that, in 2012, Democrats will have anywhere near that advantage?
ProbablyJames Pethokoukis of the American Enterprise Institute notes that the only two presidents to face re-election with the consumer-confidence numbers Obama has to show for himself were Jimmy Carter and the first George Bush both one-termers.
In 2012, what is the incumbent going to do talk about somebody elses tax returns for the next 109 days?
Do you ever post your own thoughts?