When China finally decides to take back Taiwan, what wll the state of the world be?

[shockedcanadian]

Compare ability to project military power around the globe on short notice and get back to me.
China’s Navy is a farce
The prime purpose of their Army is to keep 1.5 billion Chinese in check

This is why China focuses on BRICS and trying to supplant the U.S dollar. Our own arrogance just assumes the good times will continue. Bribery can buy plenty of inluence. France now wants to join BRICS!

 

[Yarddog]

We are the most powerful military in the history of mankind

we are for now because of our technology, but moral is going down and recruitment is down. How many times has Biden addressed this? do Democrats even see this as a problem? or are they more interested in making sure our military is GREEN compliant?
If we stay on our current trajectory its not going to be good. Also each year fewer and fewer Americans are physically capable of even qualifying for the military. Too soft and too fat...

 

[mamooth]

China can't even feed its population without importing food from the west.

We've got 'em by the 'nads.

 

[krichton]

I don't think China will take back Taiwan militarily. Instead, the waning strength of the US military will cause Taiwan to seek a face-saving agreement with China recognizing reunification but preserving a large measure of autonomy. This situation will be different from Hong Kong, where the British lease had expired. Taiwan is too valuable as a technical manufacturer and trade outlet to warrant its occupation by Chinese troops.

What possible agreement can they make with a dictatorship? That's like a zebra making a deal with a tiger, not to eat it.

 

[Kruska]

I don't think China will take back Taiwan militarily. Instead, the waning strength of the US military will cause Taiwan to seek a face-saving agreement with China recognizing reunification but preserving a large measure of autonomy. This situation will be different from Hong Kong, where the British lease had expired. Taiwan is too valuable as a technical manufacturer and trade outlet to warrant its occupation by Chinese troops.

There will be some sort of new agreement between Taiwan and China - more or less the same as now, two systems one country. By 2050 however I am sure that there will be no more "independent" Taiwan military. China just like Singapore might very well even acquit to a multi party setup, being the CPC, KMT and some independent party - the voting result will then be just like in Singapore with 80%+ voting for the previous only party, simply because it offers the better and more reliable perspective.

 

[rightwinger]

China will not invade Taiwan because it is not in their interest to do so.

They see the military challenges Russia is facing in Ukraine
They see the global economic sanctions Russia faces
They see the global political impact
They look at the loss of Taiwan produced semiconductors would have on their economy

 

[Kruska]

China will not invade Taiwan because it is not in their interest to do so.

Correct - why should they make war on their own people?
Only if the US keeps instigating the Taiwan administration to declare independence - China will solve the Taiwan issue once and for all.

They see the military challenges Russia is facing in Ukraine

They couldn't care less - since everyone familiar with the subject knows, that Russia's conventional forces since the 70'ies are a joke.

They see the global economic sanctions Russia faces

There won't be any, because unlike Russia, the world economy needs China and vice versa

They see the global political impact

The global political status quo won't change - it might even push some countries towards China

They look at the loss of Taiwan produced semiconductors would have on their economy

In case of a military takeover - the know-how will also automatically fall under Chinese control - and the vast majority of Taiwan's semiconductor industry is already based in Mainland China.