Weakest solar cycle in 200 years

Billy_Bob

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Sep 4, 2014
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Solar Activity Flatlines: Weakest solar cycle in 200 years

Well the convergence of cooling factors has hit and as NASA reported we have had a -0.56Dec C drop in just two years.. That is over half of the 0.82 deg C of warming that has occurred in the last 170 years.

The ENSO is again going cold and hopes for a warm ocean surface are again fading for the next few years.

And now the SUN is entering Solar Minimum where low solar output will rule for 3-5 years.

External indicators are for continued cooling to continue...

vahrenhol18a.png


The last time the sun was this calm was solar cycle 5 right before entering the Little Ice Age and Dalton events.....
 
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2018 WARMEST YEAR EVER!!!

What...wait until the end of the year? Oh...never mind.
 
2018 WARMEST YEAR EVER!!!

What...wait until the end of the year? Oh...never mind.

I was just going over charts and predictions for the coming summer and fall with colleagues and if our predictions are sound, summer will be short lived, cooler than average and the La Niña pattern is gong to persist.

I presume that many of our alarmist friends are going to have serious heartburn about that cooling trend solidifying this year..
 
....once you add in the heat "trapped" -- like a rat!!-- in the oceans, it's the warmest ever!!!!!!!!!
 
Solar Activity Flatlines: Weakest solar cycle in 200 years

Well the convergence of cooling factors has hit and as NASA reported we have had a -0.56Dec C drop in just two years.. That is over half of the 0.82 deg C of warming that has occurred in the last 170 years.

The ENSO is again going cold and hopes for a warm ocean surface are again fading for the next few years.

And now the SUN is entering Solar Minimum where low solar output will rule for 3-5 years.

External indicators are for continued cooling to continue...

vahrenhol18a.png


The last time the sun was this calm was solar cycle 5 right before entering the Little Ice Age and Dalton events.....
Well, this is due to climate change.


No really, climate on this rock has been changing for over 4 billion years!
 
Well, here we are, in a La Nina, sun getting colder, and what does the weather do? Just stays warm.

UAH_LT_1979_thru_March_2018_v6.jpg


Look at our most recent low, +0.2. That is warmer than all but seven of the years prior to 1997 on satellite record. So, with a cool sun and La Nina, why are we still seeing such warm temperatures?
 
Well, here we are, in a La Nina, sun getting colder, and what does the weather do? Just stays warm.

UAH_LT_1979_thru_March_2018_v6.jpg


Look at our most recent low, +0.2. That is warmer than all but seven of the years prior to 1997 on satellite record. So, with a cool sun and La Nina, why are we still seeing such warm temperatures?
As usual you cant read your own chart...
upload_2018-4-29_10-10-4.png


And this months mark is hovering around +0.04 anomaly. Another 2/10th of a degree C drop making the great pause alive an well at 21 years 5 months...

What are you going to do when we go negative on your chart an there is no step increase seen post El Niño and a step decrease is seen?
 
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Well, here we are, in a La Nina, sun getting colder, and what does the weather do? Just stays warm.

UAH_LT_1979_thru_March_2018_v6.jpg


Look at our most recent low, +0.2. That is warmer than all but seven of the years prior to 1997 on satellite record. So, with a cool sun and La Nina, why are we still seeing such warm temperatures?
As usual you cant read your own chart...
View attachment 190595

And this months mark is hovering around +0.04 anomaly. Another 2/10th of a degree C drop making the great pause alive an well at 21 years 5 months...

What are you going to do when we go negative on your chart an there is no step increase seen post El Niño and a step decrease is seen?

Yeah, the chart he keeps posting also show a .70C drop in just the last 1 1/2 years.

He can't read the chart well as you correctly stated.
 
HadCRUT4%20GlobalMonthlyTempSince1979%20With37monthRunningAverage%20With201505reference.gif


Fig1%281.18.2018%29.png


HadCRUT and GISTEMP. So... are you guys nuts, or what? Temperature are stil climbing and at an accelerating rate. The PAUSE is long gone, sweeties..
 
Solar Activity Flatlines: Weakest solar cycle in 200 years

Well the convergence of cooling factors has hit and as NASA reported we have had a -0.56Dec C drop in just two years.. That is over half of the 0.82 deg C of warming that has occurred in the last 170 years.

The ENSO is again going cold and hopes for a warm ocean surface are again fading for the next few years.

And now the SUN is entering Solar Minimum where low solar output will rule for 3-5 years.

External indicators are for continued cooling to continue...

vahrenhol18a.png


The last time the sun was this calm was solar cycle 5 right before entering the Little Ice Age and Dalton events.....
Interesting. Aren't you that guy that was made a fool of insisting everyone else was wrong about an El Nino and gets your charts from climatedouchebag.net though?
 
Well, here we are, in a La Nina, sun getting colder, and what does the weather do? Just stays warm.

UAH_LT_1979_thru_March_2018_v6.jpg


Look at our most recent low, +0.2. That is warmer than all but seven of the years prior to 1997 on satellite record. So, with a cool sun and La Nina, why are we still seeing such warm temperatures?
As usual you cant read your own chart...
View attachment 190595

And this months mark is hovering around +0.04 anomaly. Another 2/10th of a degree C drop making the great pause alive an well at 21 years 5 months...

What are you going to do when we go negative on your chart an there is no step increase seen post El Niño and a step decrease is seen?

Yeah, the chart he keeps posting also show a .70C drop in just the last 1 1/2 years.

He can't read the chart well as you correctly stated.
UAH_LT_1979_thru_March_2018_v6.jpg

Lordy, lordy, what a pair of complete 0 IQ's. A high of about +0.88 in 2016, a low +0.2 in February, that is a drop of 0.68. A high of about 0.74 in 1998, a low of about -0.28 in 2000, a drop of 1.02. That is significantly more that we have experienced since the high of 2016. In fact, it is 0.34 larger than that drop.
 
Well, here we are, in a La Nina, sun getting colder, and what does the weather do? Just stays warm.

UAH_LT_1979_thru_March_2018_v6.jpg


Look at our most recent low, +0.2. That is warmer than all but seven of the years prior to 1997 on satellite record. So, with a cool sun and La Nina, why are we still seeing such warm temperatures?
As usual you cant read your own chart...
View attachment 190595

And this months mark is hovering around +0.04 anomaly. Another 2/10th of a degree C drop making the great pause alive an well at 21 years 5 months...

What are you going to do when we go negative on your chart an there is no step increase seen post El Niño and a step decrease is seen?

It's a longer recovery from a huge El Nino.. Not a climate change yet. But we're definitely headed back into the range of "the Pause". Which IS (as GoldieRocks says) significantly above the 1st 20 years of satellite observation. But NO alarming trend (disregarding El Nino events) since 2000 or so..
 

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