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Right now.
Low Total Solar Irradiance.
Low Sunpspots.
El Nino.
A 40% increase in CO2, a 150% increase in CH4, and a bunch of really nasty industrial GHGs.
So far this year, record temperatures globally. Looks like the latter two factors cancelled out the effect of the sun.
Now, let us look at the prior two years, 2008, and 2007.
Low TSI.
Low Sunspot activity.
Strong and persistant La Nina.
40% increase in CO2. 150% increase in CH4. And some really nasty industrial GHGs.
So three out of four factors say that we should have had a couple of really cold years. But both years rank among the ten warmest on record.
So what happened PP? Why did not the solar effect overpower the GHG effect?
When the frauds Christy and Spencer jimmied the Troposphere numbers by using the opposite sign to "correct" for diurnal satellite drift, the deniers were claiming UAH satellite Troposphere data was the ONLY accurate data. Now that the correct sign is being used and the satellite data matches exactly the surface data, Troposphere data is suddenly suspect even though there are no heat islands in satellites.He's also using numbers that have deliberately excluded stations at higher altitudes, while including measurements taken from obvious heat islands.....That's how the frauds have jimmied the numbers.He is not discussing ground temperatures and you know it, he is discussing temperatures higher then that. They can not keep the warming trend going with ground readings so are resorting to this bullshit.
Still, the troposphere is where it is.
So how do you explain the nearly exact correlation between surface data and satellite data?
Baloney, satellites don't pick and choose what they measure.When the frauds Christy and Spencer jimmied the Troposphere numbers by using the opposite sign to "correct" for diurnal satellite drift, the deniers were claiming UAH satellite Troposphere data was the ONLY accurate data. Now that the correct sign is being used and the satellite data matches exactly the surface data, Troposphere data is suddenly suspect even though there are no heat islands in satellites.He's also using numbers that have deliberately excluded stations at higher altitudes, while including measurements taken from obvious heat islands.....That's how the frauds have jimmied the numbers.
Still, the troposphere is where it is.
So how do you explain the nearly exact correlation between surface data and satellite data?
Sorry, only reporting the "warm" places does not make it either Global or warming
AOL Search
The global-average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly soared to +0.72 deg. C in
January, 2010. This is the warmest January in the 32-year satellite-based data record.
The tropics and Northern and Southern Hemispheres were all well above normal, especially the tropics where El Nino conditions persist. Note the global-average warmth is approaching the warmth reached during the 1997-98 El Nino, which peaked in February of 1998.
This record warmth will seem strange to those who have experienced an unusually cold winter. While I have not checked into this, my first guess is that the atmospheric general circulation this winter has become unusually land-locked, allowing cold air masses to intensify over the major Northern Hemispheric land masses more than usual. Note this ALSO means that not as much cold air is flowing over and cooling the ocean surface compared to normal. Nevertheless, we will double check our calculations to make sure we have not make some sort of Y2.01K error (insert smiley). I will also check the AMSR-E sea surface temperatures, which have also been running unusually warm.
A very warm January, for sure.
BBC - Paul Hudson's Blog: January 2010 warmest on record. Yes really!3. At 11:54am on 05 Feb 2010, PingoSan wrote:
What seems to have happened is that due to the Arctic Oscillation turning negative, a lot of the major population centres in the NH turned cold at the same time. The cold air was shoved south, making the Arctic much warmer than normal, sure... but two factors to consider.
i) The cold in the Arctic gets quickly replenished at this time of the year. So cold air is shoved south, the Arctic is temporarily warmer..and then that warmth is dissipated/radiated back out to space quite easily at this time of year from the Arctic. Consider equator belts expanding north into the Northern Hemisphere, the central equator belt might cool temporarily as the warmth is dissipated out, but the warmth is quickly replenished thanks to the strong incoming solar radiation. This would be a net global warming effect - so despite the apparent paradox, a warm Arctic at this time of year is actually a strong cooling effect as the heat is being radiated away faster than it can be replenished.
ii) Snowcover. Colder air spilling out of the Arctic leads to snow in lower latititudes, thus increasing the earth's albedo (brightness/reflectivity). This reflects some of the solar radiation back out to space, thus leading to a net cooling effect. But what about the warmer Arctic? Well the Arctic might be a couple of degrees warmer, but it is still way sub-zero at this time of year, so snowcover remains there. An expansion of snowcover thus leads to a net higher reflection of incoming sunlight and a general global cooling.
I expect in a year's time i) and ii) will combine to lead to further global cooling on top of what we have seen so far this decade. Climate is never straightforward. The oceans have just belched out a load of heat and it will not be replaced quickly during this solar slumber.
The current warmth can be seen as paralleling the fiscal stimulus - sure it makes things look warmer/better now, but at a cost in the future. The heat is dissipating...
This "cooling"Something to ponder:
The following are just the words of some guy commenting about a blogger's blog relative to this warmest January temperature anomaly.
BBC - Paul Hudson's Blog: January 2010 warmest on record. Yes really!3. At 11:54am on 05 Feb 2010, PingoSan wrote:
What seems to have happened is that due to the Arctic Oscillation turning negative, a lot of the major population centres in the NH turned cold at the same time. The cold air was shoved south, making the Arctic much warmer than normal, sure... but two factors to consider.
i) The cold in the Arctic gets quickly replenished at this time of the year. So cold air is shoved south, the Arctic is temporarily warmer..and then that warmth is dissipated/radiated back out to space quite easily at this time of year from the Arctic. Consider equator belts expanding north into the Northern Hemisphere, the central equator belt might cool temporarily as the warmth is dissipated out, but the warmth is quickly replenished thanks to the strong incoming solar radiation. This would be a net global warming effect - so despite the apparent paradox, a warm Arctic at this time of year is actually a strong cooling effect as the heat is being radiated away faster than it can be replenished.
ii) Snowcover. Colder air spilling out of the Arctic leads to snow in lower latititudes, thus increasing the earth's albedo (brightness/reflectivity). This reflects some of the solar radiation back out to space, thus leading to a net cooling effect. But what about the warmer Arctic? Well the Arctic might be a couple of degrees warmer, but it is still way sub-zero at this time of year, so snowcover remains there. An expansion of snowcover thus leads to a net higher reflection of incoming sunlight and a general global cooling.
I expect in a year's time i) and ii) will combine to lead to further global cooling on top of what we have seen so far this decade. Climate is never straightforward. The oceans have just belched out a load of heat and it will not be replaced quickly during this solar slumber.
The current warmth can be seen as paralleling the fiscal stimulus - sure it makes things look warmer/better now, but at a cost in the future. The heat is dissipating...
I can vouch for no part of that. But it will be interesting to see how next year pans out.
decade was the WARMEST in the history of direct instrument measurement. What a bunch of morons!AOL Search
The global-average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly soared to +0.72 deg. C in
January, 2010. This is the warmest January in the 32-year satellite-based data record.
The tropics and Northern and Southern Hemispheres were all well above normal, especially the tropics where El Nino conditions persist. Note the global-average warmth is approaching the warmth reached during the 1997-98 El Nino, which peaked in February of 1998.
This record warmth will seem strange to those who have experienced an unusually cold winter. While I have not checked into this, my first guess is that the atmospheric general circulation this winter has become unusually land-locked, allowing cold air masses to intensify over the major Northern Hemispheric land masses more than usual. Note this ALSO means that not as much cold air is flowing over and cooling the ocean surface compared to normal. Nevertheless, we will double check our calculations to make sure we have not make some sort of Y2.01K error (insert smiley). I will also check the AMSR-E sea surface temperatures, which have also been running unusually warm.
A very warm January, for sure.
This "cooling"Something to ponder:
The following are just the words of some guy commenting about a blogger's blog relative to this warmest January temperature anomaly.
BBC - Paul Hudson's Blog: January 2010 warmest on record. Yes really!3. At 11:54am on 05 Feb 2010, PingoSan wrote:
What seems to have happened is that due to the Arctic Oscillation turning negative, a lot of the major population centres in the NH turned cold at the same time. The cold air was shoved south, making the Arctic much warmer than normal, sure... but two factors to consider.
i) The cold in the Arctic gets quickly replenished at this time of the year. So cold air is shoved south, the Arctic is temporarily warmer..and then that warmth is dissipated/radiated back out to space quite easily at this time of year from the Arctic. Consider equator belts expanding north into the Northern Hemisphere, the central equator belt might cool temporarily as the warmth is dissipated out, but the warmth is quickly replenished thanks to the strong incoming solar radiation. This would be a net global warming effect - so despite the apparent paradox, a warm Arctic at this time of year is actually a strong cooling effect as the heat is being radiated away faster than it can be replenished.
ii) Snowcover. Colder air spilling out of the Arctic leads to snow in lower latititudes, thus increasing the earth's albedo (brightness/reflectivity). This reflects some of the solar radiation back out to space, thus leading to a net cooling effect. But what about the warmer Arctic? Well the Arctic might be a couple of degrees warmer, but it is still way sub-zero at this time of year, so snowcover remains there. An expansion of snowcover thus leads to a net higher reflection of incoming sunlight and a general global cooling.
I expect in a year's time i) and ii) will combine to lead to further global cooling on top of what we have seen so far this decade. Climate is never straightforward. The oceans have just belched out a load of heat and it will not be replaced quickly during this solar slumber.
The current warmth can be seen as paralleling the fiscal stimulus - sure it makes things look warmer/better now, but at a cost in the future. The heat is dissipating...
I can vouch for no part of that. But it will be interesting to see how next year pans out.
I do believe in spooks...I do believe in spooks...Idoidoidoido believe in spooks!
We had the worst winter last year, getting 30 more inches than what DC is at now.AOL Search
The global-average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly soared to +0.72 deg. C in
January, 2010. This is the warmest January in the 32-year satellite-based data record.
The tropics and Northern and Southern Hemispheres were all well above normal, especially the tropics where El Nino conditions persist. Note the global-average warmth is approaching the warmth reached during the 1997-98 El Nino, which peaked in February of 1998.
This record warmth will seem strange to those who have experienced an unusually cold winter. While I have not checked into this, my first guess is that the atmospheric general circulation this winter has become unusually land-locked, allowing cold air masses to intensify over the major Northern Hemispheric land masses more than usual. Note this ALSO means that not as much cold air is flowing over and cooling the ocean surface compared to normal. Nevertheless, we will double check our calculations to make sure we have not make some sort of Y2.01K error (insert smiley). I will also check the AMSR-E sea surface temperatures, which have also been running unusually warm.
A very warm January, for sure.
I knew they should have kept with the term climate change. Calling it global warming gives the kooks the excuse they need to carry on their denial....
I knew they should have kept with the term climate change. Calling it global warming gives the kooks the excuse they need to carry on their denial....
we are warming. the question is: is it man-made or not?
I knew they should have kept with the term climate change. Calling it global warming gives the kooks the excuse they need to carry on their denial....
we are warming. the question is: is it man-made or not?
Yeah, well tell that to the likes of Ollie et al, who never miss a moment with regard to how cold they are....
man made global warming
We think so highly of ourselves don't we
It has nothing to do with the sun, i swear.
