TRUMP in trouble in Pennsylvania! Won't win it in 2020!

I’m going to do my part, like I did the last go around. Love the YouTube montage of Trump can’t win, starring the dumbest, narcissistic, egomaniacal, douche bags, looking like what they are. Dims have no one, and no plans for improvement. The blue puddle.


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Trump is so weak, it won't matter who the Democrats nominate. Trump's victory in 2016 was based on VERY fragile wins in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The Democrats left the back door open. They won't make that mistake again. Without those states, Trump is toast. That's just the electoral math.
 
I’m going to do my part, like I did the last go around. Love the YouTube montage of Trump can’t win, starring the dumbest, narcissistic, egomaniacal, douche bags, looking like what they are. Dims have no one, and no plans for improvement. The blue puddle.


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Trump is so weak, it won't matter who the Democrats nominate. Trump's victory in 2016 was based on VERY fragile wins in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The Democrats left the back door open. They won't make that mistake again. Without those states, Trump is toast. That's just the electoral math.

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Yep, that's right, the 2018 election spells trouble for Trump in Pennsylvania based on the voting results of votes for the Democrats VS. votes for the Republican.

Here is the break down of votes for Governor, Senator, and the Representatives Republican VS. Democrat.

Governor: Winner Tom Wolf (D)
Democrat votes: 2,852,539 - 57.6% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,022,348 - 40.8% of the vote


Senator: Winner Bob Casey (D)
Democrats votes: 2,747,345 - 55.6% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,116,110 - 42.8% of the vote

Representatives: 9 (D) - 9 (R)
Democrat votes: 2,677,130 - 55.1% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,183,180 - 44.9% of the vote

Despite the split in the wins for Representatives, 9 to 9, overall the Democrats got nearly a half a million more votes than Republicans.


Here is what the 2016 Presidential results were:
Trump: 2,970,733 - 48.17% of the vote
Clinton: 2,926,441 - 47.46%

Trump won Pennsylvania by a mere 44,292 votes.

Based on the results of the voting in 2018, Trump will lose Pennsylvania by between 5 and 10 percentage points. The Democrat challenger will get at least 50%, and Trump won't get above 45%.

With Pennsylvania going Blue in 2020, so will Wisconsin and Michigan since the results in those states were even tighter wins for Trump in 2016. That means the BLUE WALL of 18 democratic states has been restored after the tiny breach in 2016. Those 18 states have 248 ELECTORAL Votes. Democrats will then easily get to 270 with Virginia(13 EVs) and Colorado(9 EVs) which they both beat Trump in last time by 5 percentage points each.

Trump is done! A one term President. He will lose Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan and will not pick up any other states that he lost last time to make up for losing those three states in 2020.


The Dems have two years to screw up. It won't take them nearly that long to prove that they are incompetent boobs!

Trump helped create these results in Pennsylvania after just two years. Imagine what two more years of Trump will mean for the voting margins in Pennsylvania.

Trump didn't create any of those votes in Pennsylvania. Does lying to yourself make it easier to look at yourself in the mirror?

It sure doesn't help anyone else!
 
Trump won PA because of strong democrat support. Casey is well liked by both parties and Corbett was so bad Wolf got in easily plus Wagner made the gaffe about taxing retirements. I expect Trump to win here again easily....all the democrat Trump voters I know still support him 100%

Trump barley won Pennsylvania. He only won by 44,000 votes, a tiny margin with 6 million people voting. He won because too many Democrats stayed home and didn't vote, not because he won them over. The Clinton campaign neglected Pennsylvania with their money and time, allowing Trump to get a tiny victory. It won't happen again. Trumps approval number are BELOW 45% in the state, and the voting results in the recent election which was about TRUMP shows that its solid Blue again.

You can't be re-elected in Pennsylvania with an approval rating below 45% which is where Trump is.

The Clintons did not neglect the state. Bill was around here several times as was Hillary. Philadelphia and Pittsburgh got out massive vote but the overwhelming rural vote was too much.
 
I’m going to do my part, like I did the last go around. Love the YouTube montage of Trump can’t win, starring the dumbest, narcissistic, egomaniacal, douche bags, looking like what they are. Dims have no one, and no plans for improvement. The blue puddle.


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Trump is so weak, it won't matter who the Democrats nominate. Trump's victory in 2016 was based on VERY fragile wins in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The Democrats left the back door open. They won't make that mistake again. Without those states, Trump is toast. That's just the electoral math.

Trump can lose all three of those states and still win by picking up just one other state. Your math sucks!

Then again, so do most of your posts!
 
President Trump remains enormously popular in rural Pennsylvania. This can't not be understated. The key to flipping the Commonwealth rests in the suburbs and voter turnout in urban areas.

Most voters don't live in Rural PA. Look at the votes above. The Republicans were not able to get to 45% in ANY of the contest. Its over. It was a fluke that Trump won last time. The Democrats are not going to be wasting money in Florida or Arizona in 2020. They will move it into these Blue wall states to insure a strong victory.

Trump is not going to take Colorado which just elected a Gay governor. Colorado gets more Blue by the day. So does Virginia. Sorry Trump fans, but your man will be leaving the White House in 2 years.

I think you're getting way ahead of yourself. I agree that the Democrats must win the glorious and shining Commonwealth of Pennsylvania if they wish to retake the White House.

You would be wrong also. Have a nice day!
 
Given the certainty that the Democrats will pick the most un-electable candidate in 2020, Trump is a sure win. The very fact that all those states that were won by Obama but went to Trump, is a sure indication that many Democrats voted Republican in 2016. This will become pronounced after people realize how they are benefiting from Trump's policies.


Actually its not. Mitt Romney got more votes in Wisconsin in 2012 than Trump got in Wisconsin in 2016. Yet, Mitt Romney got defeated by Obama by a large margin. What does that tell you. Trump actually did worse than Romney but still won because Democrats stayed home and did not vote. The Democrats did not campaign in Wisconsin. Hillary Clinton never went there. As a result, voter turnout among Democrats dropped.

Trump did not win Wisconsin, The Democrats lost it. The story in Pennsylvania and Michigan is the same. Trump won these states by TINY margins, because the Democrats neglected them thinking they were safe. That won't happen in 2020. The Blue Wall will remain solid. It may only be 18 states, but they have 248 electoral votes. Just two more states, Virginia and Colorado puts Democrats over the top at 270 for the win. Just 20 states for the victory! Won't matter what happens in the other 30 states because their collective Electoral Votes are not enough to get to 270.

When you say that Romney got more votes in Wisconsin in 2012 that Trump did in 2016, you don't tell how few the number was.

Romney got 1,408,746 votes in Wisconsin in 2012, Trump received 1,405,284 there in 2016. That's only a little over 3,000 votes.

Actually, Hillary got fewer votes in Wisconsin than Romney did in 2012, only 1,382,536.
 
It's two years away, good gawd we just got subjected to weeks of this crap give it a rest

They're gearing up early, ain't they? The Dumbocrats haven't even begun to pick a candidate, nor do they have anything even remotely resembling a platform, except getting rid of Trump.

Even the midterms show that: The Republicans lost fewer seats than Obama did in 2010. He got a hell of a shellacking.

True, but Obama still was re-elected in 2012 despite what happened in 2010. Why? When it comes to Presidential Elections, its the states electoral votes that matter, and the history of the Democrats BLUE WALL since 1992 gives them an enormous starting advantage.

Plus Trumps approval ratings are in the tank in terms of having a chance of being re-elected.

How do you figure Trump's approval rating is "in the tank"? His rating is nearly the same as Reagan's was at the same point in time, and only slightly below Obama's, as per Gallup:

Presidential Approval Ratings -- Donald Trump

And his Presidential approval rating is actually two points higher than Nobama's, at the same point in time, as per Rasmussen:

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports®

You fail to take into account that Trump really doesn't give a rat's ass what anyone thinks. He is going to push ahead with what he has to do, no matter what. He is unstoppable.
 
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President Trump remains enormously popular in rural Pennsylvania. This can't not be understated. The key to flipping the Commonwealth rests in the suburbs and voter turnout in urban areas.

Most voters don't live in Rural PA. Look at the votes above. The Republicans were not able to get to 45% in ANY of the contest. Its over. It was a fluke that Trump won last time. The Democrats are not going to be wasting money in Florida or Arizona in 2020. They will move it into these Blue wall states to insure a strong victory.

Trump is not going to take Colorado which just elected a Gay governor. Colorado gets more Blue by the day. So does Virginia. Sorry Trump fans, but your man will be leaving the White House in 2 years.

I think you're getting way ahead of yourself. I agree that the Democrats must win the glorious and shining Commonwealth of Pennsylvania if they wish to retake the White House.

You would be wrong also. Have a nice day!

Yeah, PA isn't required for them to win, but certainly makes the path much easier. Perhaps I should’ve worded that better. lol
 
Yep, that's right, the 2018 election spells trouble for Trump in Pennsylvania based on the voting results of votes for the Democrats VS. votes for the Republican.

Here is the break down of votes for Governor, Senator, and the Representatives Republican VS. Democrat.

Governor: Winner Tom Wolf (D)
Democrat votes: 2,852,539 - 57.6% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,022,348 - 40.8% of the vote


Senator: Winner Bob Casey (D)
Democrats votes: 2,747,345 - 55.6% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,116,110 - 42.8% of the vote

Representatives: 9 (D) - 9 (R)
Democrat votes: 2,677,130 - 55.1% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,183,180 - 44.9% of the vote

Despite the split in the wins for Representatives, 9 to 9, overall the Democrats got nearly a half a million more votes than Republicans.


Here is what the 2016 Presidential results were:
Trump: 2,970,733 - 48.17% of the vote
Clinton: 2,926,441 - 47.46%

Trump won Pennsylvania by a mere 44,292 votes.

Based on the results of the voting in 2018, Trump will lose Pennsylvania by between 5 and 10 percentage points. The Democrat challenger will get at least 50%, and Trump won't get above 45%.

With Pennsylvania going Blue in 2020, so will Wisconsin and Michigan since the results in those states were even tighter wins for Trump in 2016. That means the BLUE WALL of 18 democratic states has been restored after the tiny breach in 2016. Those 18 states have 248 ELECTORAL Votes. Democrats will then easily get to 270 with Virginia(13 EVs) and Colorado(9 EVs) which they both beat Trump in last time by 5 percentage points each.

Trump is done! A one term President. He will lose Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan and will not pick up any other states that he lost last time to make up for losing those three states in 2020.


The Dems have two years to screw up. It won't take them nearly that long to prove that they are incompetent boobs!

Trump helped create these results in Pennsylvania after just two years. Imagine what two more years of Trump will mean for the voting margins in Pennsylvania.

Trump didn't create any of those votes in Pennsylvania. Does lying to yourself make it easier to look at yourself in the mirror?

It sure doesn't help anyone else!

We'll return to this and see what you say in 2020 when Trump loses Pennsylvania to the Democratic candidate. The stats here show how 2020 election is likely to play out in Pennsylvania.
 
Trump won PA because of strong democrat support. Casey is well liked by both parties and Corbett was so bad Wolf got in easily plus Wagner made the gaffe about taxing retirements. I expect Trump to win here again easily....all the democrat Trump voters I know still support him 100%

Trump barley won Pennsylvania. He only won by 44,000 votes, a tiny margin with 6 million people voting. He won because too many Democrats stayed home and didn't vote, not because he won them over. The Clinton campaign neglected Pennsylvania with their money and time, allowing Trump to get a tiny victory. It won't happen again. Trumps approval number are BELOW 45% in the state, and the voting results in the recent election which was about TRUMP shows that its solid Blue again.

You can't be re-elected in Pennsylvania with an approval rating below 45% which is where Trump is.

The Clintons did not neglect the state. Bill was around here several times as was Hillary. Philadelphia and Pittsburgh got out massive vote but the overwhelming rural vote was too much.

There was nothing overwhelming about Trumps victory in Pennsylvania in 2016. He only won by 44,000 votes which is tiny in a state the size of Pennsylvania. The Democrats wasted resources in Florida and Arizona that could have been used to get more Democrats to the polls.

Obama received 3,276,363 votes in Pennsylvania in 2008.
Obama received 2,990,274 votes in Pennsylvania in 2012.

Trumps total votes in Pennsylvania in 2016 were 2,970,733. That's less votes than Obama received in 2008 or 2012 in Pennsylvania. That proves the issue was the failure of voter turnout on the Democrat side, not some revolt or switch as Trump or others claim.
 
I’m going to do my part, like I did the last go around. Love the YouTube montage of Trump can’t win, starring the dumbest, narcissistic, egomaniacal, douche bags, looking like what they are. Dims have no one, and no plans for improvement. The blue puddle.


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Trump is so weak, it won't matter who the Democrats nominate. Trump's victory in 2016 was based on VERY fragile wins in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The Democrats left the back door open. They won't make that mistake again. Without those states, Trump is toast. That's just the electoral math.

Trump can lose all three of those states and still win by picking up just one other state. Your math sucks!

Then again, so do most of your posts!

But that's the thing, there are no other states that Trump can pick up than those he won in 2016. If you think otherwise, name the state and I'll explain why Trump can't win there in 2020.
 
Yep, that's right, the 2018 election spells trouble for Trump in Pennsylvania based on the voting results of votes for the Democrats VS. votes for the Republican.

Here is the break down of votes for Governor, Senator, and the Representatives Republican VS. Democrat.

Governor: Winner Tom Wolf (D)
Democrat votes: 2,852,539 - 57.6% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,022,348 - 40.8% of the vote


Senator: Winner Bob Casey (D)
Democrats votes: 2,747,345 - 55.6% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,116,110 - 42.8% of the vote

Representatives: 9 (D) - 9 (R)
Democrat votes: 2,677,130 - 55.1% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,183,180 - 44.9% of the vote

Despite the split in the wins for Representatives, 9 to 9, overall the Democrats got nearly a half a million more votes than Republicans.


Here is what the 2016 Presidential results were:
Trump: 2,970,733 - 48.17% of the vote
Clinton: 2,926,441 - 47.46%

Trump won Pennsylvania by a mere 44,292 votes.

Based on the results of the voting in 2018, Trump will lose Pennsylvania by between 5 and 10 percentage points. The Democrat challenger will get at least 50%, and Trump won't get above 45%.

With Pennsylvania going Blue in 2020, so will Wisconsin and Michigan since the results in those states were even tighter wins for Trump in 2016. That means the BLUE WALL of 18 democratic states has been restored after the tiny breach in 2016. Those 18 states have 248 ELECTORAL Votes. Democrats will then easily get to 270 with Virginia(13 EVs) and Colorado(9 EVs) which they both beat Trump in last time by 5 percentage points each.

Trump is done! A one term President. He will lose Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan and will not pick up any other states that he lost last time to make up for losing those three states in 2020.


The Dems have two years to screw up. It won't take them nearly that long to prove that they are incompetent boobs!

Trump helped create these results in Pennsylvania after just two years. Imagine what two more years of Trump will mean for the voting margins in Pennsylvania.

Trump didn't create any of those votes in Pennsylvania. Does lying to yourself make it easier to look at yourself in the mirror?

It sure doesn't help anyone else!

We'll return to this and see what you say in 2020 when Trump loses Pennsylvania to the Democratic candidate. The stats here show how 2020 election is likely to play out in Pennsylvania.

So tell us, oh windbag of rock music fandom, which major Republican seat was lost in PA on Tuesday?
 
I’m going to do my part, like I did the last go around. Love the YouTube montage of Trump can’t win, starring the dumbest, narcissistic, egomaniacal, douche bags, looking like what they are. Dims have no one, and no plans for improvement. The blue puddle.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Trump is so weak, it won't matter who the Democrats nominate. Trump's victory in 2016 was based on VERY fragile wins in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The Democrats left the back door open. They won't make that mistake again. Without those states, Trump is toast. That's just the electoral math.

Trump can lose all three of those states and still win by picking up just one other state. Your math sucks!

Then again, so do most of your posts!

But that's the thing, there are no other states that Trump can pick up than those he won in 2016. If you think otherwise, name the state and I'll explain why Trump can't win there in 2020.

No, you won't, simply because you could not explain how to swim to a fish!
 
Given the certainty that the Democrats will pick the most un-electable candidate in 2020, Trump is a sure win. The very fact that all those states that were won by Obama but went to Trump, is a sure indication that many Democrats voted Republican in 2016. This will become pronounced after people realize how they are benefiting from Trump's policies.


Actually its not. Mitt Romney got more votes in Wisconsin in 2012 than Trump got in Wisconsin in 2016. Yet, Mitt Romney got defeated by Obama by a large margin. What does that tell you. Trump actually did worse than Romney but still won because Democrats stayed home and did not vote. The Democrats did not campaign in Wisconsin. Hillary Clinton never went there. As a result, voter turnout among Democrats dropped.

Trump did not win Wisconsin, The Democrats lost it. The story in Pennsylvania and Michigan is the same. Trump won these states by TINY margins, because the Democrats neglected them thinking they were safe. That won't happen in 2020. The Blue Wall will remain solid. It may only be 18 states, but they have 248 electoral votes. Just two more states, Virginia and Colorado puts Democrats over the top at 270 for the win. Just 20 states for the victory! Won't matter what happens in the other 30 states because their collective Electoral Votes are not enough to get to 270.

When you say that Romney got more votes in Wisconsin in 2012 that Trump did in 2016, you don't tell how few the number was.

Romney got 1,408,746 votes in Wisconsin in 2012, Trump received 1,405,284 there in 2016. That's only a little over 3,000 votes.

Actually, Hillary got fewer votes in Wisconsin than Romney did in 2012, only 1,382,536.

That's not the point. The Point is that Romney's vote total in Wisconsin in 2012 was so low that he lost by 7 percentage points to Obama. Whether Trump received 3,000 less votes or 3,000 more votes than Romney, that is generally not enough to win the state. Hillary did not visit Wisconsin at all, not even once. The Democrats spent money in Arizona and Florida that should have been spent in Wisconsin. The Democratic campaign took Wisconsin for granted. When you take a state for granted and don't spend the money necessary to get the vote out, your vote count drops. The Democrats lost Wisconsin Not because Trump increased Republican vote levels, but because Democrat vote levels dropped because money and time was not spent there.
 
It's two years away, good gawd we just got subjected to weeks of this crap give it a rest

They're gearing up early, ain't they? The Dumbocrats haven't even begun to pick a candidate, nor do they have anything even remotely resembling a platform, except getting rid of Trump.

Even the midterms show that: The Republicans lost fewer seats than Obama did in 2010. He got a hell of a shellacking.

True, but Obama still was re-elected in 2012 despite what happened in 2010. Why? When it comes to Presidential Elections, its the states electoral votes that matter, and the history of the Democrats BLUE WALL since 1992 gives them an enormous starting advantage.

Plus Trumps approval ratings are in the tank in terms of having a chance of being re-elected.

How do you figure Trump's approval rating is "in the tank"? His rating is nearly the same as Reagan's was at the same point in time, and only slightly below Obama's, as per Gallup:

Presidential Approval Ratings -- Donald Trump

And his Presidential approval rating is actually two points higher than Nobama's, at the same point in time, as per Rasmussen:

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports®

You fail to take into account that Trump really doesn't give a rat's ass what anyone thinks. He is going to push ahead with what he has to do, no matter what. He is unstoppable.

The gallup poll has been measuring Presidential approval ratings since the 1940s, longer than any other company or organization involved in polling. Here is how the Presidents rank:

OVERALL AVERAGE APPROVAL RATING WHILE PRESIDENT:

John F. Kennedy - 70%
Dwight D. Eisenhower - 65%
George H.W. Bush - 61%
Lyndon B. Johnson - 55%
Bill Clinton - 55%
Ronald Reagan - 53%
George W. Bush - 49%
Richard Nixon - 49%
Barack Obama - 48%
Gerald Ford - 47%
Jimmy Carter - 46%
Harry S. Truman - 45%
Donald J. Trump - 40%


The only reason's Reagans approval ratings at this time in his Presidency are comparable is because in November 1982, the United States was in its worst recession since the Great Depression and the unemployment for November 1982 was 10.8% the highest since World War II.

Right now Trump has a 3.7% unemployment level with 40% job approval in Gallup/ November 2018

In November 1982, Reagan had 10.8% unemployment level with a 43% job approval rating in Gallup/ November 1982
 
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He'll be packing his bags to leave the White House in early January 2021.
 

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