TRUMP in trouble in Pennsylvania! Won't win it in 2020!

It will be interesting to see the first polls of a Biden vs Trump match up in Pennsylvania. I have no doubt Biden will be ahead of Trump. Biden is already beating Trump in Michigan by 13 points in the latest poll there.
Biden won’t even win the nomination.

Well, the real clear politics AVERAGE of all polls has Biden in the lead of the pack. This is how things stand in the race for the Democratic nomination currently:

BIDEN: 28.8%8

SANDERS: 19.8%

HARRIS: 11.5%

WARREN: 7%

BOOKER: 5.5%

O'Rourke: 5.5%

Klobuchar: 3.3%

Bloomberg: 2.5%

Brown: 1.7%

Gabbard: 1%

Castro: .8%

Gillibrand: .8%

Biden has not even declared yet and he is crushing it.
 
Crooked Hillary predicted she was going to win Penn along with every other polling service.

How did that work out for her?

The biggest liability these stupid Democrats have are the bat shit crazy Left candidates. Come General Election they will have trouble getting much over 40% with idiots like Commie Bernie.

Right now Joe Biden is heading for a landslide over Donald Trump based on current polling. Hell, Biden is only 1 point behind Trump in the state of Texas. Texas has not gone Democrat since 1976 in a Presidential race, yet it looks like it could go Blue in 2020.
 
Yep, that's right, the 2018 election spells trouble for Trump in Pennsylvania based on the voting results of votes for the Democrats VS. votes for the Republican.

Here is the break down of votes for Governor, Senator, and the Representatives Republican VS. Democrat.

Governor: Winner Tom Wolf (D)
Democrat votes: 2,852,539 - 57.6% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,022,348 - 40.8% of the vote


Senator: Winner Bob Casey (D)
Democrats votes: 2,747,345 - 55.6% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,116,110 - 42.8% of the vote

Representatives: 9 (D) - 9 (R)
Democrat votes: 2,677,130 - 55.1% of the vote
Republican votes: 2,183,180 - 44.9% of the vote

Despite the split in the wins for Representatives, 9 to 9, overall the Democrats got nearly a half a million more votes than Republicans.


Here is what the 2016 Presidential results were:
Trump: 2,970,733 - 48.17% of the vote
Clinton: 2,926,441 - 47.46%

Trump won Pennsylvania by a mere 44,292 votes.

Based on the results of the voting in 2018, Trump will lose Pennsylvania by between 5 and 10 percentage points. The Democrat challenger will get at least 50%, and Trump won't get above 45%.

With Pennsylvania going Blue in 2020, so will Wisconsin and Michigan since the results in those states were even tighter wins for Trump in 2016. That means the BLUE WALL of 18 democratic states has been restored after the tiny breach in 2016. Those 18 states have 248 ELECTORAL Votes. Democrats will then easily get to 270 with Virginia(13 EVs) and Colorado(9 EVs) which they both beat Trump in last time by 5 percentage points each.

Trump is done! A one term President. He will lose Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan and will not pick up any other states that he lost last time to make up for losing those three states in 2020.

Monmouth University Oct 29 – Nov 1, 2016 403 Likely Voters Trump 44 Clinton 48
Quinnipiac Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016 612 Likely Voters Trump 43 Clinton 48
CNN Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2016 799 Likely Voters Trump 44 Clinton 48

Those polls are within the margin of error or close to it. Recent polling with Biden against Trump is far outside the margin of error. Plus the congressional results were not even close in 2018 with Democrats beating Republicans by an average of 10 to 13 points in each state.
Polls :auiqs.jpg:
 
Crooked Hillary predicted she was going to win Penn along with every other polling service.

How did that work out for her?

The biggest liability these stupid Democrats have are the bat shit crazy Left candidates. Come General Election they will have trouble getting much over 40% with idiots like Commie Bernie.

Right now Joe Biden is heading for a landslide over Donald Trump based on current polling. Hell, Biden is only 1 point behind Trump in the state of Texas. Texas has not gone Democrat since 1976 in a Presidential race, yet it looks like it could go Blue in 2020.
He said it!!!! :auiqs.jpg::auiqs.jpg:
 
Pulling away? Andrew Gillum leads Ron DeSantis by nine points in latest poll

Pulling away? Andrew Gillum leads Ron DeSantis by nine points in latest poll


Hillary Clinton has widened her lead over Donald Trump, polling 14 percentage points ahead nationally, according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll, which comes 12 days before the presidential election.

Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump by 14 Points Nationally in New Poll


Trump will crush anyone in the field. Biden is a joke. Clinton will have to come in and "save the day" for the Dems, and will probably get beaten again.
 
Crooked Hillary predicted she was going to win Penn along with every other polling service.

How did that work out for her?

The biggest liability these stupid Democrats have are the bat shit crazy Left candidates. Come General Election they will have trouble getting much over 40% with idiots like Commie Bernie.

Right now Joe Biden is heading for a landslide over Donald Trump based on current polling. Hell, Biden is only 1 point behind Trump in the state of Texas. Texas has not gone Democrat since 1976 in a Presidential race, yet it looks like it could go Blue in 2020.


You are confused Moon Bat.

Right now Crazy Joe is a fucking joke.

We all know how these Moon Bats polls don't mean jackshit. If you only poll Moon Bats you only get Moon Bat responses.

If those polls were accurate Crooked Hillary would be President now, wouldn't she?

Besides, Crazy Joe will never win the Moon Bat Primary. Commie Bernie is much more organized and has a much larger base. As bat shit crazy as Joe is he is not the mainstream extreme crazy of the Moon Bat Party that is energized nowadays.

You stupid Moon Bats are pretty well fucked nowadays.

There are no Democrat moderates left. They are extreme far Left assholes.
 
If Trump loses Pennsylvania, I am curious to know what state the pseudocons believe Trump will win to make up the difference.

That's the thing there are no states to make it up. They have thought about Minnesota and Colorado. Minnesota has not voted for a Republican since 1972. Colorado has recreational legal Marijuana and an openly gay governor. Those states get bluer every day. Virginia is the same. Without Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, its over for Trump in 2020.

Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan are actually getting more Republican, not less. Colorado, Virginia, Nevada, and Arizona are getting more Democratic.
Pennyslvania:

In 2016, Trump got 48.8 to Clinton's 47.6 percent of the vote.

In 2018, the Democratic Senate candidate got 55.7 to the Republican's 47.6 percent of the vote.

The Democrats also picked up some seats in the House since the Republican gerrymandering was overturned by the courts.


Minnesota:

In 2016, Clinton 46.44 to Trump's 44.92 percent.

In 2018, the Democratic Senate candidate got 60.31 to the Republican's 36.21 percent. The Democratic gubernatorial candidate got 53.84 to the Republican's 42.43 percent.


Wisconsin:

Trump 47.2 to Clinton 46.5. A real squeaker.

2018: Scott Walker was booted out by the Democrat, 49.54 to 48.44. The Democratic candidate for Senate slammed the Republican 55.36 to 44.53.


Michigan:
Trump 47.50 to Clinton 47.27. Incredibly close.

2018: Democratic Senate candidate slammed Republican 52.3 to 45.8. Democratic gubernatorial candidate slammed Republican 53.3 to 43.7.


So tell us again how these states are becoming more Republican, and who your crack dealer is.

Instead of being a snarky asshole ( I realize you can't help yourself most of time because you think you're never wrong about anything) try looking at the long term trend instead of cherry picking two very different election seasons, one of which was a wave year for the opposition party who made gains even in very red districts all across the country. Then we'll talk.
Provide evidence those three states are turning red.

Go ahead.

I'll wait here.
 
Pulling away? Andrew Gillum leads Ron DeSantis by nine points in latest poll

Pulling away? Andrew Gillum leads Ron DeSantis by nine points in latest poll


Hillary Clinton has widened her lead over Donald Trump, polling 14 percentage points ahead nationally, according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll, which comes 12 days before the presidential election.

Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump by 14 Points Nationally in New Poll


Trump will crush anyone in the field. Biden is a joke. Clinton will have to come in and "save the day" for the Dems, and will probably get beaten again.

Why did Trump lose the popular vote in 2016?

How does Trumps FAILURE to win the popular vote in 2016 bode for his chances of winning the election in 2020?

Remember, the winner of the popular vote is the winner of the electoral college 90% of the time.

The national polls were correct in predicting Hillary would win the popular vote in 2016. She won the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes.

No sitting President has ever been re-elected without winning the popular vote.
 
Crooked Hillary predicted she was going to win Penn along with every other polling service.

How did that work out for her?

The biggest liability these stupid Democrats have are the bat shit crazy Left candidates. Come General Election they will have trouble getting much over 40% with idiots like Commie Bernie.

Right now Joe Biden is heading for a landslide over Donald Trump based on current polling. Hell, Biden is only 1 point behind Trump in the state of Texas. Texas has not gone Democrat since 1976 in a Presidential race, yet it looks like it could go Blue in 2020.


You are confused Moon Bat.

Right now Crazy Joe is a fucking joke.

We all know how these Moon Bats polls don't mean jackshit. If you only poll Moon Bats you only get Moon Bat responses.

If those polls were accurate Crooked Hillary would be President now, wouldn't she?

Besides, Crazy Joe will never win the Moon Bat Primary. Commie Bernie is much more organized and has a much larger base. As bat shit crazy as Joe is he is not the mainstream extreme crazy of the Moon Bat Party that is energized nowadays.

You stupid Moon Bats are pretty well fucked nowadays.

There are no Democrat moderates left. They are extreme far Left assholes.

The national polls in 2016 were accurate in predicting that Hillary would win the popular vote. She won the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes.

Biden has a 10 point lead over Bernie based on average of current polls by real clear politics. Hillary beat Bernie because she was considered more electable than Bernie. The same will happen with Biden vs. Bernie.

People being registered as Republicans is down. Its at 29% now. For the Democrats its 35%. The Democrats actually have a broader base and in the long run will be seen as the more moderate party in 2020. Trump is seen as an extremist which explains why he has the lowest average approval rating of any President in history.
 

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