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How much does the ocean warming do to increase the power of storms? And how much more warming can we expect? What will the effect be on future El Nino's? How many times can we dodge the bullet?so I know what was different, Patricia was a Cat 5 that acted like a Cat 3, so, it didn't have the potential of a Cat 4 even though it was classified five. interesting eh?Hurricane Patricia Recap: Strongest Landfalling Pacific Hurricane on Record
In addition to its unprecedented 200-mph (320-kph) sustained winds, Hurricane Patricia broke the record for lowest pressure in any hurricane on record. With a minimum central pressure of 880 millibars (25.99 inches of mercury) at the 4 a.m. CDT advisory Oct. 23, Patricia broke the record of 882 millibars set by Wilma in the Atlantic Basin almost exactly 10 years earlier. Around 1 p.m. CDT Oct. 23, the minimum central pressure reached its lowest point, 879 millibars (25.96 inches of mercury).
Data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter airborne reconnaissance mission late on the night of Oct. 22 provided critical data demonstrating the extreme intensification of Hurricane Patricia in near-real time. A new NOAA reconnaissance aircraft reached the eye of Patricia early on the afternoon of Oct. 23 to gather additional direct measurements of the storm's intensity.
Unprecedented Among Pacific Hurricanes
Hurricane Patricia became the strongest Pacific hurricane on record shortly after midnight CDT early on Oct. 23. Air Force Hurricane Hunters had flown through the eye of Patricia and reported a sea-level pressure of 894 millibars as measured by a dropsonde inside the eye itself. Wind measurements suggested that the pressure measurement was not in the exact center of the eye and was probably not the absolute lowest pressure, prompting NHC to estimate the minimum central pressure at 892 millibars in its special 12:30 a.m. CDT advisory.
Tropical cyclone strength comparisons are typically based on minimum central pressure. At 892 millibars, Patricia shattered the Eastern Pacific basin's previous record of 902 millibars set by Hurricane Linda in 1997.
While a number of typhoons in the western North Pacific have been stronger, Patricia is now by far the strongest hurricane on record in any basin where the term "hurricane" applies to tropical cyclones – namely, the central and eastern North Pacific basins and the North Atlantic basin, which includes the North Atlantic Ocean itself plus the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea.
So there you have it, flap yap at the people that measure these things.
Silly Billy, how many times in the last nine months have you stated that the El Nino would not develop? How many times have you stated that it was cooling? Nobody with a record of foolishness that you have should be saying anything about anybody else. And Barack Obama is President of the United States of America. Just what the hell have you ever done with your life other than post nonsense on an internet message board?
Actually, it's the deniers who need to explain why they keep making up a phony story that global warming theory supposedly said more hurricanes would hit the USA.
Right there at the WhiteHouse Climate website..
WE CAN CHOOSE TO BELIEVE THAT SUPERSTORM SANDY, AND THE MOST SEVERE DROUGHT IN DECADES, AND THE WORST WILDFIRES SOME STATES HAVE EVER SEEN WERE ALL JUST A FREAK COINCIDENCE. OR WE CAN CHOOSE TO BELIEVE IN THE OVERWHELMING JUDGMENT OF SCIENCE — AND ACT BEFORE IT'S TOO LATE."
- PRESIDENT OBAMA
You're welcome....
Actually, it's the deniers who need to explain why they keep making up a phony story that global warming theory supposedly said more hurricanes would hit the USA.
Right there at the WhiteHouse Climate website..
And it clearly doesn't say anything about more hurricanes hitting the USA.
I won't try to guess your motives, so I'll just ask why you made that clearly incorrect claim. And I'll point out your best try was a swing and a miss, which doesn't hold much promise for any further attempts on your part.
WE CAN CHOOSE TO BELIEVE THAT SUPERSTORM SANDY, AND THE MOST SEVERE DROUGHT IN DECADES, AND THE WORST WILDFIRES SOME STATES HAVE EVER SEEN WERE ALL JUST A FREAK COINCIDENCE. OR WE CAN CHOOSE TO BELIEVE IN THE OVERWHELMING JUDGMENT OF SCIENCE — AND ACT BEFORE IT'S TOO LATE."
- PRESIDENT OBAMA
You're welcome....
LOL. No, we will ridicule you because of the continued stupidity of your posts. You are not a scientist. In fact, I doubt that you have even seen the inside of a community college. Nobody can be as bone ignorant as you and have completed even a few 100 level courses.
they already know how ocean temperatures will affect hurricanes, it up to mother nature. There are so many variables that it is too difficult for scientist to predict. too difficult.How much does the ocean warming do to increase the power of storms? And how much more warming can we expect? What will the effect be on future El Nino's? How many times can we dodge the bullet?so I know what was different, Patricia was a Cat 5 that acted like a Cat 3, so, it didn't have the potential of a Cat 4 even though it was classified five. interesting eh?Hurricane Patricia Recap: Strongest Landfalling Pacific Hurricane on Record
In addition to its unprecedented 200-mph (320-kph) sustained winds, Hurricane Patricia broke the record for lowest pressure in any hurricane on record. With a minimum central pressure of 880 millibars (25.99 inches of mercury) at the 4 a.m. CDT advisory Oct. 23, Patricia broke the record of 882 millibars set by Wilma in the Atlantic Basin almost exactly 10 years earlier. Around 1 p.m. CDT Oct. 23, the minimum central pressure reached its lowest point, 879 millibars (25.96 inches of mercury).
Data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter airborne reconnaissance mission late on the night of Oct. 22 provided critical data demonstrating the extreme intensification of Hurricane Patricia in near-real time. A new NOAA reconnaissance aircraft reached the eye of Patricia early on the afternoon of Oct. 23 to gather additional direct measurements of the storm's intensity.
Unprecedented Among Pacific Hurricanes
Hurricane Patricia became the strongest Pacific hurricane on record shortly after midnight CDT early on Oct. 23. Air Force Hurricane Hunters had flown through the eye of Patricia and reported a sea-level pressure of 894 millibars as measured by a dropsonde inside the eye itself. Wind measurements suggested that the pressure measurement was not in the exact center of the eye and was probably not the absolute lowest pressure, prompting NHC to estimate the minimum central pressure at 892 millibars in its special 12:30 a.m. CDT advisory.
Tropical cyclone strength comparisons are typically based on minimum central pressure. At 892 millibars, Patricia shattered the Eastern Pacific basin's previous record of 902 millibars set by Hurricane Linda in 1997.
While a number of typhoons in the western North Pacific have been stronger, Patricia is now by far the strongest hurricane on record in any basin where the term "hurricane" applies to tropical cyclones – namely, the central and eastern North Pacific basins and the North Atlantic basin, which includes the North Atlantic Ocean itself plus the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea.
So there you have it, flap yap at the people that measure these things.
Time to really do some serious research, for lives will depend on it. And it is hard to build the infrastructure we need for the future, when we are using our resources to rebuild from weather damage.
Everything is too difficult if you are a stupid loser. By your own post the predictions have been getting more accurate. And the Europeans predictions are much more accurate than ours. As we get more reliable information, used to create more powerful models on ever more powerful computers, the predictions for 120 hours will become as accurate as our present predictions for 12 hours. And we will look further into the future, say 280 hours. Of course, chaos is a factor, so you are never going to find out which butterfly.they already know how ocean temperatures will affect hurricanes, it up to mother nature. There are so many variables that it is too difficult for scientist to predict. too difficult.How much does the ocean warming do to increase the power of storms? And how much more warming can we expect? What will the effect be on future El Nino's? How many times can we dodge the bullet?so I know what was different, Patricia was a Cat 5 that acted like a Cat 3, so, it didn't have the potential of a Cat 4 even though it was classified five. interesting eh?Hurricane Patricia Recap: Strongest Landfalling Pacific Hurricane on Record
In addition to its unprecedented 200-mph (320-kph) sustained winds, Hurricane Patricia broke the record for lowest pressure in any hurricane on record. With a minimum central pressure of 880 millibars (25.99 inches of mercury) at the 4 a.m. CDT advisory Oct. 23, Patricia broke the record of 882 millibars set by Wilma in the Atlantic Basin almost exactly 10 years earlier. Around 1 p.m. CDT Oct. 23, the minimum central pressure reached its lowest point, 879 millibars (25.96 inches of mercury).
Data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter airborne reconnaissance mission late on the night of Oct. 22 provided critical data demonstrating the extreme intensification of Hurricane Patricia in near-real time. A new NOAA reconnaissance aircraft reached the eye of Patricia early on the afternoon of Oct. 23 to gather additional direct measurements of the storm's intensity.
Unprecedented Among Pacific Hurricanes
Hurricane Patricia became the strongest Pacific hurricane on record shortly after midnight CDT early on Oct. 23. Air Force Hurricane Hunters had flown through the eye of Patricia and reported a sea-level pressure of 894 millibars as measured by a dropsonde inside the eye itself. Wind measurements suggested that the pressure measurement was not in the exact center of the eye and was probably not the absolute lowest pressure, prompting NHC to estimate the minimum central pressure at 892 millibars in its special 12:30 a.m. CDT advisory.
Tropical cyclone strength comparisons are typically based on minimum central pressure. At 892 millibars, Patricia shattered the Eastern Pacific basin's previous record of 902 millibars set by Hurricane Linda in 1997.
While a number of typhoons in the western North Pacific have been stronger, Patricia is now by far the strongest hurricane on record in any basin where the term "hurricane" applies to tropical cyclones – namely, the central and eastern North Pacific basins and the North Atlantic basin, which includes the North Atlantic Ocean itself plus the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea.
So there you have it, flap yap at the people that measure these things.
Time to really do some serious research, for lives will depend on it. And it is hard to build the infrastructure we need for the future, when we are using our resources to rebuild from weather damage.
excerpt from mit.edu:
"What are the problems with the current hurricane predictions?
There have been great strides forward made in the science of forecasting hurricanes, but there is still a lot to do. One major problem is accuracy. The National Hurricane Center has been forecasting the paths of hurricanes since the early 1950’s. They issue 120 hour, 96 hour, 72 hour, 48 hour, 24 hour, and 12 hour forecasts. (The 120 hour and 96 hour forecasts were introduced in 2003.) The error decreases as the time before landfall decreases. The error has also decreased over the years as models become more accurate (NOAA, 2004). Despite becoming more accurate, the error is still relatively large."
Link
Predicting Hurricanes
Silly Billy, this thread is about a very strong El Nino that you stated repeatedly was not going to happen.
Now silly Billy, you have been saying exactly the same thing since the present El Nino was at 0.5. Now it is at 2.7, that is a super El Nino. Learn to use some bigger words, so your lies don't sound quite as stupid. Take lessons from Mr. Westwall.
