Billy_Bob
Diamond Member
Dude, you really have a reading problem. It would be normal if your temperatures were in the 90s for ours to be lower due to convection so the pattern is normal! Comprehende?If it was normal for your backyard to be at it's present temperature, why did you post that temperature as if it were unusual? It is not usual for Portland to be having the present temperatures, nor to be as dry as it has been. We are in a drought pattern, and our forests are getting close to the blowup point.
The El Moki warm stream is dying. Without the southern oscillations there is no El Nino. Even NASA and NOAA have acknowledged this. They are still hoping that one will form, it has not but, the conditions for one to form have been present for over five months now.
The monsoonal flows are now present and established which has disrupted the Kelvin wave. This could have caused one to form once the southern oscillations begin. The southern oscillations may not even form as the cold pools are now deflecting the warm flow and dissipating it.
As of today my prediction that an El Nino would not form still stands. The pacific north west, Canada and Alaska have gotten all the heat from what has made it to the western shores. California has gotten much needed water from the monsoonal flows now established as have the mountain west regions of Utah, Nevada, Arizona, Idaho, Wyoming Montana, N Dakota, S Dakota and the plains states.
The deep flow of Arctic air this early in the season marks the onset of an early fall and winter. Today's high in Wyoming was a meager 65 degrees F and most other interior states were at that level as well. The Polar low is twice its average size (1980-2000) and the pressures the last two weeks have been steadily dropping, indicating significant strengthening. Look for much more of this to come. The polar intrusions will kill any chance for an El Nino to form and is evident in the atmospheric maps over the last five months. The Kelvin wave is being torn apart before it can form heavy lines and a cold Atlantic is slowing medianel flows, as shown in the lack of any hurricane season..
With Cold water now the norm around Greenland and Iceland we expect to see massive increases in Arctic ice in the region and Canada. The shift to rapid cooling is here. Now we see just how much of a reprieve the warm Pacific might give us. IF water vapor stays high through Dec its going to be a heavy wet and cold winter.
Old Fraud can keep his propaganda as real scientists look at the earth and not a model to see what it is that is changing empirically.
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