Yep, if the economy is still good shape, in 2020, Trump wins easy. Trump is on his way to an easy win in 2020, according to Moody's accurate election model President Donald Trump will win reelection easily in 2020 if the economy holds up, modeling by Moody’s Analytics shows. “If voters were to vote primarily on the basis of their pocketbooks, the president would steamroll the competition,” the report states. Three models show Trump getting at least 289 electoral votes and as many as 351, assuming average turnout. The Moody’s models have been backtested to 1980 and were correct each time — except in 2016, when it indicated Clinton would get a narrow victory. Barring anything unusual happening, the president’s Electoral College victory could easily surpass his 2016 win over Democrat Hillary Clinton, which came by a 304-227 count. Moody’s based its projections on how consumers feel about their own financial situation, the gains the stock market has achieved during Trump’s tenure and the prospects for unemployment, which has fallen to a 50-year low. Should those variables hold up, the president looks set to get another four-year term. The modeling has been highly accurate going back to the 1980 election, missing only once. So the models are based on 'pocketbook', how Americans feel about their economic situation, the 'Stockmarket' model, and the 'Unemployment' model. Trump wins in all three.