MordechaiGoodbud
VIP Member
- Jan 20, 2017
- 531
- 96
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Many pundits and message board posters claim the pre-election polls were wrong.
None of these people understand statistics.
The Real Clear Politics average of polls had Clinton ahead of Trump by 3 points...but the margin of error was 4 points.
Statistically, this means any result between a 1 point Trump win and a 7 point Clinton win would have fallen within the margin of error.
The end result was a 1 point Clinton win which fell well within the margin of error and was almost exactly correct.
None of these people understand statistics.
The Real Clear Politics average of polls had Clinton ahead of Trump by 3 points...but the margin of error was 4 points.
Statistically, this means any result between a 1 point Trump win and a 7 point Clinton win would have fallen within the margin of error.
The end result was a 1 point Clinton win which fell well within the margin of error and was almost exactly correct.
