Swing States

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Gop guy, Jul 13, 2004.

  1. Gop guy
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    Gop guy Member

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    Pennsylvania
    New Jersey
    Ohio
    Floridia
    Michigan
    West Virginia
    Arizona

    Did I miss any?

    I'm just interested to hear from you guys which will go to Bush and Scary Kerry.
     
  2. Avatar4321
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    Avatar4321 Diamond Member Gold Supporting Member

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    California...may not be on many lists at the moment but wait till after the conventions and the debates.
     
  3. NATO AIR
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    NATO AIR Senior Member

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    Missiouri
    Washington
    New Hampshire
     
  4. Gop guy
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    Gop guy Member

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    Which candidate do you think each state will go for?
     
  5. lilcountriegal
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    lilcountriegal Senior Member

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    I'm guessing in a close margin, Bush will take Pennsylvania, but not by much.
     
  6. TheOne
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    I think North Carolina and Virginia are also in play.
     
  7. freeandfun1
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    freeandfun1 VIP Member

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    Don't forget the importance of the intermountain west states such as Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, and Utah. Those states combined account for 29 electoral votes and it is very important that Bush retain them all in the next election.
     
  8. MtnBiker
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    MtnBiker Senior Member

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    True enough, I would say that Utah is firmly in the Bush category.
     
  9. freeandfun1
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    freeandfun1 VIP Member

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    Firmly, but not soooo firmly. Believe it or not, there is a fairly strong Democratic party in Utah. Mostly in SLC which is where the bulk of the population is located. The other parts of the state are much more libertarian. That could cause Bush troubles, but unlikely.

    As for AZ and CO, both are GOP but both are close enough to flip to the Dems. Bush won CO by 8% last time and Kerry could cut into that substantially. CO is becoming host to a lot of Hippie types. AZ is aging which always bodes well for the Dems. McCain is well liked there, but that does not give Bush a shoe in. And finally, you have Nevada (Las Vegas really). Our Senators are split (Harry Reid is a strong Democrat with lots of seniority) but is also a state made up of a lot of libertarians. The intermountain west is going to end up being a battle ground too.
     
  10. Avatar4321
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    Avatar4321 Diamond Member Gold Supporting Member

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    Why on earth do you think that? Kerry choose Edwards and Kerry lost ground in North Carolina for it despite the fact that Edwards is the Senior NC Senator.

    As for Virginia, Democrats couldnt get 10% of their party to turn to vote for the primary. Do you think they are suddenly going to be energized now?
     

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