Since 1990, Corporate Profits Up 200%, Household Income Up 2% - BCA

I think this is an apples to oranges argument. Over 20 years we've had significant population growth, so a continuous flow of people coming in at the bottom of the income ladder. Those who increase their skill set, start a business, or otherwise earn more money move up the income ladder, many of today's middle and upper income people were on the low end back in 1990. So of course the per capita household income is going to be fairly stagnant, why would you expect otherwise?

Corp profits are a prerequisite to staying in business. You make money or you're history. Anybody know how they determined this number? So tell me, how much profit do you need to make per year to get to 200% over 20 years? That's not a rhetorical question, I don't really know. What I do know is that money flows to where it can make the most return on investment (ROI). So over the long term you better be doing a lot better than just treading water. One wonders if it included the startups and other businesses that went belly up. Over the past 20 years US companies have greatly expanded overseas, thanks in part to an increasingly poor business environment here but also due to lower costs elsewhere and being closer to emerging markets worldwide.

There's no big mystery here. And it doesn't mean a damn thing. Look at the last few years, household income has done nothing or maybe even declined, yet business profits are good cuz American businessmen know how to cut back on costs to make a profit.

Businesses are sitting on trillions of dollars of capital, that indicates they aren't investing in themselves and are satisfied with the status quo.
Being as over two-thirds of our economy is driven by consumer spending, by holding down wages they are holding down the US economy.
 
...I believe household income comes from the Census data...
The number of 'households' does, but personal disposable income comes from the BEA and wage records are kept by the BLS. It doesn't matter because while the word "household" is in your title, it's not in the Barron's hit piece and we've no idea if Barnes used it.

...It should also be noted that Barnes (I believe) compares total corporate profits to median household income, which is a per capita measurement...
I like beliefs as much as the next guy but try not to note them without getting their basis in fact. All we got here is the story some leftist rich-basher's saying and nobody here knows what Barnes actually wrote --but it really doesn't matter because all of us are free to access BEA numbers on the economy for ourselves --total, percapita, whatever, or we even can even sit back and criticize those who do. We don't need Barrons telling us how.

...corporate profit margins are near all time highs, which means that shareholders are capturing a greater share of economic wealth...
Not these days. Since the '08 election corporate real corp profits are up 12%, tax payments are up 7%, employee comp. is down 3%, and shareholder dividends are down 11%.
 
Do the income figures include transfer payments via the tax process?

I doubt it.

Yes it does.

Current Population Survey (CPS) - Definitions and Explanations



That definition does not include child credits and the earned income tax credit.

The EITC is in the alternate measure of income, but it doesn't look like that is what was used in the table.

It won't matter in the median measurement since the median household does not get it.
 
...I believe household income comes from the Census data...
The number of 'households' does, but personal disposable income comes from the BEA and wage records are kept by the BLS. It doesn't matter because while the word "household" is in your title, it's not in the Barron's hit piece and we've no idea if Barnes used it.

...It should also be noted that Barnes (I believe) compares total corporate profits to median household income, which is a per capita measurement...
I like beliefs as much as the next guy but try not to note them without getting their basis in fact. All we got here is the story some leftist rich-basher's saying and nobody here knows what Barnes actually wrote --but it really doesn't matter because all of us are free to access BEA numbers on the economy for ourselves --total, percapita, whatever, or we even can even sit back and criticize those who do. We don't need Barrons telling us how.

...corporate profit margins are near all time highs, which means that shareholders are capturing a greater share of economic wealth...
Not these days. Since the '08 election corporate real corp profits are up 12%, tax payments are up 7%, employee comp. is down 3%, and shareholder dividends are down 11%.

Why do you assume the author is a leftist? Why do you assume its a hit piece? Why do you assume that the author might be lying about the BCA research? Would it make a difference to you if you had the piece and it confirmed everything the author stated, or would you argue that Barnes is a leftist who hates corporations?

Oh, and yes, these days. This is from a June 2 research report by Bank of America Merrill Lynch entitled "Ten reasons why S&P 500 margins are sustainable." This is the NIPA corporate profit share of US GDP

Screenshot2011-06-08at11234PM.png
 
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That definition does not include child credits and the earned income tax credit.

The EITC is in the alternate measure of income, but it doesn't look like that is what was used in the table.

It won't matter in the median measurement since the median household does not get it.



And the median is a meaningless measure in this context.
 
I believe household income comes from the Census data. This is median household income.

US_real_median_household_income_1967_-_2009.png



Three big problems with Median Household income over this time series:

- We have more single person households now than we did in 1967. The comparison would only be valid if the definition of household were normalized over the time series.

- Unemployment certainly depresses income levels (the current dip).

- There is no indication of the distribution above and below the median measure.
 
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That definition does not include child credits and the earned income tax credit.

The EITC is in the alternate measure of income, but it doesn't look like that is what was used in the table.

It won't matter in the median measurement since the median household does not get it.



And the median is a meaningless measure in this context.

Its a better measurement what is happening to the typical household than the average in understanding what is happening in the broad population because outliers can have an outsized effect and skew the average.
 
I think this is an apples to oranges argument. Over 20 years we've had significant population growth, so a continuous flow of people coming in at the bottom of the income ladder. Those who increase their skill set, start a business, or otherwise earn more money move up the income ladder, many of today's middle and upper income people were on the low end back in 1990. So of course the per capita household income is going to be fairly stagnant, why would you expect otherwise?

Corp profits are a prerequisite to staying in business. You make money or you're history. Anybody know how they determined this number? So tell me, how much profit do you need to make per year to get to 200% over 20 years? That's not a rhetorical question, I don't really know. What I do know is that money flows to where it can make the most return on investment (ROI). So over the long term you better be doing a lot better than just treading water. One wonders if it included the startups and other businesses that went belly up. Over the past 20 years US companies have greatly expanded overseas, thanks in part to an increasingly poor business environment here but also due to lower costs elsewhere and being closer to emerging markets worldwide.

There's no big mystery here. And it doesn't mean a damn thing. Look at the last few years, household income has done nothing or maybe even declined, yet business profits are good cuz American businessmen know how to cut back on costs to make a profit.

Businesses are sitting on trillions of dollars of capital, that indicates they aren't investing in themselves and are satisfied with the status quo.
Being as over two-thirds of our economy is driven by consumer spending, by holding down wages they are holding down the US economy.


Businesses are supposed to make money, as much profit as possible. If they don't, they go out of business. They are not going to pay more wages than they have to and they are not going to hire more people until they are reasonably sure they can profit by it. If you want to condemn them for that, have at it. But the real people you should be blaming are the people who got us into this mess in the 1st place and the people who have not created a better business climate that is more conducive to higher economic growth and creating more jobs. Opinions differ at this point as to who to point fingers at, but blaming corps for being profitable is really dumb.
 
It won't matter in the median measurement since the median household does not get it.



And the median is a meaningless measure in this context.

Its a better measurement what is happening to the typical household than the average in understanding what is happening in the broad population because outliers can have an outsized effect and skew the average.

It's a bogus measure due to the demographic changes of households. We have a higher mix of single person households now.

According to America's Families and Living Arrangements: 2010, the average household size declined to 2.59 in 2010, from 2.62 people in 2000. This is partly because of the increase in one-person households, which rose from 25 percent in 2000 to 27 percent in 2010, more than double the percentage in 1960 (13 percent).

Newsroom: Families & Households: U.S. Census Bureau Reports Men and Women Wait Longer to Marry
 
And the median is a meaningless measure in this context.

Its a better measurement what is happening to the typical household than the average in understanding what is happening in the broad population because outliers can have an outsized effect and skew the average.

It's a bogus measure due to the demographic changes of households. We have a higher mix of single person households now.

According to America's Families and Living Arrangements: 2010, the average household size declined to 2.59 in 2010, from 2.62 people in 2000. This is partly because of the increase in one-person households, which rose from 25 percent in 2000 to 27 percent in 2010, more than double the percentage in 1960 (13 percent).

Newsroom: Families & Households: U.S. Census Bureau Reports Men and Women Wait Longer to Marry

I think that's a fair criticism regarding households. However, given that inequality has risen over the past four decades, using the median is a better indicator of how the broader population is doing.
 
And the median is a meaningless measure in this context.

Its a better measurement what is happening to the typical household than the average in understanding what is happening in the broad population because outliers can have an outsized effect and skew the average.

It's a bogus measure due to the demographic changes of households. We have a higher mix of single person households now.

According to America's Families and Living Arrangements: 2010, the average household size declined to 2.59 in 2010, from 2.62 people in 2000. This is partly because of the increase in one-person households, which rose from 25 percent in 2000 to 27 percent in 2010, more than double the percentage in 1960 (13 percent).

Newsroom: Families & Households: U.S. Census Bureau Reports Men and Women Wait Longer to Marry


We also have a greater number of people entering the workforce at the bottom levels. And we have less upward mobility in wages due to increased productivity, automation, outsourcing, and a host of other factors. It would therefore be unreasonable to expect the median household to rise by any measure over the past 20 years.

Where as total corp profits over the past 20 years would be expected to be quite high, you gotta turn a prfit or you're gone. Comparing these two statistics is meaningless, neither has anything to do with the other.
 
Why do you assume the author is a leftist? Why do you assume its a hit piece? Why do you assume that the author might be lying about the BCA research? Would it make a difference to you if you had the piece and it confirmed everything the author stated, or would you argue that Barnes is a leftist who hates corporations?
Sure, I'm like most people in that I like to imagine that I'm the center of everything, but my motivation isn't any more worthy of focus than your beliefs are. What's important here are the facts about incomes for households and businesses. This thread's article title says household incomes rose 2% while the corporations that these same households own had profits increasing 200%. Now, off hand that wouldn't make sense unless we're using a definition of 'income' that excludes the increased value of the businesses we own.

Incomes are important and deserve study. When a pundit talks about incomes we look at the incomes not the pundit. In this case the Barrons article talks about some analyst that talks about incomes, and it was written in a way that prevents checking. We don't know if it's right or wrong. we just know that if we can't verify it then it's useless.
 
I think this is an apples to oranges argument. Over 20 years we've had significant population growth, so a continuous flow of people coming in at the bottom of the income ladder. Those who increase their skill set, start a business, or otherwise earn more money move up the income ladder, many of today's middle and upper income people were on the low end back in 1990. So of course the per capita household income is going to be fairly stagnant, why would you expect otherwise?

Corp profits are a prerequisite to staying in business. You make money or you're history. Anybody know how they determined this number? So tell me, how much profit do you need to make per year to get to 200% over 20 years? That's not a rhetorical question, I don't really know. What I do know is that money flows to where it can make the most return on investment (ROI). So over the long term you better be doing a lot better than just treading water. One wonders if it included the startups and other businesses that went belly up. Over the past 20 years US companies have greatly expanded overseas, thanks in part to an increasingly poor business environment here but also due to lower costs elsewhere and being closer to emerging markets worldwide.

There's no big mystery here. And it doesn't mean a damn thing. Look at the last few years, household income has done nothing or maybe even declined, yet business profits are good cuz American businessmen know how to cut back on costs to make a profit.
This is slowest decade for population growth since the great depression, less 1% a year.

U.S. population growth slowed, still envied - USATODAY.com
 
I think this is an apples to oranges argument. Over 20 years we've had significant population growth, so a continuous flow of people coming in at the bottom of the income ladder. Those who increase their skill set, start a business, or otherwise earn more money move up the income ladder, many of today's middle and upper income people were on the low end back in 1990. So of course the per capita household income is going to be fairly stagnant, why would you expect otherwise?

Corp profits are a prerequisite to staying in business. You make money or you're history. Anybody know how they determined this number? So tell me, how much profit do you need to make per year to get to 200% over 20 years? That's not a rhetorical question, I don't really know. What I do know is that money flows to where it can make the most return on investment (ROI). So over the long term you better be doing a lot better than just treading water. One wonders if it included the startups and other businesses that went belly up. Over the past 20 years US companies have greatly expanded overseas, thanks in part to an increasingly poor business environment here but also due to lower costs elsewhere and being closer to emerging markets worldwide.

There's no big mystery here. And it doesn't mean a damn thing. Look at the last few years, household income has done nothing or maybe even declined, yet business profits are good cuz American businessmen know how to cut back on costs to make a profit.
This is slowest decade for population growth since the great depression, less 1% a year.

U.S. population growth slowed, still envied - USATODAY.com


Okay, what we're really talking about here are people entering the workforce over the past 20 years, which means they were born around 1973 - 1993. For income purposes those born after 1993 aren't old enough yet to start working. The census numbers I found show that the rise in population for that 20 year period comes in at around 45 million. Don't know what the labor participation rate was, but let's assume around 65%. That's about 30 million, a lot of folks, and most of them are starting out at the bottom.

Point being, every year since 1990 we've had a slowing increasing number of Americans entering the workforce, at whatever the minimum wage was. When you have a steadily increasng volume at the lowest end, it should not be surprising that the median household income does not rise much at all.
 
It has been the best of times for corporate profits, but rather less so for consumer incomes. Corporate earnings have soared 200% since 1990 while real median family incomes have increased by only 2%.

These data come from a recent article entitled, "High Profit Margins and Stagnant Real Incomes: Is Capitalism Working Properly?"

It didn't appear in The Nation but rather in The Bank Credit Analyst, the highly respected, long-time financial and economic research service that would never be thought of as some hotbed of populist fervor. And the author is not Michael Moore but Martin Barnes, the Bank Credit Analyst's long-time managing editor and self-described "dour Scot."

Moreover, rather than calling for a storming of the ramparts, Barnes poses questions of concern for the most self-interested of capitalists. Can the current high level of profit margins be maintained? Even more basically, can the corporate sector continue to prosper while the average consumer struggles?

What's stunning about the current cycle is that, despite a weak economic recovery, profit margins are near historic highs, albeit short of their historic peak in 2005. A major driver has been earnings from abroad, which have increased to 35% of total U.S. company profits from 20% since 1999. …

Bottom line, the main factors that have propelled corporate profits—cost-cutting, financial profits and overseas earnings—are waning. Even so, companies have done a far sight better than workers, as noted earlier. Since 2000, they've fallen even further behind; profits are up 70% while real median family incomes are down 2%.

Part of that has been because consumer prices have risen faster than corporate selling prices, which reflect costs of capital goods which have been held down by technology, Barnes notes. "However, it seems clear that labor has not received its fair share in recent years, even when using corporate prices," he adds, falling 4% short of what would be expected based on productivity gains.

"Ultimately, the health of the corporate sector depends on the financial health of its customers. Thus, the divergence between rising profits and weak growth in real consumer incomes will have to change," Barnes asserts.

Corporate Profit Gains at Labor's Expense May be Hitting Limit - Barrons.com

This reinforces an article I read the other day.

The Truth About the American Economy

The U.S. economy continues to stagnate. It's growing at the rate of 1.8 percent, which is barely growing at all. Consumer spending is down. Home prices are down. Jobs and wages are going nowhere.

It's vital that we understand the truth about the American economy.

How did we go from the Great Depression to 30 years of Great Prosperity? And from there, to 30 years of stagnant incomes and widening inequality, culminating in the Great Recession? And from the Great Recession into such an anemic recovery?

The Great Prosperity

During three decades from 1947 to 1977, the nation implemented what might be called a basic bargain with American workers. Employers paid them enough to buy what they produced. Mass production and mass consumption proved perfect complements. Almost everyone who wanted a job could find one with good wages, or at least wages that were trending upward.

During these three decades everyone's wages grew -- not just those at or near the top.

Government enforced the basic bargain in several ways. It used Keynesian policy to achieve nearly full employment. It gave ordinary workers more bargaining power. It provided social insurance. And it expanded public investment. Consequently, the portion of total income that went to the middle class grew while the portion going to the top declined. But this was no zero-sum game. As the economy grew almost everyone came out ahead, including those at the top.

The pay of workers in the bottom fifth grew 116 percent over these years -- faster than the pay of those in the top fifth (which rose 99 percent), and in the top 5 percent (86 percent).

Productivity also grew quickly. Labor productivity -- average output per hour worked -- doubled. So did median incomes. Expressed in 2007 dollars, the typical family's income rose from about $25,000 to $55,000. The basic bargain was cinched.

The middle class had the means to buy, and their buying created new jobs. As the economy grew, the national debt shrank as a percentage of it.

More
 
I think this is an apples to oranges argument. Over 20 years we've had significant population growth, so a continuous flow of people coming in at the bottom of the income ladder. Those who increase their skill set, start a business, or otherwise earn more money move up the income ladder, many of today's middle and upper income people were on the low end back in 1990. So of course the per capita household income is going to be fairly stagnant, why would you expect otherwise?

Corp profits are a prerequisite to staying in business. You make money or you're history. Anybody know how they determined this number? So tell me, how much profit do you need to make per year to get to 200% over 20 years? That's not a rhetorical question, I don't really know. What I do know is that money flows to where it can make the most return on investment (ROI). So over the long term you better be doing a lot better than just treading water. One wonders if it included the startups and other businesses that went belly up. Over the past 20 years US companies have greatly expanded overseas, thanks in part to an increasingly poor business environment here but also due to lower costs elsewhere and being closer to emerging markets worldwide.

There's no big mystery here. And it doesn't mean a damn thing. Look at the last few years, household income has done nothing or maybe even declined, yet business profits are good cuz American businessmen know how to cut back on costs to make a profit.
This is slowest decade for population growth since the great depression, less 1% a year.

U.S. population growth slowed, still envied - USATODAY.com


Okay, what we're really talking about here are people entering the workforce over the past 20 years, which means they were born around 1973 - 1993. For income purposes those born after 1993 aren't old enough yet to start working. The census numbers I found show that the rise in population for that 20 year period comes in at around 45 million. Don't know what the labor participation rate was, but let's assume around 65%. That's about 30 million, a lot of folks, and most of them are starting out at the bottom.

Point being, every year since 1990 we've had a slowing increasing number of Americans entering the workforce, at whatever the minimum wage was. When you have a steadily increasng volume at the lowest end, it should not be surprising that the median household income does not rise much at all.
As most economic theories go, it sounds reasonable but how do you know there is a steadily increasing volume at the lowest end as compared to increased income at medium and the higher end?
 
Its a better measurement what is happening to the typical household than the average in understanding what is happening in the broad population because outliers can have an outsized effect and skew the average.

It's a bogus measure due to the demographic changes of households. We have a higher mix of single person households now.

According to America's Families and Living Arrangements: 2010, the average household size declined to 2.59 in 2010, from 2.62 people in 2000. This is partly because of the increase in one-person households, which rose from 25 percent in 2000 to 27 percent in 2010, more than double the percentage in 1960 (13 percent).

Newsroom: Families & Households: U.S. Census Bureau Reports Men and Women Wait Longer to Marry


We also have a greater number of people entering the workforce at the bottom levels. And we have less upward mobility in wages due to increased productivity, automation, outsourcing, and a host of other factors. It would therefore be unreasonable to expect the median household to rise by any measure over the past 20 years.

Where as total corp profits over the past 20 years would be expected to be quite high, you gotta turn a prfit or you're gone. Comparing these two statistics is meaningless, neither has anything to do with the other.

wise
there IS A DIFFERENCE between 'turning a profit' and 'making RECORD profits'

it seems you are interchanging them.....

of course any business needs to make a profit to continue with the business....but the business does not have to make huge profit increases, to where they set some of their all time profit percentage record highs imo!
 
It's a bogus measure due to the demographic changes of households. We have a higher mix of single person households now.

According to America's Families and Living Arrangements: 2010, the average household size declined to 2.59 in 2010, from 2.62 people in 2000. This is partly because of the increase in one-person households, which rose from 25 percent in 2000 to 27 percent in 2010, more than double the percentage in 1960 (13 percent).

Newsroom: Families & Households: U.S. Census Bureau Reports Men and Women Wait Longer to Marry


We also have a greater number of people entering the workforce at the bottom levels. And we have less upward mobility in wages due to increased productivity, automation, outsourcing, and a host of other factors. It would therefore be unreasonable to expect the median household to rise by any measure over the past 20 years.

Where as total corp profits over the past 20 years would be expected to be quite high, you gotta turn a prfit or you're gone. Comparing these two statistics is meaningless, neither has anything to do with the other.

wise
there IS A DIFFERENCE between 'turning a profit' and 'making RECORD profits'

it seems you are interchanging them.....

of course any business needs to make a profit to continue with the business....but the business does not have to make huge profit increases, to where they set some of their all time profit percentage record highs imo!

I don't have a problem with "record" profits. In fact, I make no moral judgment about the divergence between wages paid and total profits. I am more interested in how it affects policy. And the simple fact is that when a small group is capturing most of the incremental gains, there are going to be responses. Americans are generally much more open minded about wage disparities than most, which I find a good thing generally. However, Americans do care about wage growth. They don't care too much if some is growing faster than they are, but they do care when they aren't growing much at all. And if they see that whatever growth is being captured by a few, especially when the gains are outsized, there will be a political response.

If the gains aren't distributed within the economic arena, they will be distributed in the political arena. Sociologists have long known that wide and increasing disparities bring social and political unrest in virtually every society. The only matter is degree. Americans are no different.
 

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