Russia is smashing Ukraine - best public military analysis so far

[DarthTrader]

Michael Kofman is a premier Russian analyst and has these take aways.

• Kiev was always a distraction he predicted a small force to hit Kiev for political pressure but that the main pincer attack to be through Kharkiv and Mariupol
  • He predicted that back in January.
• Russia has used almost NONE of its high tech weaponry. Almost all of the Russian losses are old Soviet Armor and aircraft.
• Russia's casualties are almost entirely conscripts used to "pad out the force". They were forced into the military in the last few months before the war and were always intended to be cannon fodder.
• Russia has effectively pinned Ukraine in the Joint Operations Area in the South East in the Donbas Pocket and he doesn't know what will come of it.
• Ukraine cannot counter attack. They are unable to resupply effectively if they tried.
• NATO is out of weapons to give to Ukraine which is why they are now down to giving Ukraine the scraps from old Soviet era.
• Russia hasn't tried to capture most cities if they can avoid it. THAT WAS THEIR PLAN ALL ALONG.
• He summarizes as:
  • "Russia is working the body, to use a bad boxing analogy."

Things Michael Kofman thinks Russia did/does poorly.

• They didn't seize air superiority in the beginning with surprise allowing Ukraine to disperse their air defenses because they sought a "political victory" rather than a military victory.
  • He now says they have clearly changed to a military victory mindset which means their goal is to destroy the Ukrainian Army in the field. An objective that was previously not attempted.
• They don't capitalize on jamming communications primarily because of their use of conscripts who have mixed comms and Ukraine's comms overlap so there's less flexibility.
  • Ukraine likewise doesn't jam Russian comms.

 

[kyzr]

For a newbie you really are gullible. You really should give up reading Pravda.

A Marine special ops commander explains why Russia's stalled advance in Ukraine is no surprise

Russia doesn’t wage war elegantly.

taskandpurpose.com

Senators call for US military to shift focus to resounding Russian defeat in Ukraine

The military’s top brass said Thursday that an ideal outcome of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine would be maintaining Ukraine’s sovereignty and weakening Russia, frustrating senators who want Russia’s resounding defeat to be at the forefront of U.S. strategy.

www.stripes.com

 

[DarthTrader]

For a newbie you really are gullible. You really should give up reading Pravda.

You're so fucking stupid you don't know who Michael Kofman is.

 

[Confederate Soldier]

So taking a whole two months to gain only a little bit of land, then lose it was your plan? And you believe a Russian? You are no better than an American Hitler supporter in the 1930s.

 

[Doc7505]

Michael Kofman is a premier Russian analyst and has these take aways.

• Kiev was always a distraction he predicted a small force to hit Kiev for political pressure but that the main pincer attack to be through Kharkiv and Mariupol
  • He predicted that back in January.
• Russia has used almost NONE of its high tech weaponry. Almost all of the Russian losses are old Soviet Armor and aircraft.
• Russia's casualties are almost entirely conscripts used to "pad out the force". They were forced into the military in the last few months before the war and were always intended to be cannon fodder.
• Russia has effectively pinned Ukraine in the Joint Operations Area in the South East in the Donbas Pocket and he doesn't know what will come of it.
• Ukraine cannot counter attack. They are unable to resupply effectively if they tried.
• NATO is out of weapons to give to Ukraine which is why they are now down to giving Ukraine the scraps from old Soviet era.
• Russia hasn't tried to capture most cities if they can avoid it. THAT WAS THEIR PLAN ALL ALONG.
• He summarizes as:
  • "Russia is working the body, to use a bad boxing analogy."

Things Michael Kofman thinks Russia did/does poorly.

• They didn't seize air superiority in the beginning with surprise allowing Ukraine to disperse their air defenses because they sought a "political victory" rather than a military victory.
  • He now says they have clearly changed to a military victory mindset which means their goal is to destroy the Ukrainian Army in the field. An objective that was previously not attempted.
• They don't capitalize on jamming communications primarily because of their use of conscripts who have mixed comms and Ukraine's comms overlap so there's less flexibility.
  • Ukraine likewise doesn't jam Russian comms.

Indeed, Trump was right to hold NATO participants to pay 2% of their GDP they have pledged. Now since Russia has invaded the Ukraine they're scrambling for the materials they were supposed to stock and maintain throughout Europe.
Surely this is a wake-up call for those countries that allowed their military forces and equipment to grow old and now faced with the possibility of real aggression they're screaming for updating their fighting equipment.

German army chief says service âstands bareâ from neglect as its forces are placed on deployment alert

The highest ranking officer in the German army on Thursday publicly lamented years of fiscal neglect and the army’s deteriorating readiness, as the U.S. and NATO allies mobilize in response to Russian aggression in Ukraine.

www.stripes.com

**********​

These NATO countries are not spending their fair share on defense

Only five of NATO's 28 members meet the alliance's military spending guideline of 2% of GDP. Five member states spend less than 1% of GDP on defense.

money.cnn.com

 

[DarthTrader]

So taking a whole two months to gain only a little bit of land, then lose it was your plan? And you believe a Russian? You are no better than an American Hitler supporter in the 1930s.

It's not a little bit of land, it's a lot of land you DUMB FUCKING SHIT. And it's 90% of all of Ukraines oil and gas, which would have been enough to replace Russia's import to Europe if it was developed.

You're so fucking...STUPID...just like the dumbshit Confederates you idolize who didn't even plant food instead of cotton while starving lolol.

 

[rightwinger]

Russia is demonstrating to the world that their military is a farce

Poorly led, poor planning, no logistics and poorly trained troops.

The Ukraine invasion they thought would wrap up in weeks with Ukraine quickly surrendering will now take years

The Russian economy can’t take it

 

[DarthTrader]

Russia is demonstrating to the world that their military is a farce

Poorly led, poor planning, no logistics and poorly trained troops.

The Ukraine invasion they thought would wrap up in weeks with Ukraine quickly surrendering will now take years

The Russian economy can’t take it

Yawn. All you know is dumbshit propaganda lol. Maybe you should watch the video. Michael Kofman doesn't think Russia ever intended the war to wrap up quickly. It was a "hail mary" that they may have been able to accomplish but predicted before it happened that the smaller Kiev contingent that was there would leave for the real military objectives.

And it has.

 

[rightwinger]

So taking a whole two months to gain only a little bit of land, then lose it was your plan? And you believe a Russian? You are no better than an American Hitler supporter in the 1930s.

They were planning on 20,000 deaths?

 

[rightwinger]

Yawn. All you know is dumbshit propaganda lol. Maybe you should watch the video.

Sadly, the Russian people will put up with tremendous hardship because of Putin’s Folly

Hopefully, Putin will be removed

 

[gipper]

Michael Kofman is a premier Russian analyst and has these take aways.

• Kiev was always a distraction he predicted a small force to hit Kiev for political pressure but that the main pincer attack to be through Kharkiv and Mariupol
  • He predicted that back in January.
• Russia has used almost NONE of its high tech weaponry. Almost all of the Russian losses are old Soviet Armor and aircraft.
• Russia's casualties are almost entirely conscripts used to "pad out the force". They were forced into the military in the last few months before the war and were always intended to be cannon fodder.
• Russia has effectively pinned Ukraine in the Joint Operations Area in the South East in the Donbas Pocket and he doesn't know what will come of it.
• Ukraine cannot counter attack. They are unable to resupply effectively if they tried.
• NATO is out of weapons to give to Ukraine which is why they are now down to giving Ukraine the scraps from old Soviet era.
• Russia hasn't tried to capture most cities if they can avoid it. THAT WAS THEIR PLAN ALL ALONG.
• He summarizes as:
  • "Russia is working the body, to use a bad boxing analogy."

Things Michael Kofman thinks Russia did/does poorly.

• They didn't seize air superiority in the beginning with surprise allowing Ukraine to disperse their air defenses because they sought a "political victory" rather than a military victory.
  • He now says they have clearly changed to a military victory mindset which means their goal is to destroy the Ukrainian Army in the field. An objective that was previously not attempted.
• They don't capitalize on jamming communications primarily because of their use of conscripts who have mixed comms and Ukraine's comms overlap so there's less flexibility.
  • Ukraine likewise doesn't jam Russian comms.

It’s interesting to see this weird dichotomy playing out in the media. Many military experts are claiming the Russians have done an expert job, while the establishment media claims they’re getting their ass kicked.

Once this is over, which hopefully is very soon, we’ll find out who was lying.

 

[DarthTrader]

It’s interesting to see this weird dichotomy playing out in the media. Many military experts are claiming the Russians have done an expert job, while the establishment media claims they’re getting their ass kicked.

Once this is over, which hopefully is very soon, we’ll find out who was lying.

It won't be over for years because mainly - I think - Russia's big goals are two:

• Bleed European limited military supplies dry.
• Use Ukraine as a whipping boy to do tit-for-tat sanctions against the West letting the West slowly reveal itself to be the Imperialist bully the world hates.
  • IMF
  • Exported Inflation
  • Sanctions
  • Everything - the world hates the West's grip on monetary power and global trade.

"Go on, sanction our oil and fertilizer and tell Egypt, Zimbabwe, Bhutan, Malaysia, why they all must pay HIGHER prices for YOUR WAR. We didn't sanction you when you killed 1 million Iraqis. You're an Emperor with no clothes."

 

[1srelluc]

For a newbie you really are gullible. You really should give up reading Pravda.

A Marine special ops commander explains why Russia's stalled advance in Ukraine is no surprise

Russia doesn’t wage war elegantly.

taskandpurpose.com

Senators call for US military to shift focus to resounding Russian defeat in Ukraine

The military’s top brass said Thursday that an ideal outcome of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine would be maintaining Ukraine’s sovereignty and weakening Russia, frustrating senators who want Russia’s resounding defeat to be at the forefront of U.S. strategy.

www.stripes.com

Since when did dumb shit dem and neocon gop senators say mean anything?

 

[kyzr]

You're so fucking stupid you don't know who Michael Kofman is.

Sounds like another moron like Dr. Fiona Hill who told Obama not to give Ukraine weapons to defend themselves against Russia in 2014, so the US just sent blankets and MREs.
There are tons of military experts who all disagree.
These are the geniuses that said Russia would capture Ukraine in 3-days.

 

[kyzr]

Since when did dumb shit dem and neocon gop senators say mean anything?

Because those dumb shits have $billions.

 

[Confederate Soldier]

It's not a little bit of land, it's a lot of land you DUMB FUCKING SHIT. And it's 90% of all of Ukraines oil and gas, which would have been enough to replace Russia's import to Europe if it was developed.

You're so fucking...STUPID...just like the dumbshit Confederates you idolize who didn't even plant food instead of cotton while starving lolol.

Only 17% of Ukraine is Russian held, and even that small percentage is shrinking. It is now well into month TWO and it has not gotten better for Russian forces. 20,000 Russian dead litter the Ukrainian landscape with the countless burned out hulls of tanks and vehicles. Many thousands more are wounded or missing.

So Russian stooge, tell me how you see this as a lot of land, and a military success, you DUMB FUCKING SHIT.

 

[Confederate Soldier]

Fate of the Russian Scum

 

[rightwinger]

Only 17% of Ukraine is Russian held, and even that small percentage is shrinking. It is now well into month TWO and it has not gotten better for Russian forces. 20,000 Russian dead litter the Ukrainian landscape with the countless burned out hulls of tanks and vehicles. Many thousands more are wounded or missing.

So Russian stooge, tell me how you see this as a lot of land, and a military success, you DUMB FUCKING SHIT.

Land does not win you wars
You must defeat the enemy forces

Russia is failing miserably. Ukrainian forces are choosing their fight and Russia is just being picked off.

With Western Powers providing a pipeline of defensive weapons, Russia seems in for an endless war

 

[Augustine_]

Michael Kofman is a premier Russian analyst and has these take aways.

• Kiev was always a distraction he predicted a small force to hit Kiev for political pressure but that the main pincer attack to be through Kharkiv and Mariupol
  • He predicted that back in January.
• Russia has used almost NONE of its high tech weaponry. Almost all of the Russian losses are old Soviet Armor and aircraft.
• Russia's casualties are almost entirely conscripts used to "pad out the force". They were forced into the military in the last few months before the war and were always intended to be cannon fodder.
• Russia has effectively pinned Ukraine in the Joint Operations Area in the South East in the Donbas Pocket and he doesn't know what will come of it.
• Ukraine cannot counter attack. They are unable to resupply effectively if they tried.
• NATO is out of weapons to give to Ukraine which is why they are now down to giving Ukraine the scraps from old Soviet era.
• Russia hasn't tried to capture most cities if they can avoid it. THAT WAS THEIR PLAN ALL ALONG.
• He summarizes as:
  • "Russia is working the body, to use a bad boxing analogy."

Things Michael Kofman thinks Russia did/does poorly.

• They didn't seize air superiority in the beginning with surprise allowing Ukraine to disperse their air defenses because they sought a "political victory" rather than a military victory.
  • He now says they have clearly changed to a military victory mindset which means their goal is to destroy the Ukrainian Army in the field. An objective that was previously not attempted.
• They don't capitalize on jamming communications primarily because of their use of conscripts who have mixed comms and Ukraine's comms overlap so there's less flexibility.
  • Ukraine likewise doesn't jam Russian comms.

Russia has created a mortal enemy with nothing but pure hatred for them forever on their border. The Russian military is humiliated, and their people banned forever from the 1st world. All to become a gas station for China.

 

[Confederate Soldier]

Land does not win you wars
You must defeat the enemy forces

Russia is failing miserably. Ukrainian forces are choosing their fight and Russia is just being picked off.

With Western Powers providing a pipeline of defensive weapons, Russia seems in for an endless war

Even if the Ukrainian army is defeated, Guerrilla warfare will drive them crazy.