Romney Says He’s Winning — It’s a Bluff

Aug 7, 2012
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In recent days, the vibe emanating from Mitt Romney’s campaign has grown downright giddy. Despite a lack of any evident positive momentum over the last week — indeed, in the face of a slight decline from its post-Denver high — the Romney camp is suddenly bursting with talk that it will not only win but win handily. (“We’re going to win,” said one of the former Massachusetts governor’s closest advisers. “Seriously, 305 electoral votes.”)

This is a bluff. Romney is carefully attempting to project an atmosphere of momentum, in the hopes of winning positive media coverage and, thus, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy.


Over the last week, Romney’s campaign has orchestrated a series of high-profile gambits in order to feed its momentum narrative. Last week, for instance, Romney’s campaign blared out the news that it was pulling resources out of North Carolina. The battleground was shifting! Romney on the offensive! On closer inspection, it turned out that Romney was shifting exactly one staffer. It is true that Romney leads in North Carolina, and it is probably his most favorable battleground state. But the decision to have a staffer move out of state, with a marching band and sound trucks in tow to spread the news far and wide, signals a deliberate strategy to create a narrative,

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WOAH! CHILL!
 
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Some one is bluffing, we will see who it is in two weeks time.


If and when the Romney camp can gain a lead in Ohio, I might be more inclined to think Romney has the momentum.
 
dealing with the numbers we currently have and not some hot headed GOP faux outrage talking point.

Ohio leans Obama by a slim margin, as does Iowa. WI and Nevada seem solid for Obama. Obama wins these 4 states, which two of them seem to be in the bag, its over team Romney, better luck next time.
 
In recent days, the vibe emanating from Mitt Romney’s campaign has grown downright giddy. Despite a lack of any evident positive momentum over the last week — indeed, in the face of a slight decline from its post-Denver high — the Romney camp is suddenly bursting with talk that it will not only win but win handily. (“We’re going to win,” said one of the former Massachusetts governor’s closest advisers. “Seriously, 305 electoral votes.”)

This is a bluff. Romney is carefully attempting to project an atmosphere of momentum, in the hopes of winning positive media coverage and, thus, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy.


Over the last week, Romney’s campaign has orchestrated a series of high-profile gambits in order to feed its momentum narrative. Last week, for instance, Romney’s campaign blared out the news that it was pulling resources out of North Carolina. The battleground was shifting! Romney on the offensive! On closer inspection, it turned out that Romney was shifting exactly one staffer. It is true that Romney leads in North Carolina, and it is probably his most favorable battleground state. But the decision to have a staffer move out of state, with a marching band and sound trucks in tow to spread the news far and wide, signals a deliberate strategy to create a narrative,

LINK

a_560x375.jpg


WOAH! CHILL!


Here's more...

Mitt Romney's momentum: An illusion conjured by his campaign? - Yahoo! News


Mitt Romney's momentum: An illusion conjured by his campaign?

Some liberals are aghast at how the media seems to be accepting Team Romney's assertion that it's winning the election

Here's something you may not know from reading the political press, says Jonathan Chait at New York: President Obama is winning, Mitt Romney's rise in the polls stopped two weeks ago, and Team Romney's "downright giddy" claims of election-winning momentum "is a bluff." A few head-fakes about leaving battleground states supposedly in the bag, vague talk of expanding the map, and lots of bluster about inevitable victory — "Romney is carefully attempting to project an atmosphere of momentum, in hopes of winning positive media coverage and, thus, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy." And it might be working. With the national polls tied and Obama enjoying a clear advantage in the electoral college math, Romney and his allies seem to be successfully "suckering the press corps with a confidence game." Is Romney's momentum a clever ruse?

The shameless spinning is tricking the media: Even after Obama's wins in the final two debates, the highly crafted tale "is congealing... that Romney is going to win the election," says Michael Tomasky at The Daily Beast. Of course, "in reality, Obama is the favorite." But give credit to conservatives: "They are creating a reality," and have been since the first debate. Feed reporters "a few poll results, a few morsels from the trail," and many will parrot your line. The real goal is to "make Democrats fearful and jittery and reactive," so Dems should calm down and reassert reality.

Maybe Obama is losing steam: "Can't two things be true?" says David Weigel at Slate. Can't Team Romney be "overstating its momentum" while at the same time put him in a position to actually win? After all, they knew Obama's strategy 14 months ago — paint Romney as a heartless plutocrat — so all they had to do was defuse that in the first debate. They did: While Romney's poll numbers are just okay, "the numbers beneath the horse race" show that his likability numbers really have surged. "If voters have largely warmed to you, all you need to do is win the 'momentum' storyline" to seal the deal.

"How real is Mittmentum?"

The expectations game is bipartisan: Of course Team Romney is spinning the media, says Ezra Klein at The Washington Post, that's what campaigns do — execute messaging "strategy bound loosely by reality." And Team Obama is doing it, too. The difference is that Romney is "emphasizing momentum" while Obama's side is underscoring how tight the race is, "how possible it is that the president might lose." Why? Psychology. Republicans won't vote if they're losing and Democrats won't vote if they're winning, so "Boston wants Republicans confident and Chicago wants Democrats scared. Keep that in mind as you read the spin."
 
COH is full of s**t.

Romney pulling ahead on likeability.

Romney more solid in his electoral college leanings.

Ohio pinching down.

Yeah,...he's bluffing.
 
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Romney Campaign Pretends He's Winning

According to Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com and Sam Wang's Princeton Election Consortium, President Obama has and has maintained a small lead in battleground states that translates into an electoral college win. Right-leaning RealClearPolitics shows the electoral college map closer, but only because it puts states like Pennsylvania in the toss-up column, where their own data shows Obama up by about 5%. So, as Jonathan Chait points out in New York Magazine when Romney says he's winning, it's a bluff.

Romney Campaign Pretends He's Winning | The Dubya Report
 
Wow. A candidate and his camp showing optimism. How dare they! Of course they should be downtrodden and tell their supporters its all over, give it up.

<sarcasm off>

You do realize that all campaigns include rallies that might be called pep rallies? That running for office believing you will lose is kind of a dumb idea.
 

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