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Not even 10 months ago, Russ Feingold had a percieved lead of around 10 points. Now he's trailing by 8.
Russ fucking Feingold is doing this bad! Look at the link and see the Daily Kos poll that puts him at 11 down even! That's a real surprise to me.
It's only polling data, which means it's about as trustworthy as a crackhead at the end of the month, but at least averaging polls gives a more... believable result compared to just one poll.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - Wisconsin Senate - Feingold vs. Johnson
LINKWisconsin's story shows how high the stakes are. Late in March, a 72-page bill was suddenly introduced and rushed forward with only abbreviated hearings. The bill would have given "nationally recognized" community organizing groups access to the state driver's license database to encourage voter turnout. After the infamous registration scandals involving Acorn in 2008, this was clearly a strange priority. Requests for an absentee ballot in a single election would also become permanent (without requiring a legitimate reason, such as infirmity), and the ballots would be automatically mailed out in future elections. . . .
. . . Milwaukee police department's Special Investigative Unit conducted a probe. Its February 2008 report found that from 4,600 to 5,300 more votes were counted in Milwaukee than the number of voters recorded as having cast ballots.