RCP Obama vs Romney

[Conservative]

Anyone else notice the Presidents numbers have slipped significantly in the generla election polls?

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

RCP average has Obama by 1.8.

On May 1st, Obama was up by 3.4... and on March 1st it was 4.5.

'Slip sliding away', seems appropriate here.

 

[Ed Spacer]

Excellent point.

 

[Stephanie]

yep, it must be worst then what we are seeing...today they were griping about a Nyt/Cbs poll..

Team Obama: NYT/CBS poll used 'biased sample'
Team Obama: NYT/CBS poll used 'biased sample' - POLITICO.com


they are in FULL panic mode.

 

[auditor0007]

Anyone else notice the Presidents numbers have slipped significantly in the generla election polls?

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

RCP average has Obama by 1.8.

On May 1st, Obama was up by 3.4... and on March 1st it was 4.5.

'Slip sliding away', seems appropriate here.

I imagine that polling will show a number of lead changes before the actual vote in November.

 

[waltky]

Remember, the economy is what cost Bush Sr. his re-election bid (after Reagan's deficits ran the economy into the ground) and didn't really recover until the measures put in place under his administration took effect during Clinton's...

Jobs report weakens Obama's election argument
June 1, 2012 — The suddenly dismal news on American jobs is a blow to President Barack Obama's re-election argument that he has been a steward of recovery. It's heightened White House anxiety over global threats to U.S. economic growth — and the president's political prospects, too.

The economy, Obama conceded Friday, "is not growing as fast as we want it to." Taking a harsher tone, presumed Republican rival Mitt Romney declared that the country appeared to be "moving backward." He sought to drive home a political point from the nation's first increase in joblessness in almost a year. After a winter when the job trends were in his favor, Obama has been forced onto the defensive by three months of lackluster to dismal growth. Confronted by Friday's report of a feeble 69,000 new jobs and an uptick in unemployment to 8.2 percent in May, Obama vigorously renewed his demand that Congress step up and enact some of his jobs proposals.

Calling the Eurozone's debt crisis a "shadow" hanging over the U.S. economy, Obama made his most urgent plea yet for measures that he said would "serve as a buffer in case the situation in Europe gets any worse." Later Friday, speaking to donors at a fundraiser, Obama said: "Europe is having a significant crisis in part because they haven't taken as many of the decisive steps as were needed to deal with the challenge, and that's weakened Asia and that means it's harder for our exports. All this stuff makes a difference in the global economy." The jobs numbers, issued early every month, have become the year's dominant economic barometer, a baseline from which to gauge Obama's and Romney's political fortunes in an election that rides on the pace of a post-recession recovery.

Romney, responding to the first report since he effectively clinched the GOP presidential nomination, called the figures "devastating news." In an interview Friday with CNBC, Romney said that Obama's policies and his handling of the economy had "been dealt a harsh indictment." Obama was in Minnesota to push his proposal to expand job opportunities for veterans and to raise money for his campaign. He also raised money Friday evening in Chicago, where he was to spend a rare night in his family home. He said private business has created more than 4 million jobs over the past 27 months, but, he added, "as we learned in today's jobs report, we're still not creating them as fast as we want." Still, he said, "we will come back stronger; we do have better days ahead."

The economy, struggling to recover from the worst recession since the Great Depression, has had to fend off a number of external pressures, from high oil prices to natural disasters and, now, economic troubles in Europe and a weakening economy in China. The unemployment numbers, while imprecise and typically a lagging indicator of economic performance, are nevertheless an undeniable marker of the human cost of a weak economy. May's 69,000 new jobs and downward adjustments for March and April mean the economy has averaged just 73,000 jobs a month over the past two months. That's half of what's needed simply to keep up with population growth and is a dramatic drop from the 226,000 jobs created per month in the January-March quarter. May's 8.2 percent jobless rate, the first increase in 11 months, reflected more people coming back into the job force, but that was a thin silver-lining to an otherwise discouraging report. No president since the Great Depression has sought re-election with unemployment as high as that, and past incumbents have lost when the rate was on the rise.

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