I think the entire election is going to come down to how much the public hates Trump. Hate seems to be pretty effective at driving people to the polls particularly when you are facing a candidate like Trump.Oh stop. LOL
Really, I've no doubt Trump is tanking with all but the Trumpanzees. But whether Joe's gonna get any turnout ….. I dunno.
Trump's running a negative campaign to accuse Biden of what Trump's actually done, and it's a classic strategy to foreclose turnout …. worked for HW and Obama. So far, the only reason Biden's given for someone to vote for him is that he's not Trump. I just don't see how that can be enough, esp when Trump's running divisive issues towards the suburban women and Bernie voters.
Biden is damn near a non-issue at this point. He is handing the election over to Trump to dictate and that is a horrific strategy considering ousting Trump should be a walk in the park. A bigger concern is going to be the debates if Biden does not try, or is unable, to wiggle out of them. Every time I see or hear him it looks worse. By the time the debates roll around it might be a bloodbath.
The other problem is that Trump is asininely good at leveraging social media, something that has almost entirely gone unnoticed. As much as this outbreak damages his image, it shifts a TON of influence to social media campaigns.