'Xi may calculate that now is the moment to harness Chinese nationalism by focusing the population on a campaign to retake Taiwan.'
The global economy may be in hibernation, but geopolitics is thriving and sprinting towards a potential crisis at the end of this year or early in 2021. The immediate and understandable focus is on fighting the virus, but our government needs to be thinking about defence and national security risks as well.
The core of the security problem is the Chinese Communist Party’s drive to emerge from the Covid-19 pandemic strategically stronger in the Asia–Pacific than the US and its allies.
This is not just about diplomacy. The Chinese military is aggressively positioning around Taiwan, using ships and combat aircraft to push into Japanese and South Korean territory and doing high-end combat training in the South China Sea.
At the same time, Chinese state media outlets are fomenting aggressive nationalism. The Global Times, the party’s English-language paper, editorialised on 4 April: ‘If the Taiwan question leads to a China–US showdown, no matter what the results, Taiwan will pay an unbearable price … The world has entered an eventful period, during which Taiwan is ineligible to play an active role.’
www.aspistrategist.org.au
The global economy may be in hibernation, but geopolitics is thriving and sprinting towards a potential crisis at the end of this year or early in 2021. The immediate and understandable focus is on fighting the virus, but our government needs to be thinking about defence and national security risks as well.
The core of the security problem is the Chinese Communist Party’s drive to emerge from the Covid-19 pandemic strategically stronger in the Asia–Pacific than the US and its allies.
This is not just about diplomacy. The Chinese military is aggressively positioning around Taiwan, using ships and combat aircraft to push into Japanese and South Korean territory and doing high-end combat training in the South China Sea.
At the same time, Chinese state media outlets are fomenting aggressive nationalism. The Global Times, the party’s English-language paper, editorialised on 4 April: ‘If the Taiwan question leads to a China–US showdown, no matter what the results, Taiwan will pay an unbearable price … The world has entered an eventful period, during which Taiwan is ineligible to play an active role.’
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Preparing for the crisis after the crisis | The Strategist
The global economy may be in hibernation, but geopolitics is thriving and sprinting towards a potential crisis at the end of this year or early in 2021. The immediate and understandable focus is on fighting ...