Obama was reelected, which for a person who watches too much of the talking heads on tv, would be surprising, except if you know math.
Despite the media making the election out to be a neck and neck race, coming down the last second, they tend to actually be quite predictable (especially national races).
A man called Nate Silver has developed a statistical method to predict the outcomes of elections, based on poll data and some other things, continuously updated. Since July, his method shows a win by Obama as likely (~65%), and it also correctly chose most of the state elections this year, and presidential and state last year as well. There's a lot of other people who do similar analyses, with similar results, and some say that Silver's stuff is more complicated than it needs to be, but he's the most well known. I can't post links....or apparently, even suggest another site, but one can google for him.
Forgive me if this seems a bit...irrelevant...for a first post, but I think it's important to realize that these much hyped elections can usually be known beforehand.
Anyway, glad Obama won Or would win, as it were.
Despite the media making the election out to be a neck and neck race, coming down the last second, they tend to actually be quite predictable (especially national races).
A man called Nate Silver has developed a statistical method to predict the outcomes of elections, based on poll data and some other things, continuously updated. Since July, his method shows a win by Obama as likely (~65%), and it also correctly chose most of the state elections this year, and presidential and state last year as well. There's a lot of other people who do similar analyses, with similar results, and some say that Silver's stuff is more complicated than it needs to be, but he's the most well known. I can't post links....or apparently, even suggest another site, but one can google for him.
Forgive me if this seems a bit...irrelevant...for a first post, but I think it's important to realize that these much hyped elections can usually be known beforehand.
Anyway, glad Obama won Or would win, as it were.
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