Obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Rinata, Oct 14, 2012.

  1. Rinata
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    Rinata Gold Member

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    (Reuters) - President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney are neck and neck in opinion polls, but there is one area in which the incumbent appears to have a big advantage: those who have already cast their ballots.

    Obama leads Romney by 59 percent to 31 percent among early voters, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling data compiled in recent weeks.

    The sample size of early voters is relatively small, but the Democrat's margin is still well above the poll's credibility interval - a measurement of polls' accuracy - of 10 percentage points.

    The online poll is another sign that early voting is likely to play a bigger role this year than in 2008, when roughly one in three voters cast a ballot before Election Day. Voting is already under way in some form in at least 40 states.

    Early voting was a big part of Obama's victory over Republican John McCain in 2008, and his campaign aims to repeat its success this year.

    The Obama campaign says it is leading among early voters in Iowa and Ohio, and trailing by a smaller margin than 2008 in several other swing states.

    The Romney campaign says it is leading or even with Obama among early voters in several closely fought battleground states, including Florida, North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada and New Hampshire.

    Obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted: Reuters/Ipsos poll | Reuters
     
  2. Wolfsister77
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    Wolfsister77 Knowledge Is Power Supporting Member

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    It may all come down to OH and the fact that Obama is leading there among early voters is important if he wants to win.
     
  3. courseofhistory
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    courseofhistory BANNED

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    Obama grabs wide lead among those who have already voted: Reuters/Ipsos

     
  4. decker
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    decker Senior Member

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    Well that good start for obama in ohio. But does not mean he win the state. In the end though even if president wins ohio is might not matter if most of other swing states go to romney
     
  5. CrusaderFrank
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    CrusaderFrank Diamond Member

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    Dems have made a science of voter fraud. Amazing that he's only up by that much
     
  6. decker
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    decker Senior Member

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    well not sure that true to all dems. In the end if obama wins ohio that give him a chance but will not matter if he fails to a lot of other key swing states.
     
  7. Shutter_Label
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    Shutter_Label Rookie

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  8. LadyGunSlinger
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    LadyGunSlinger Conservative Babe Supporting Member

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    From your own link:

    The sample size of early voters is relatively small

    The online poll is another sign that early voting is likely to play a bigger role -- Yea ok.. Online polls are like throwing silver dollars down a drain- absolutely worthless.

    Did a network call the race early for a democrat one year without all the polls closing and they ended up being wrong????
     
  9. BreezeWood
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    BreezeWood VIP Member Supporting Member

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    encouraging but expected ... the undecided will wait till election day.
     
  10. decker
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    decker Senior Member

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    true. what worries me is though that usa today poll. it biggest lead i seen romney have yet nationally.
     

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