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You realize the same guy wrote that the election was uncertain? Which is it, 19% or Uncertain?
This guy can't make up his f*ckin' mind.
Since when is an 80.7% chance certain?
it's 30.7% more that a flip of a coin.
I'd call that certain
Maybe not a sure thing, but it's a far cry from throwin darts.
Why?Who?
Nate Silver. Sabermetrics and statistical model expert. Made his bones in baseball and then moved onto election modeling. Was named one of Time's 100 most influential people in 2009 for his work on the 2008 elections.
And no Pres has one election with over 8% UE
cept maybe fdr
No cept maybe there, TT, and it isn't a coincidence that FDR got reelected and Obama is on his way to doing so as well.
what's he done?
He also had the ability to predict the winner of every single senatorial race in 2008 as well.
That's... 49 out of 50 states, and all 35 senatorial races.
He's definitely not a "who" in politics.
OkElection Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
It must suck even more than usual to be a right wing nut about now.
Who?
And no Pres has one election with over 8% UE
cept maybe fdr
This guy called the 2008 election exactly, pretty much state by state, based on poll data.
He's not a "who?" in political polling. He knows how to read polls and make predictions with amazing precision.
In fact, he was only 1 state off.
Since when is an 80.7% chance certain?
it's 30.7% more that a flip of a coin.
I'd call that certain
Maybe not a sure thing, but it's a far cry from throwin darts.
"Maybe not a sure thing"
No, dude, again no maybe there. It means he puts his chances at winning at 19.3%.
To put in terms of poker, if this were a Hold em hand Obama has pocket aces and Romney has a smaller pocket pair in the hole.
He also had the ability to predict the winner of every single senatorial race in 2008 as well.
That's... 49 out of 50 states, and all 35 senatorial races.
He's definitely not a "who" in politics.
That was like predicting the winner of a Soviet election. Didnt take much.
Politics is not baseball.
OkWho?
And no Pres has one election with over 8% UE
cept maybe fdr
This guy called the 2008 election exactly, pretty much state by state, based on poll data.
He's not a "who?" in political polling. He knows how to read polls and make predictions with amazing precision.
In fact, he was only 1 state off.
This may come as a shock; I wasn't being an ass, I honestly never heard of him
it's 30.7% more that a flip of a coin.
I'd call that certain
Maybe not a sure thing, but it's a far cry from throwin darts.
"Maybe not a sure thing"
No, dude, again no maybe there. It means he puts his chances at winning at 19.3%.
To put in terms of poker, if this were a Hold em hand Obama has pocket aces and Romney has a smaller pocket pair in the hole.
you said "poker"
I've won pots with holding a baby straight. So you're saying Mitt can win if he bluffs the nation.
He also had the ability to predict the winner of every single senatorial race in 2008 as well.
That's... 49 out of 50 states, and all 35 senatorial races.
He's definitely not a "who" in politics.
That was like predicting the winner of a Soviet election. Didnt take much.
Politics is not baseball.
Oh bullshit.
OkThis guy called the 2008 election exactly, pretty much state by state, based on poll data.
He's not a "who?" in political polling. He knows how to read polls and make predictions with amazing precision.
In fact, he was only 1 state off.
This may come as a shock; I wasn't being an ass, I honestly never heard of him
He's quite brilliant. Total super nerd.
I mean, c'mon now....
Obama is doubling down on blaming Bush."Maybe not a sure thing"
No, dude, again no maybe there. It means he puts his chances at winning at 19.3%.
To put in terms of poker, if this were a Hold em hand Obama has pocket aces and Romney has a smaller pocket pair in the hole.
you said "poker"
I've won pots with holding a baby straight. So you're saying Mitt can win if he bluffs the nation.
That's what he's trying to do....
That was like predicting the winner of a Soviet election. Didnt take much.
Politics is not baseball.
Oh bullshit.
Translation: Bingo!
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
It must suck even more than usual to be a right wing nut about now.
Oh bullshit.
Translation: Bingo!
You know how many people thought that Obama was fucking done for because of Palin? Yeah, you were probably fucking one of them. And you were probably fucking one of them as well.
Obama is doubling down on blaming Bush.you said "poker"
I've won pots with holding a baby straight. So you're saying Mitt can win if he bluffs the nation.
That's what he's trying to do....
Seems they are both playing the game with our chips.
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
It must suck even more than usual to be a right wing nut about now.
Ok
This may come as a shock; I wasn't being an ass, I honestly never heard of him
He's quite brilliant. Total super nerd.
I mean, c'mon now....
If he's not rich, he's invested in online porn.
just sayin
Ask the designers of the Challenger's O-rings.You realize the same guy wrote that the election was uncertain? Which is it, 19% or Uncertain?And .... ?
You do realize you are citing the same guy who has Romney at a 19.3% chance to win, right?
This guy can't make up his f*ckin' mind.
Since when is an 80.7% chance certain?
Obama is doubling down on blaming Bush.That's what he's trying to do....
Seems they are both playing the game with our chips.
Yup ... Mitt bluffs, says it's Obama's fault.
Obama reminds everyone what he walked into and then contrast the then with the now and flips over his aces.