Nate Silver on Trump's polling.

Discussion in 'Political Satire' started by JimH52, Nov 24, 2015.

  1. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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  2. Moonglow
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    Moonglow BANNED

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    Don't mean shit until the country votes anyhow.....
     
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  3. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    Yup! Maybe Karl Rove has already called Ohio for Trump.:badgrin:
     
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  4. Luddly Neddite
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    Luddly Neddite Diamond Member

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    I've thought the same thing.

    40-some % love Drumpf.

    That means that 60-some % don't.

    True that Drumpf is loud. He does make a lot of noise but he's a one-trick-pony and people are already getting sick of his constant lies.
     
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  5. Toro
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    Toro Diamond Member

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    derp, derp, derp, Trump!

    Predictwise has Rubio at 45%, Trump at 22% and Cruz at 18%.

    2016 President - Republican Nomination | PredictWise

    In my own self-interest, I laid money on Cruz winning the nomination because the odds were too low on my Canadian homie IMHO.
     
  6. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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  7. MisterBeale
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    MisterBeale Gold Member

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  8. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    It is Trump that is proving that he is nothing more than a reality show star who survives on sensationalism.
     
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  9. C_Clayton_Jones
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    "Quite often, however, the Trump’s-really-got-a-chance! case is rooted almost entirely in polls. If nothing Trump has said so far has harmed his standing with Republicans, the argument goes, why should we expect him to fade later on?

    One problem with this is that it’s not enough for Trump to merely avoid fading. Right now, he has 25 to 30 percent of the vote in polls among the roughly 25 percent of Americans who identify as Republican. (That’s something like 6 to 8 percent of the electorate overall, or about the same share of people who think the Apollo moon landings were faked.) As the rest of the field consolidates around him, Trump will need to gain additional support to win the nomination. That might not be easy, since some Trump actions that appeal to a faction of the Republican electorate may alienate the rest of it. Trump’s favorability ratings are middling among Republicans (and awful among the broader electorate)."

    Exactly.

    Presidential nominees are determined by actual voters going to actual polls during the primaries – not opinion polls.
     
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  10. BIG YANK BAL 1976
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    BIG YANK BAL 1976 Silver Member

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    Trump isn't gonna win shit, and neither is Cruz, too many people hate both of their sleaze, the last election in 12 cost a Billion to win, that fat Orangutan ISN'T gonna blow his fortune on a lost election too many people his narcissist, racist ass, and you can't win a national election when voter turnout is highest with JUST the white vote:eusa_naughty:

    But i am glad he's in the race and winning because he's just fucking everything up and going to create chaos and a possible civil war with the rest of the Clowns, in his bitch party..

    Clinton kicks both their asses in a blow out, but the nominee will probably be Rubio..
     

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