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I think most people are dug in. there are some folk in the middle who seem to fluctuate.... although I'm not quite sure how but there ya goThat's all that matters.
Trump clearly experienced some momentum, but it has to continue.
The wild cards remain the debates and October surprises.
.
I agree.
And I really do think that people can swing on this one a lot easier.
There are a lot of people fed up with these two and the whole thing.
She's not winning in Florida.
But who really cares.
The point is that this thing is a lot closer than it was a month ago and Clinton isn't cruising. She's got fouled machinery all over the place.
A 60% chance of winning in CO at this point would be a reason for concern.
Okay, take Florida off the blue map. Oh oh, she still has over 270. Last I checked it takes 270 to win.
And if you take Nevada off too…she still has over 270.
No need to worry about Colorado. Obama carried it by 2% over Romney who was from a neighboring state. Its gone blue in both the last 2 elections, has a democrat governor…
HRC is cruising.
Hillary is doing anything but "cruising", Candy! To show you how confused her campaign "message" is at the moment here in Florida the Clinton ad that they're running over and over again is one that attempts to paint Trump as hating the military because he wasn't in the military. What's laughable about THAT is it's coming from the Clinton's...a couple that has never respected the military. If that's the best thing they could come up with to "hit" Trump with...then they're in serious trouble! Especially with the Assange e-mail "reveal" due right before the election! Anytime someone pulls back the curtains and gives the American people a look at who the Clinton's really are and what they've done...Hillary's numbers take a nose dive. That's what Assange is about to do!
So HRC’s campaign is in trouble because she is running ads about how Donald “likes soldiers who were not captured”…
And Trump’s is in good shape because it’s depending on a hacker wanted by the authorities for date rape to release a supposed authentic e-mail.
Got it.
Admit it, Candy...the Clinton's have never been supporters of the military...yet she's now contending that she'd somehow be a better Commander in Chief because Trump likes soldiers who were not captured? She disliked the military so much that she didn't want them to wear uniforms when the visited the White House!
As for Assange? He's slime. The e-mails that he has access to however reveal the REAL Hillary Clinton and that's bad news for Hillary because the REAL Hillary Clinton is corrupt as the day is long!
She’s contending she’d be a better commander in chief because she has experience on the world stage, doesn’t think she knows more than the generals do, and has the proper contemplative temperament. Trump has said we are going to “take the oil” from ISIS. That means boots on the ground for the 3rd time in 25 years in the middle east. No thanks.
If you believe the man is slime…i’m curious how do you know what he is revealing is truthful? Oh yeah, I forgot; content=credibility in the world of Conservatives.
She's not winning in Florida.
But who really cares.
The point is that this thing is a lot closer than it was a month ago and Clinton isn't cruising. She's got fouled machinery all over the place.
A 60% chance of winning in CO at this point would be a reason for concern.
Okay, take Florida off the blue map. Oh oh, she still has over 270. Last I checked it takes 270 to win.
And if you take Nevada off too…she still has over 270.
No need to worry about Colorado. Obama carried it by 2% over Romney who was from a neighboring state. Its gone blue in both the last 2 elections, has a democrat governor…
HRC is cruising.
It also dumped a democratic senator.
She's ahead.
If you think her campaign or party are cruising, then I have to ask why there have been a bunch of articles from people like Eugene Robinson telling people not to panic.
I really liked the one by Michael Tomansky basically saying yeah she's old/worn out/and people think she cheats....but you should still vote for her.
I am not a Trump fan, but I don't have my head in the sand like you.
She is ahead.
Cruising....laughable.
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Fivethirtyeight uses more advanced statistical models than simple polls, which is why I prefer them to RCP (Real Questionable Practices, according to 538) or just straight polls.
They are telling people today to hold their water on this Clinton 'rebound'
I agree with others that this race is tight. Clinton leads, yes, but one state moves against her and she loses and the trend is against her, at least for the time being.
Debates loom huge right now....
From the article:
.
"Yes, Clinton has gotten some good polls. A new Monmouth University survey showing her ahead by 9 percentage points in New Hampshire is a strong result. A SurveyMonkey poll finding her leading Trump by 5 points nationally is good. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll putting her up 6 points among likely voters will also warm the hearts of Clinton fans.
But the trend lines are more mixed. Here are the polls released over the past three days and finished within the last week compared to the most recent poll in the same contest from the same pollster.1
....(table not c/p'd)....
In only three of the 16 polls has the race shifted in Clinton’s direction. It’s moved toward Trump in 10. Indeed, the average poll has moved 2.8 percentage points toward Trump."
In NH, but they don't decide the race. The average is 5 and Trump has the momentum but I don't put a lot of stock in polling.Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Fivethirtyeight uses more advanced statistical models than simple polls, which is why I prefer them to RCP (Real Questionable Practices, according to 538) or just straight polls.
They are telling people today to hold their water on this Clinton 'rebound'
I agree with others that this race is tight. Clinton leads, yes, but one state moves against her and she loses and the trend is against her, at least for the time being.
Debates loom huge right now....
From the article:
.
"Yes, Clinton has gotten some good polls. A new Monmouth University survey showing her ahead by 9 percentage points in New Hampshire is a strong result. A SurveyMonkey poll finding her leading Trump by 5 points nationally is good. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll putting her up 6 points among likely voters will also warm the hearts of Clinton fans.
But the trend lines are more mixed. Here are the polls released over the past three days and finished within the last week compared to the most recent poll in the same contest from the same pollster.1
....(table not c/p'd)....
In only three of the 16 polls has the race shifted in Clinton’s direction. It’s moved toward Trump in 10. Indeed, the average poll has moved 2.8 percentage points toward Trump."
9 points up with 45 days to go or so…even better for the future President Clinton.
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Fivethirtyeight uses more advanced statistical models than simple polls, which is why I prefer them to RCP (Real Questionable Practices, according to 538) or just straight polls.
They are telling people today to hold their water on this Clinton 'rebound'
I agree with others that this race is tight. Clinton leads, yes, but one state moves against her and she loses and the trend is against her, at least for the time being.
Debates loom huge right now....
From the article:
.
"Yes, Clinton has gotten some good polls. A new Monmouth University survey showing her ahead by 9 percentage points in New Hampshire is a strong result. A SurveyMonkey poll finding her leading Trump by 5 points nationally is good. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll putting her up 6 points among likely voters will also warm the hearts of Clinton fans.
But the trend lines are more mixed. Here are the polls released over the past three days and finished within the last week compared to the most recent poll in the same contest from the same pollster.1
....(table not c/p'd)....
In only three of the 16 polls has the race shifted in Clinton’s direction. It’s moved toward Trump in 10. Indeed, the average poll has moved 2.8 percentage points toward Trump."
9 points up with 45 days to go or so…even better for the future President Clinton.
We haven't had the first debate yet. We haven't had the Assange e-mail dump yet. This race is essentially deadlocked. That's reality.
your wishful thinking is amusing
the fact that you think putin's boy assange should tilt this election is particularly loser-ish
She's not winning in Florida.
But who really cares.
The point is that this thing is a lot closer than it was a month ago and Clinton isn't cruising. She's got fouled machinery all over the place.
A 60% chance of winning in CO at this point would be a reason for concern.
Okay, take Florida off the blue map. Oh oh, she still has over 270. Last I checked it takes 270 to win.
And if you take Nevada off too…she still has over 270.
No need to worry about Colorado. Obama carried it by 2% over Romney who was from a neighboring state. Its gone blue in both the last 2 elections, has a democrat governor…
HRC is cruising.
Hillary is doing anything but "cruising", Candy! To show you how confused her campaign "message" is at the moment here in Florida the Clinton ad that they're running over and over again is one that attempts to paint Trump as hating the military because he wasn't in the military. What's laughable about THAT is it's coming from the Clinton's...a couple that has never respected the military. If that's the best thing they could come up with to "hit" Trump with...then they're in serious trouble! Especially with the Assange e-mail "reveal" due right before the election! Anytime someone pulls back the curtains and gives the American people a look at who the Clinton's really are and what they've done...Hillary's numbers take a nose dive. That's what Assange is about to do!
So HRC’s campaign is in trouble because she is running ads about how Donald “likes soldiers who were not captured”…
And Trump’s is in good shape because it’s depending on a hacker wanted by the authorities for date rape to release a supposed authentic e-mail.
Got it.
Admit it, Candy...the Clinton's have never been supporters of the military...yet she's now contending that she'd somehow be a better Commander in Chief because Trump likes soldiers who were not captured? She disliked the military so much that she didn't want them to wear uniforms when the visited the White House!
As for Assange? He's slime. The e-mails that he has access to however reveal the REAL Hillary Clinton and that's bad news for Hillary because the REAL Hillary Clinton is corrupt as the day is long!
She’s contending she’d be a better commander in chief because she has experience on the world stage, doesn’t think she knows more than the generals do, and has the proper contemplative temperament. Trump has said we are going to “take the oil” from ISIS. That means boots on the ground for the 3rd time in 25 years in the middle east. No thanks.
If you believe the man is slime…i’m curious how do you know what he is revealing is truthful? Oh yeah, I forgot; content=credibility in the world of Conservatives.
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Fivethirtyeight uses more advanced statistical models than simple polls, which is why I prefer them to RCP (Real Questionable Practices, according to 538) or just straight polls.
They are telling people today to hold their water on this Clinton 'rebound'
I agree with others that this race is tight. Clinton leads, yes, but one state moves against her and she loses and the trend is against her, at least for the time being.
Debates loom huge right now....
From the article:
.
"Yes, Clinton has gotten some good polls. A new Monmouth University survey showing her ahead by 9 percentage points in New Hampshire is a strong result. A SurveyMonkey poll finding her leading Trump by 5 points nationally is good. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll putting her up 6 points among likely voters will also warm the hearts of Clinton fans.
But the trend lines are more mixed. Here are the polls released over the past three days and finished within the last week compared to the most recent poll in the same contest from the same pollster.1
....(table not c/p'd)....
In only three of the 16 polls has the race shifted in Clinton’s direction. It’s moved toward Trump in 10. Indeed, the average poll has moved 2.8 percentage points toward Trump."
The one phrase that makes me the most nervous is "well, it can't get any worse!"Yeah, great point.That's all that matters.
Trump clearly experienced some momentum, but it has to continue.
The wild cards remain the debates and October surprises.
.
I agree.
And I really do think that people can swing on this one a lot easier.
There are a lot of people fed up with these two and the whole thing.
I do think there's possibility of a nihilist vote for Trump: "Aw, fuck it, let's see what happens".
What a terrible choice.
.
What have you got to lose ?
Oh brother.........................
Yeah. It can. It really can.
.
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Fivethirtyeight uses more advanced statistical models than simple polls, which is why I prefer them to RCP (Real Questionable Practices, according to 538) or just straight polls.
They are telling people today to hold their water on this Clinton 'rebound'
I agree with others that this race is tight. Clinton leads, yes, but one state moves against her and she loses and the trend is against her, at least for the time being.
Debates loom huge right now....
From the article:
.
"Yes, Clinton has gotten some good polls. A new Monmouth University survey showing her ahead by 9 percentage points in New Hampshire is a strong result. A SurveyMonkey poll finding her leading Trump by 5 points nationally is good. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll putting her up 6 points among likely voters will also warm the hearts of Clinton fans.
But the trend lines are more mixed. Here are the polls released over the past three days and finished within the last week compared to the most recent poll in the same contest from the same pollster.1
....(table not c/p'd)....
In only three of the 16 polls has the race shifted in Clinton’s direction. It’s moved toward Trump in 10. Indeed, the average poll has moved 2.8 percentage points toward Trump."
He has him at over 40% the last I looked.
That up from a generous 20% a month ago.
You really think this is as bad as it can get?The one phrase that makes me the most nervous is "well, it can't get any worse!"Yeah, great point.That's all that matters.
Trump clearly experienced some momentum, but it has to continue.
The wild cards remain the debates and October surprises.
.
I agree.
And I really do think that people can swing on this one a lot easier.
There are a lot of people fed up with these two and the whole thing.
I do think there's possibility of a nihilist vote for Trump: "Aw, fuck it, let's see what happens".
What a terrible choice.
.
What have you got to lose ?
Oh brother.........................
Yeah. It can. It really can.
.
11 million illegals living in a racially divided country, nearly 20 Trillion in debt, with a marriage law that can't stop any two or more people from entering it while folks can't even tell which bathroom they are supposed to use.........
Clue me in again as to how it could get worse?
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Fivethirtyeight uses more advanced statistical models than simple polls, which is why I prefer them to RCP (Real Questionable Practices, according to 538) or just straight polls.
They are telling people today to hold their water on this Clinton 'rebound'
I agree with others that this race is tight. Clinton leads, yes, but one state moves against her and she loses and the trend is against her, at least for the time being.
Debates loom huge right now....
From the article:
.
"Yes, Clinton has gotten some good polls. A new Monmouth University survey showing her ahead by 9 percentage points in New Hampshire is a strong result. A SurveyMonkey poll finding her leading Trump by 5 points nationally is good. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll putting her up 6 points among likely voters will also warm the hearts of Clinton fans.
But the trend lines are more mixed. Here are the polls released over the past three days and finished within the last week compared to the most recent poll in the same contest from the same pollster.1
....(table not c/p'd)....
In only three of the 16 polls has the race shifted in Clinton’s direction. It’s moved toward Trump in 10. Indeed, the average poll has moved 2.8 percentage points toward Trump."
He has him at over 40% the last I looked.
That up from a generous 20% a month ago.
yep. A few days ago he drew almost even in the fivethirtyeight "now poll"
Whatever the causes, the race is tight enough that Trump has a realistic shot.
That amazes me as much as the next guy, but that's the case at the moment....
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Fivethirtyeight uses more advanced statistical models than simple polls, which is why I prefer them to RCP (Real Questionable Practices, according to 538) or just straight polls.
They are telling people today to hold their water on this Clinton 'rebound'
I agree with others that this race is tight. Clinton leads, yes, but one state moves against her and she loses and the trend is against her, at least for the time being.
Debates loom huge right now....
From the article:
.
"Yes, Clinton has gotten some good polls. A new Monmouth University survey showing her ahead by 9 percentage points in New Hampshire is a strong result. A SurveyMonkey poll finding her leading Trump by 5 points nationally is good. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll putting her up 6 points among likely voters will also warm the hearts of Clinton fans.
But the trend lines are more mixed. Here are the polls released over the past three days and finished within the last week compared to the most recent poll in the same contest from the same pollster.1
....(table not c/p'd)....
In only three of the 16 polls has the race shifted in Clinton’s direction. It’s moved toward Trump in 10. Indeed, the average poll has moved 2.8 percentage points toward Trump."
He has him at over 40% the last I looked.
That up from a generous 20% a month ago.
yep. A few days ago he drew almost even in the fivethirtyeight "now poll"
Whatever the causes, the race is tight enough that Trump has a realistic shot.
That amazes me as much as the next guy, but that's the case at the moment....
He made it to a 42% chance of winning the WH at 538. That may be his peak. Now he is falling.
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Election Update: Reports Of A Clinton Rebound Have Been Greatly Exaggerated
Fivethirtyeight uses more advanced statistical models than simple polls, which is why I prefer them to RCP (Real Questionable Practices, according to 538) or just straight polls.
They are telling people today to hold their water on this Clinton 'rebound'
I agree with others that this race is tight. Clinton leads, yes, but one state moves against her and she loses and the trend is against her, at least for the time being.
Debates loom huge right now....
From the article:
.
"Yes, Clinton has gotten some good polls. A new Monmouth University survey showing her ahead by 9 percentage points in New Hampshire is a strong result. A SurveyMonkey poll finding her leading Trump by 5 points nationally is good. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll putting her up 6 points among likely voters will also warm the hearts of Clinton fans.
But the trend lines are more mixed. Here are the polls released over the past three days and finished within the last week compared to the most recent poll in the same contest from the same pollster.1
....(table not c/p'd)....
In only three of the 16 polls has the race shifted in Clinton’s direction. It’s moved toward Trump in 10. Indeed, the average poll has moved 2.8 percentage points toward Trump."
9 points up with 45 days to go or so…even better for the future President Clinton.
Wow, great cherry-pick!
Also from the article, which I didn't post, but I should have known better than to think people would actually bother to read it before embarking on their partisan spin expeditions:
"Hillary Clinton’s chances of winning the White House are still near an all-time low in the FiveThirtyEight forecasts, although they’re up a smidge from earlier in the week."
Your opinion is noted.Okay, take Florida off the blue map. Oh oh, she still has over 270. Last I checked it takes 270 to win.
And if you take Nevada off too…she still has over 270.
No need to worry about Colorado. Obama carried it by 2% over Romney who was from a neighboring state. Its gone blue in both the last 2 elections, has a democrat governor…
HRC is cruising.
Hillary is doing anything but "cruising", Candy! To show you how confused her campaign "message" is at the moment here in Florida the Clinton ad that they're running over and over again is one that attempts to paint Trump as hating the military because he wasn't in the military. What's laughable about THAT is it's coming from the Clinton's...a couple that has never respected the military. If that's the best thing they could come up with to "hit" Trump with...then they're in serious trouble! Especially with the Assange e-mail "reveal" due right before the election! Anytime someone pulls back the curtains and gives the American people a look at who the Clinton's really are and what they've done...Hillary's numbers take a nose dive. That's what Assange is about to do!
So HRC’s campaign is in trouble because she is running ads about how Donald “likes soldiers who were not captured”…
And Trump’s is in good shape because it’s depending on a hacker wanted by the authorities for date rape to release a supposed authentic e-mail.
Got it.
Admit it, Candy...the Clinton's have never been supporters of the military...yet she's now contending that she'd somehow be a better Commander in Chief because Trump likes soldiers who were not captured? She disliked the military so much that she didn't want them to wear uniforms when the visited the White House!
As for Assange? He's slime. The e-mails that he has access to however reveal the REAL Hillary Clinton and that's bad news for Hillary because the REAL Hillary Clinton is corrupt as the day is long!
She’s contending she’d be a better commander in chief because she has experience on the world stage, doesn’t think she knows more than the generals do, and has the proper contemplative temperament. Trump has said we are going to “take the oil” from ISIS. That means boots on the ground for the 3rd time in 25 years in the middle east. No thanks.
If you believe the man is slime…i’m curious how do you know what he is revealing is truthful? Oh yeah, I forgot; content=credibility in the world of Conservatives.
Oh, she has "experience" on the world stage all right, Candy! The only problem is that it isn’t positive experience.
She thought about running in 2016. Has done it. And is winning. And will win. Executing a strategy takes time. All trump and his enablers seem to admire is acting before a strategy is even discussed."Contemplative temperament"? Oh you mean she thinks about acting yet seldom does?
This is true. But rare is the case where they are doing the heavy lifting in combat situations. “Taking the oil” is not only illegal, it’s going to cost a large number of casualties. Again….you don’t make statements like that unless you want to impress the mindless hordes….like you.I hate to break this to you Candy but we HAVE boots on the ground in the Middle East! Barry had to send troops back in to try and salvage the mess that he made by pulling them out prematurely.
As for the truthfulness of Assange? Show me something he's released that you don't find credible...
Your opinion is noted.Hillary is doing anything but "cruising", Candy! To show you how confused her campaign "message" is at the moment here in Florida the Clinton ad that they're running over and over again is one that attempts to paint Trump as hating the military because he wasn't in the military. What's laughable about THAT is it's coming from the Clinton's...a couple that has never respected the military. If that's the best thing they could come up with to "hit" Trump with...then they're in serious trouble! Especially with the Assange e-mail "reveal" due right before the election! Anytime someone pulls back the curtains and gives the American people a look at who the Clinton's really are and what they've done...Hillary's numbers take a nose dive. That's what Assange is about to do!
So HRC’s campaign is in trouble because she is running ads about how Donald “likes soldiers who were not captured”…
And Trump’s is in good shape because it’s depending on a hacker wanted by the authorities for date rape to release a supposed authentic e-mail.
Got it.
Admit it, Candy...the Clinton's have never been supporters of the military...yet she's now contending that she'd somehow be a better Commander in Chief because Trump likes soldiers who were not captured? She disliked the military so much that she didn't want them to wear uniforms when the visited the White House!
As for Assange? He's slime. The e-mails that he has access to however reveal the REAL Hillary Clinton and that's bad news for Hillary because the REAL Hillary Clinton is corrupt as the day is long!
She’s contending she’d be a better commander in chief because she has experience on the world stage, doesn’t think she knows more than the generals do, and has the proper contemplative temperament. Trump has said we are going to “take the oil” from ISIS. That means boots on the ground for the 3rd time in 25 years in the middle east. No thanks.
If you believe the man is slime…i’m curious how do you know what he is revealing is truthful? Oh yeah, I forgot; content=credibility in the world of Conservatives.
Oh, she has "experience" on the world stage all right, Candy! The only problem is that it isn’t positive experience.
She thought about running in 2016. Has done it. And is winning. And will win. Executing a strategy takes time. All trump and his enablers seem to admire is acting before a strategy is even discussed."Contemplative temperament"? Oh you mean she thinks about acting yet seldom does?
This is true. But rare is the case where they are doing the heavy lifting in combat situations. “Taking the oil” is not only illegal, it’s going to cost a large number of casualties. Again….you don’t make statements like that unless you want to impress the mindless hordes….like you.I hate to break this to you Candy but we HAVE boots on the ground in the Middle East! Barry had to send troops back in to try and salvage the mess that he made by pulling them out prematurely.
As for the truthfulness of Assange? Show me something he's released that you don't find credible...
Well, that’s just it with criminals. Who knows what is truthful…what is false…what wasn’t released because it may have pertained to him or his allies??? When you live outside the law you no longer benefit from lady justice wearing her blindfold.
