jreeves
Senior Member
- Feb 12, 2008
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- #21
I believe 2010 will be a terrible year for the Dems. Trends show that this may very well be the case.
RealClearPolitics - Election Other - Generic Congressional Vote
RealClearPolitics - Election 2009 - Virginia Governor - McDonnell vs. Deeds
RealClearPolitics - Election 2009 - New Jersey Governor - Corzine vs. Christie
The latest poll shows that Dems are trailing by 5 points and the two Governor races show that Dems will both of these races.
Corzine was never that well liked so the NJ poll doesn't surprise me, but I'm not sure how that's going to amount to Republicans taking any new seat in the House from there. Other than Monmouth/Ocean counties and the extreme northern part of the state, it'll never turn red.
The general poll totals suggest a slight edge for Democrats, so, I'm not sure what you're seeing that suggests any major Republican gain, the NJ governorship aside.
The general poll I am suggesting is the most recent which favors Rep. by 5 points. The other polling you are referring to is nearly a month old.