Many Are Afraid To Say It, but This Is Not a Close Race

[C_Clayton_Jones]

“Blame the election of 2016. Virtually everyone but the most die-hard Trump backers that year felt he would lose. Few forecasters thought it was possible for a candidate to lose the national popular vote by over 2 percentage points (nearly 3 million votes) and still win enough states to reach 270 electoral votes.
[…]
And where were the polls off in 2016? In those very states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Postelection studies revealed that, nationally, there was a slight over-sampling of whites with college degrees and a slight under-sampling of whites with less than four-year degrees. Since then, most pollsters have begun to correct for that, weighting white voters by level of educational attainment. Just this week, Pew Research released a report to guide state-level pollsters how to weight samples to correct for education.”

https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/many-are-afraid-say-it-not-close-race

Democrats in particular are afraid to say it – and understandably so; they would be wise to consider it a very close race.

 

[Marion Morrison]

OP is in for a rude awakening 11/4/2020.
Will you accept the election results, or no?

 

[BigDave]

This Presidential Election will be like 1980 or 1984 in my opinion.

 

[bluzman61]

“Blame the election of 2016. Virtually everyone but the most die-hard Trump backers that year felt he would lose. Few forecasters thought it was possible for a candidate to lose the national popular vote by over 2 percentage points (nearly 3 million votes) and still win enough states to reach 270 electoral votes.
[…]
And where were the polls off in 2016? In those very states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Postelection studies revealed that, nationally, there was a slight over-sampling of whites with college degrees and a slight under-sampling of whites with less than four-year degrees. Since then, most pollsters have begun to correct for that, weighting white voters by level of educational attainment. Just this week, Pew Research released a report to guide state-level pollsters how to weight samples to correct for education.”

https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/many-are-afraid-say-it-not-close-race

Democrats in particular are afraid to say it – and understandably so; they would be wise to consider it a very close race.

Trump will CRUSH Biden this November. Thank you.

 

[Meathead]

This Presidential Election will be like 1980 or 1984 in my opinion.

Reps keep the WH and Senate, Dems the House.

 

[bigrebnc1775]

“Blame the election of 2016. Virtually everyone but the most die-hard Trump backers that year felt he would lose. Few forecasters thought it was possible for a candidate to lose the national popular vote by over 2 percentage points (nearly 3 million votes) and still win enough states to reach 270 electoral votes.
[…]
And where were the polls off in 2016? In those very states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Postelection studies revealed that, nationally, there was a slight over-sampling of whites with college degrees and a slight under-sampling of whites with less than four-year degrees. Since then, most pollsters have begun to correct for that, weighting white voters by level of educational attainment. Just this week, Pew Research released a report to guide state-level pollsters how to weight samples to correct for education.”

https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/many-are-afraid-say-it-not-close-race

Democrats in particular are afraid to say it – and understandably so; they would be wise to consider it a very close race.

More leftists controlled mainstream media polls lol

 

[toobfreak]

Since then, most pollsters have begun to correct for that, weighting white voters by level of educational attainment.

The author says it all: He just doesn't see. As far as weighting voters by educational attainment, this perpetuates the myth that higher education (skills training) correlates with higher intelligence. As we have seen, some of the biggest idiots walking around have advanced degrees and some of the smartest people I've ever met were sitting on a bar stool.

Never mind that talking to democrats, most of them are idiots with their heads up their asses. Let's not even get into the masses of black people and others of low income living in public housing with not even HS diplomas and IQs of 70 who vote straight Democrat.

Yep, the author doesn't see, and when the country careens over Joe Biden this Fall, the Democrats will once again say it didn't show up in their polling so must have been another Russian invasion, another failing of the Post Office, another evil manipulation of the states by Trump, another freak variation of the electorate by the under-educated and under-informed, and then Joe can write us another book about it, what really happened, as he slides off into historical irrelevancy.

 

[bigrebnc1775]

This Presidential Election will be like 1980 or 1984 in my opinion.

Reps keep the WH and Senate, Dems the House.

don't count on that. If Democrats continue to allow the riots could possibly be a clean sweep even in democrat controlled areas.

 

[BigDave]

This Presidential Election will be like 1980 or 1984 in my opinion.

Reps keep the WH and Senate, Dems the House.

I think collapse of the Democrats leads to Republicans controlling Congress and Nancy Pelosi possibly losing her House race in California.

 

[bigrebnc1775]

Since then, most pollsters have begun to correct for that, weighting white voters by level of educational attainment.

The author says it all: He just doesn't see. As far as weighting voters by educational attainment, this perpetuates the myth that higher education (skills training) correlates with higher intelligence. As we have seen, some of the biggest idiots walking around have advanced degrees and some of the smartest people I've ever met were sitting on a bar stool.

Never mind that talking to democrats, most of them are idiots with their heads up their asses. Let's not even get into the masses of black people and others of low income living in public housing with not even HS diplomas and IQs of 70 who vote straight Democrat.

Yep, the author doesn't see, and when the country careens over Joe Biden this Fall, the Democrats will once again say it didn't show up in their polling so must have been another Russian invasion, another failing of the Post Office, another evil manipulation of the states by Trump, another freak variation of the electoral by the under-educated and under-informed, and then Joe can write us another book about it, what really happened, as he slides off into historical irrelevancy.

I watched the movie "the hunt" last night laughed my ass off at the stereotypical they portrayed the characters.

 

[bigrebnc1775]

This Presidential Election will be like 1980 or 1984 in my opinion.

Reps keep the WH and Senate, Dems the House.

I think collapse of the Democrats leads to Republicans controlling Congress and Nancy Pelosi possibly losing her House race in California.

I have this gut feeling that because of the riots in democrat controlled areas a lot of old big named democrats may very well lose.

 

[Marion Morrison]

This Presidential Election will be like 1980 or 1984 in my opinion.

Reps keep the WH and Senate, Dems the House.

I think collapse of the Democrats leads to Republicans controlling Congress and Nancy Pelosi possibly losing her House race in California.

Pelosi losing would be like when water got thrown on The Wicked Witch of The West in Wizard of Oz.

 

[Marion Morrison]

Since then, most pollsters have begun to correct for that, weighting white voters by level of educational attainment.

The author says it all: He just doesn't see. As far as weighting voters by educational attainment, this perpetuates the myth that higher education (skills training) correlates with higher intelligence. As we have seen, some of the biggest idiots walking around have advanced degrees and some of the smartest people I've ever met were sitting on a bar stool.

Never mind that talking to democrats, most of them are idiots with their heads up their asses. Let's not even get into the masses of black people and others of low income living in public housing with not even HS diplomas and IQs of 70 who vote straight Democrat.

Yep, the author doesn't see, and when the country careens over Joe Biden this Fall, the Democrats will once again say it didn't show up in their polling so must have been another Russian invasion, another failing of the Post Office, another evil manipulation of the states by Trump, another freak variation of the electoral by the under-educated and under-informed, and then Joe can write us another book about it, what really happened, as he slides off into historical irrelevancy.

I watched the movie "the hunt" last night laughed my ass off at the stereotypical they portrayed the characters.

Try "The Hunted", Pretty good movie.

 

[bigrebnc1775]

Since then, most pollsters have begun to correct for that, weighting white voters by level of educational attainment.

The author says it all: He just doesn't see. As far as weighting voters by educational attainment, this perpetuates the myth that higher education (skills training) correlates with higher intelligence. As we have seen, some of the biggest idiots walking around have advanced degrees and some of the smartest people I've ever met were sitting on a bar stool.

Never mind that talking to democrats, most of them are idiots with their heads up their asses. Let's not even get into the masses of black people and others of low income living in public housing with not even HS diplomas and IQs of 70 who vote straight Democrat.

Yep, the author doesn't see, and when the country careens over Joe Biden this Fall, the Democrats will once again say it didn't show up in their polling so must have been another Russian invasion, another failing of the Post Office, another evil manipulation of the states by Trump, another freak variation of the electoral by the under-educated and under-informed, and then Joe can write us another book about it, what really happened, as he slides off into historical irrelevancy.

I watched the movie "the hunt" last night laughed my ass off at the stereotypical they portrayed the characters.

Try "The Hunted", Pretty good movie.

Never could grasp the concept of the pig in the hunt though
But what do you expect coming from the minds of the liberal movie maker lol

 

[Marion Morrison]

Since then, most pollsters have begun to correct for that, weighting white voters by level of educational attainment.

The author says it all: He just doesn't see. As far as weighting voters by educational attainment, this perpetuates the myth that higher education (skills training) correlates with higher intelligence. As we have seen, some of the biggest idiots walking around have advanced degrees and some of the smartest people I've ever met were sitting on a bar stool.

Never mind that talking to democrats, most of them are idiots with their heads up their asses. Let's not even get into the masses of black people and others of low income living in public housing with not even HS diplomas and IQs of 70 who vote straight Democrat.

Yep, the author doesn't see, and when the country careens over Joe Biden this Fall, the Democrats will once again say it didn't show up in their polling so must have been another Russian invasion, another failing of the Post Office, another evil manipulation of the states by Trump, another freak variation of the electoral by the under-educated and under-informed, and then Joe can write us another book about it, what really happened, as he slides off into historical irrelevancy.

I watched the movie "the hunt" last night laughed my ass off at the stereotypical they portrayed the characters.

Try "The Hunted", Pretty good movie.

Never could grasp the concept of the pig in the hunt though
But what do you expect coming from the minds of the liberal movie maker lol

Hmm..pigs can get rid of bodies.

 

[toobfreak]

This Presidential Election will be like 1980 or 1984 in my opinion.

Reps keep the WH and Senate, Dems the House.

I think collapse of the Democrats leads to Republicans controlling Congress and Nancy Pelosi possibly losing her House race in California.

Pelosi losing would be like when water got thrown on The Wicked Witch of The West in Wizard of Oz.

 

[Muhammed]

This Presidential Election will be like 1980 or 1984 in my opinion.

You're dreaming. Independents vote according to the economy. And since half of them don't know jack shit about politics or economics, the incumbent president will always gets the blame/credit for the current economy whether it's justified or not.

It's going to be a close race.

 

[Toro]

You're dreaming. Independents vote according to the economy. And since they don't know jack shit about politics, the incumbent gets the blame.

It's going to be a close race.

I don't think it's the economy this time, though it doesn't help Trump like it would have without the pandemic.

It's more his handling of the pandemic. Polls have consistently shown that ~60% of Americans disapprove of his handling of it. His support amongst seniors - who supported him in 2016 - has fallen sharply because he's downplayed the virus. Most of the deaths have been over 65, and many seniors view Trump as being indifferent to the risks they face.

But in the end, it's a referendum on Trump. He's getting hammered in the suburbs, just like the Republicans were hammered in the suburbs in 2018. That's why the GOP was invoking rioters coming to the suburbs at their convention. He's also losing college-educated whites badly, a cohort the Republicans have won every election since polling began in the 1950s. There simply aren't enough uneducated rural white voters for Trump to win. He has to start expanding his base.

Or wait for the Democrats to do something incredibly stupid, which is highly plausible. The Democrats have a remarkable ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

 

[there4eyeM]

Why would it not be a close race when both sides of the duopoly are so close to the bottom?

 

[bigrebnc1775]

Since then, most pollsters have begun to correct for that, weighting white voters by level of educational attainment.

The author says it all: He just doesn't see. As far as weighting voters by educational attainment, this perpetuates the myth that higher education (skills training) correlates with higher intelligence. As we have seen, some of the biggest idiots walking around have advanced degrees and some of the smartest people I've ever met were sitting on a bar stool.

Never mind that talking to democrats, most of them are idiots with their heads up their asses. Let's not even get into the masses of black people and others of low income living in public housing with not even HS diplomas and IQs of 70 who vote straight Democrat.

Yep, the author doesn't see, and when the country careens over Joe Biden this Fall, the Democrats will once again say it didn't show up in their polling so must have been another Russian invasion, another failing of the Post Office, another evil manipulation of the states by Trump, another freak variation of the electoral by the under-educated and under-informed, and then Joe can write us another book about it, what really happened, as he slides off into historical irrelevancy.

I watched the movie "the hunt" last night laughed my ass off at the stereotypical they portrayed the characters.

Try "The Hunted", Pretty good movie.

Never could grasp the concept of the pig in the hunt though
But what do you expect coming from the minds of the liberal movie maker lol

Hmm..pigs can get rid of bodies.

this pig was the Arnold green acres type pig lol