So the Bastard is dead, and that is Great. Kudos to Obama, and everyone involved for getting his ass. Now, Are we going to stay Involved or just let events run their course? My Predictions if we do not make a substantial effort to stop it is this. Libya has 13 Major Tribes and 3 Distinct Regions. I don't think we have seen the end of the fighting. Libya is another country put together by Colonial Powers, that has no real reason to be a country, nothing that Unites them as a people, there is in fact a lot of conflict and Rivalry among the Tribes, and a Huge Difference between the 3 Regions of the Country. The Oil the Country has is all on one Area. It is hard to see them different Factions not fighting over control of the Oil and the Country. I Predict the end result will be either Libya Split into more than once Country, or Libya United By Force by one Groups Oppressing the others. I give the chances of a stable Democracy coming out of this, with out Massive engagement by the west, about .000001%.