Discussion in 'USMB Breaking News' started by Mrs. M., Feb 9, 2016.
Not a surprise. Won't carry
You guys are funny. Cruz barely wins Iowa (and insignificant state) and it's a crushing defeat for Trump. Trump wins very decisively in N.H. (an important state) and it's no big deal.
Apples and oranges. When your only topic Is how well you're doing and the score is tied.,...not good
Count the delegates idiot NOT the states.
How do you figure the score is tied?
Won't be tied for long... In State count or delegate count.
The problem with being an "outsider" is that you have to learn on the fly how to organize a campaign. If someone with less ego were the candidate, they would hire someone to do it, leave them to it and do what they are told by the political spin doctors. Bill Clinton would have never been elected without James Carvelle; likewise for Trump with Pulloffe (sp?) and Axelrod. Same with Bush and Rove on the GOP side.
Anyway, with your Messiah Trump, the problem is that you can no longer spend 6 months focused on a few primaries. In some cases there are multiple primaries on one day. It becomes more about the ground game. Another one of Trump's problems is that your guys on the ground gotta believe. His policies are nebulous at best.
This will play out over time.
The other candidates are going after each other. None of them are likely to win a primary any time soon, they can only fight for second place and hope they can hold it long enough for somebody to drop out. Not likely, and Trump won 2 to 1 with a lousy ground game, as you say. And if that ground game improves (likely) he'll be unstoppable.
Cruz is going after Trump only and will be less encumbered now that Senator Rubio is no longer going to be a factor
As for NH...
He's been there something like 30 times in 6 months if I recall correctly. You cannot do that later in the election season...which is why you need the ground game.
Cruz is going after Trump but the other candidates will be going after Cruz. The fight now is for second place and Trump will benefit every time. And Trump visiting N.H. 30 times in 6 months doesn't explain why he's leading by double digits in S.C. and Nevada. Who is it you think is going to replace Trump as the front runner? None of them are showing any consistent strength, just occasional spurts. Trump is the consistent one. He may come in second a time or two but I don't see him coming in third in any of the upcoming primaries. Can't say that about any of the other candidates.
"Trump Wins New Hampshire Primary!"
So did Santorum and Huckabee.
ETA: yes, in Iowa, not NH.
The point being it's far too early to infer anything from one caucus and one primary in states not representative of the Nation as a whole.
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