Iran Response a Paper Dragon

GHook93

Aristotle
Apr 22, 2007
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Since I read a few thread about Israel attacking Iran, because one ex-CIA agents thinks so, I figured to analysis their response. You hear the leftist screaming how tough Iran is, but in reality their response won't be much more than Iraq and Syria's response to Israel taking out their nuclear arms facilities!

Here are the Iranian Response Methods:
(1) By the Air:
First Israel's airforce is stronger than the entire Middle East and Persia air force combined. One of the strongest in the world. Iran has a tiny airforce made of mostly of pre-'79 US fighter Jets. It would be no match for Israel's airforce in its current compacity. Nevertheless, Israel no doubt has been planning any future attack for years. One prime target will be Iran's airforce. The air is out.

(2) Missile Attack:
Although this might be Iran's best direct attack method, its nothing more and an empty threat. Iran likes to brag (so do the leftist) about its vast offensive missiles. However, its bark not bite. First, their offensive missiles stockade is not nearly as large as they make it out to be. Second, the length Iranian missiles have to travel is a extremely long. This makes them easily detectable. Third, Israel has some of the best missile shields in the world, which are even more effective given the size of Israel. Lastly, the Iranian missiles are not the high quality they make them out to be. The offensive missile claim is a PAPER DRAGON.

(3) Naval attack:
Iran's navy is like its airforce. Small and outdated. First it wouldn't be match for Israel's navy. Second, even if it was, it would be intercepted by many different navies (Britian, French, Italian, Turkish, Saudi Arabian, Iraqi, US even Russian) and would have to engage in combat to even get a chance to get slaughtered by Israel's navy. The by the sea option is out.

(4) Ground forces:
This would be Iran's biggest military advantage over Israel, since it has a larger active armed forces and a 10 fold larger population. However, ground troops mean little if they can't get to the battle field. The air transportation is out. Sea transportation is out and Iraq, Turk, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and even Syria, wouldn't allow a massive Iranian ground force to travel through its country. The ground troops would have no way to get to the battle. A few special force agents might be able to slip through the cracks into Syria or Lebanon and engaged in direct conflict, but the mass amount of troops needed for the ground forces to be in Iran's favor would be near impossible for Iran. Not to mention shear numbers have meant very little in the pass. In '48 (when Israel didn't have a sophisticated military), '67 and '73 massive amount of ground troops were sent (much bigger than what Iran could even muster) received royal ass-kickings. Check this one off the list.

(5) Proxy Wars (meaning Hamas, Hezbollah and Syria):[/B]
First, Syria has enough troubles at home at the moment and if Syrian wanted war with Israel they would have provoked one by now. Make no mistake, the Syrian Alawites (which is a branch of Shia Islam) rule is over Sunni Islam is very much under attack in Syria. The Shia reign in Syria will be over. Ever wonder about Assad and Iran's connection. They share Shia Islam. You might hear some Syrian's talk tough, but they without a doubt fear war with Israel. If they wanted war, they had more than opportune time to engage in war, when Israel blew up its nuclear site. Syria will not go to war with Israel for itself, so why would anyone think they would for Iran.

Second, accept it or not, Cast Lead was amazingly successful. The missile attacks stopped (or have become a rare occurence), Hamas fears for its life and even seems to be moderating and it exposed Hamas's capacities as extremely limited. No true large scale threat there.

Third, Hezbollah. People like to say Hezbollah kicked Israel's ass, but look at the facts. The destruction to Lebanon was enormous. Not so much to Israel. While Hezbollah has rearmed, they have done a lot to avoid any confrontation with Israel. Heck their leader is deathly afraid to come out in public even in his own country. Believe it or not Israel fought the Second Lebanon war with its hands tied behind its back. If Hezbollah goes to war with Israel for Iran, you better believe it will be a bloody massacre and the Liberals will be crying louder than ever.

Iran might talk tough and the liberals might say they are tough, but they are a party dragon. They would respond to being attacked, but not with the success and magnitude the antisemite groups hopes they would have.

Their greatest threats would be shutting does the Straits of Hormuz, that would be devastating to world wide oil price (not to mention the Iranian economy, since oil exports is its lifeline)!
 
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