JoeB131
Diamond Member
Wrong. Presidents don't get voted out during soaring economies. Obama has more faith in his ability to campaign and manipulate and distort reality than to actually fix the economy.
Presidents also get re-elected with limp economies... so that isn't much of an argument.
To unseat an incumbant president, you need a number of factors.
1) Dissatisfaction within his own party, manifesting itself in the form of a challenger. Had that with Teddy Roosevelt against Taft in 1912, Reagan against Ford in 1976, Ted Kennedy against Carter in 1980 and Pat Buchanan in 1992.
2) A third party challenger scooping up independents. Such as Ross Perot or John Anderson. Not happening this time.
3) A firm belief that the economy is the fault of the President or the President's party. That's generally not the case here, most fair minded people realize Obama inherited a mess.
4) And this is a key one. A really dynamic candidate that one can rally behind as a challenger. As Boehner said, the only people enthusiastic about Romney are the Mormons.