FiveThirtyEight averages the polls on whether to Impeach Donald Trump

[Paulie]

Anybody see Pascale’s data from Minnesota? Im too lazy to link but they determined that 30% of the people there were registered Democrats and almost all from Minnesota. The rest of the data shows that these people’s previous voting history shows a lot of apathy. These are newly energized voters.

 

[bigrebnc1775]

The only poll that counts is those taken on election day.

UPDATE: here are the latest averages for support and don't support on impeachment as of October 14, 2019

50.2% support for impeachment

43.9 don't support impeachment.

Your numbers don't match Trumps rally attendance.

Only a small percentage of the population goes to political rally's. Scientific polling is far more representative of how people are feeling about Trump throughout the country.

LOL AND EVEN LESS ARE POLLED NOW WHAT?

All that matters is that you have scientific representative sample for the country. Most polls do.

Do yourself a favor don't follow the polls they will lead you wrong. Take my advice watch the rally attendance.

 

[Third Party]

UPDATE: here are the latest averages for support and don't support on impeachment

49.8% support for impeachment

44% Don't support impeachment

Support for impeachment continues to rise.

The only poll that counts is those taken on election day.

UPDATE: here are the latest averages for support and don't support on impeachment as of October 14, 2019

50.2% support for impeachment

43.9 don't support impeachment.

Your numbers don't match Trumps rally attendance.

That made no sense.

Your response made no sense at all.

People who count small things continuously, also watch clocks to make sure they are moving-old reference to nervous Nellies.

 

[U2Edge]

UPDATE: here are the latest averages for support and don't support on impeachment as of October 14, 2019

50.2% support for impeachment

43.9 don't support impeachment.

Your numbers don't match Trumps rally attendance.

Only a small percentage of the population goes to political rally's. Scientific polling is far more representative of how people are feeling about Trump throughout the country.

LOL AND EVEN LESS ARE POLLED NOW WHAT?

All that matters is that you have scientific representative sample for the country. Most polls do.

Do yourself a favor don't follow the polls they will lead you wrong. Take my advice watch the rally attendance.

Sorry, but you get a far more accurate picture from polling that is representative of the entire population as opposed to a rally that only includes hardcore Trump supporters.

 

[AzogtheDefiler]

FiveThirtyEight is averaging the polls on whether to impeach Donald Trump.

The link is below:

Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump?

This link is going to be updated hourly with the latest polls on impeachment.

The latest average on Saturday morning is the following:

49.3% support for impeachment

43.% Don't support impeachment



Its harder to take issue with this since its not just one poll, but an average of all polls that is being updated on an hourly basis. The above link is probably the best place to look to see how well cooked or not Donald Trump is going to be.

All Lefty polls. All to sway public opinion.. which you can’t.. have you seen his crowds? Hahah wow poll that

Those crowds are not representative of the country at large. They go to see Trump because they like to be entertained. Its a circus. Its the same time of people who watch the WWF or Nascar racing. A lot of these people will not vote on election day, because its not as fun going to watch someone entertain you.

Finally, Donald Trump and Republican congressman still use polling data. They are using it to plan their re-election campaigns for 2020. Trash polling all you want to, but even the people you support use polling.

I guess we will see huh lol keep looking at fake polls to get your through the day..

Just remember the people conducting these polls are even more bias then you haha

So why is Trump using polls to help plan his re-election campaign for 2020?

It’s called politics.

 

[AzogtheDefiler]

Your numbers don't match Trumps rally attendance.

Only a small percentage of the population goes to political rally's. Scientific polling is far more representative of how people are feeling about Trump throughout the country.

LOL AND EVEN LESS ARE POLLED NOW WHAT?

All that matters is that you have scientific representative sample for the country. Most polls do.

Do yourself a favor don't follow the polls they will lead you wrong. Take my advice watch the rally attendance.

Sorry, but you get a far more accurate picture from polling that is representative of the entire population as opposed to a rally that only includes hardcore Trump supporters.

Then how do you explain the 2016 election results?

 

[Remodeling Maidiac]

FiveThirtyEight is averaging the polls on whether to impeach Donald Trump.

The link is below:

Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump?

This link is going to be updated hourly with the latest polls on impeachment.

The latest average on Saturday morning is the following:

49.3% support for impeachment

43.% Don't support impeachment



Its harder to take issue with this since its not just one poll, but an average of all polls that is being updated on an hourly basis. The above link is probably the best place to look to see how well cooked or not Donald Trump is going to be.

Mob rule eh?

You'd fit right in in Ferguson or Baltimore. The rest of America, not so much.

 

[Meathead]

FiveThirtyEight is averaging the polls on whether to impeach Donald Trump.

The link is below:

Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump?

This link is going to be updated hourly with the latest polls on impeachment.

The latest average on Saturday morning is the following:

49.3% support for impeachment

43.% Don't support impeachment



Its harder to take issue with this since its not just one poll, but an average of all polls that is being updated on an hourly basis. The above link is probably the best place to look to see how well cooked or not Donald Trump is going to be.

You insist on flighty ideas of removing Trump from office which never pan out and result in still more butthurt. What's the point? The EC, Mueller, Stormy, Cohen etc. the Beast lost in 2016 and Pocahontas will lose next you. Get over it.

 

[Dragonlady]

Okay so again....why is Nancy not rushing this to the floor to vote on it? Why are the impeachment hearings not being made public? Is this then going to be a bipartisan vote if their case is so rock-solid?

Because the full House and Senate have been in recess for the past two weeks and won't be back in session until next Monday, and they need the information which White House staffers are currently providing in order to draft the Articles of Impeachment which will be voted on. This is the investigation phase, in order to determine charges. So far, we have "abuse of power", and "obstruction of Congress". Some sort of corruption/conspiracy charge pertaining to the recall of Ambassador Yovanovich is looking quite likely too.

Adam Schiff's committee is going to be hearing from a steady stream of White House employees, past and present, who are not going to be covering up for the President and lying for him. Everyone who did that in the Russian Investigation, is now in jail.

Unlike President Trump who just wakes up one morning and decides to do something, Pelosi takes her time and looks at all of the implications. The full caucus also needs to work out the process going forward, since there are no rules for the process.

 

[bigrebnc1775]

Your numbers don't match Trumps rally attendance.

Only a small percentage of the population goes to political rally's. Scientific polling is far more representative of how people are feeling about Trump throughout the country.

LOL AND EVEN LESS ARE POLLED NOW WHAT?

All that matters is that you have scientific representative sample for the country. Most polls do.

Do yourself a favor don't follow the polls they will lead you wrong. Take my advice watch the rally attendance.

Sorry, but you get a far more accurate picture from polling that is representative of the entire population as opposed to a rally that only includes hardcore Trump supporters.

Trumps rally attendance is as big now if not bigger than it was in 2016

 

[Fort Fun Indiana]

Only a small percentage of the population goes to political rally's. Scientific polling is far more representative of how people are feeling about Trump throughout the country.

LOL AND EVEN LESS ARE POLLED NOW WHAT?

All that matters is that you have scientific representative sample for the country. Most polls do.

Do yourself a favor don't follow the polls they will lead you wrong. Take my advice watch the rally attendance.

Sorry, but you get a far more accurate picture from polling that is representative of the entire population as opposed to a rally that only includes hardcore Trump supporters.

Trumps rally attendance is as big now if not bigger than it was in 2016

Which is a result of cultism, not a result of increased numbers of supporters.

 

[bigrebnc1775]

LOL AND EVEN LESS ARE POLLED NOW WHAT?

All that matters is that you have scientific representative sample for the country. Most polls do.

Do yourself a favor don't follow the polls they will lead you wrong. Take my advice watch the rally attendance.

Sorry, but you get a far more accurate picture from polling that is representative of the entire population as opposed to a rally that only includes hardcore Trump supporters.

Trumps rally attendance is as big now if not bigger than it was in 2016

Which is a result of cultism, not a result of increased numbers of supporters.

How can you have an increased result in cultism and not have an increased number of supporters you dumb son of a bitch? I guess it's that TDS making you say stupid shit.

 

[Zorro!]

FiveThirtyEight is averaging the polls on whether to impeach Donald Trump.

The link is below:

Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump?

This link is going to be updated hourly with the latest polls on impeachment.

The latest average on Saturday morning is the following:

49.3% support for impeachment

43.% Don't support impeachment



Its harder to take issue with this since its not just one poll, but an average of all polls that is being updated on an hourly basis. The above link is probably the best place to look to see how well cooked or not Donald Trump is going to be.

538 are you serious?

Some of 538's greatest hits:

Why Donald Trump Isn’t a Real Candidate, In One Chart

June 16, 2015

Taking into account name recognition, Trump’s net favorability rating (favorable minus unfavorable) of -32 percentage points stands out for its pure terribleness at this point in the campaign. Like his unfavorable rating, it is by far the worst of the 106 presidential candidates since 1980 who are in our database.

For this reason alone, Trump has a better chance of cameoing in another “Home Alone” movie with Macaulay Culkin — or playing in the NBA Finals — than winning the Republican nomination.

Donald Trump Is The World’s Greatest Troll
July 20, 2015

Trump has taken trolling to the next level by being willing to offend members of his own party. Ordinarily, this would be a counterproductive strategy. In a 16-candidate field, however, you can be in first place with 15 or 20 percent of the vote — even if the other 80 or 85 percent of voters hate your guts.

In the long run — as our experience with past trolls shows — Trump’s support will probably fade. Or at least, given his high unfavorable ratings, it will plateau, and other candidates will surpass him as the rest of the field consolidates.

August 5th podcast
Nate Silver predicted that Donald Trump had a 2 percent chance of winning the nomination. Katherine Miller of Buzzfeed put it at 0 percent. And FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten? Negative 10 percent.

View attachment upload_2019-10-15_22-31-14.gif
Donald Trump Is Winning the Polls—And Losing the Nomination
August 11, 2015

At FiveThirtyEight, however, we’re fairly agnostic about what will happen to Trump’s polling in the near term. It’s possible that he’s already peaked — or that he’ll hold his support all the way through Iowa and New Hampshire, possibly even winning one or two early states, as similar candidates like Pat Buchanan and Newt Gingrich have in the past. Our emphatic prediction is simply that Trump will not win the nomination. It’s not even clear that he’s trying to do so.

Was the Second Debate The Beginning of the End For Donald Trump?
September 24, 2015

Donald Trump: The polls clearly show Trump losing ground after his showdown with Fiorina. Even though a number of Republicans thought he won the debate, a larger percentage of Republicans said he did the worst job in it. Zogby was the only poll that had Trump gaining ground after the debate, and Zogby’s Internet polls earned an “F” in the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings. One cautionary note, though: Polls after the first debate also found Trump falling, but that drop didn’t last.

And on and on it goes, wishcasting dressed up as "scientific, super smart, data analysis".

Nate Silver's Very Very Wrong Predictions About Donald Trump Are Terrifying

WARNING LIGHTS ARE FLASHING DOWN IN NARRATIVE CONTROL: Brutal wipeout for Democrats in Louisiana, and the press trying to keep it quiet.

Well:

 

[U2Edge]

FiveThirtyEight is averaging the polls on whether to impeach Donald Trump.

The link is below:

Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump?

This link is going to be updated hourly with the latest polls on impeachment.

The latest average on Saturday morning is the following:

49.3% support for impeachment

43.% Don't support impeachment



Its harder to take issue with this since its not just one poll, but an average of all polls that is being updated on an hourly basis. The above link is probably the best place to look to see how well cooked or not Donald Trump is going to be.

All Lefty polls. All to sway public opinion.. which you can’t.. have you seen his crowds? Hahah wow poll that

Those crowds are not representative of the country at large. They go to see Trump because they like to be entertained. Its a circus. Its the same time of people who watch the WWF or Nascar racing. A lot of these people will not vote on election day, because its not as fun going to watch someone entertain you.

Finally, Donald Trump and Republican congressman still use polling data. They are using it to plan their re-election campaigns for 2020. Trash polling all you want to, but even the people you support use polling.

I guess we will see huh lol keep looking at fake polls to get your through the day..

Just remember the people conducting these polls are even more bias then you haha

So why is Trump using polls to help plan his re-election campaign for 2020?

It’s called politics.

Nope. It because he wants accurate information on where support for him is strong and where it is weak so he can properly devote campaign funds in 2020.

 

[U2Edge]

Only a small percentage of the population goes to political rally's. Scientific polling is far more representative of how people are feeling about Trump throughout the country.

LOL AND EVEN LESS ARE POLLED NOW WHAT?

All that matters is that you have scientific representative sample for the country. Most polls do.

Do yourself a favor don't follow the polls they will lead you wrong. Take my advice watch the rally attendance.

Sorry, but you get a far more accurate picture from polling that is representative of the entire population as opposed to a rally that only includes hardcore Trump supporters.

Then how do you explain the 2016 election results?

Hillary Clinton was predicted by the polls to when the popular vote by 3 percentage points. She won it by 2 percentage points instead. Only a rare fluke of the Electoral College allowed Trump to eek out a marginal victory with only a combined 77,000 votes in three states being the tiny thin difference in his weak and lucky win.

 

[U2Edge]

FiveThirtyEight is averaging the polls on whether to impeach Donald Trump.

The link is below:

Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump?

This link is going to be updated hourly with the latest polls on impeachment.

The latest average on Saturday morning is the following:

49.3% support for impeachment

43.% Don't support impeachment



Its harder to take issue with this since its not just one poll, but an average of all polls that is being updated on an hourly basis. The above link is probably the best place to look to see how well cooked or not Donald Trump is going to be.

538 are you serious?

Some of 538's greatest hits:

Why Donald Trump Isn’t a Real Candidate, In One Chart

June 16, 2015

Taking into account name recognition, Trump’s net favorability rating (favorable minus unfavorable) of -32 percentage points stands out for its pure terribleness at this point in the campaign. Like his unfavorable rating, it is by far the worst of the 106 presidential candidates since 1980 who are in our database.

For this reason alone, Trump has a better chance of cameoing in another “Home Alone” movie with Macaulay Culkin — or playing in the NBA Finals — than winning the Republican nomination.

Donald Trump Is The World’s Greatest Troll
July 20, 2015

Trump has taken trolling to the next level by being willing to offend members of his own party. Ordinarily, this would be a counterproductive strategy. In a 16-candidate field, however, you can be in first place with 15 or 20 percent of the vote — even if the other 80 or 85 percent of voters hate your guts.

In the long run — as our experience with past trolls shows — Trump’s support will probably fade. Or at least, given his high unfavorable ratings, it will plateau, and other candidates will surpass him as the rest of the field consolidates.

August 5th podcast
Nate Silver predicted that Donald Trump had a 2 percent chance of winning the nomination. Katherine Miller of Buzzfeed put it at 0 percent. And FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten? Negative 10 percent.

View attachment 284694
Donald Trump Is Winning the Polls—And Losing the Nomination
August 11, 2015

At FiveThirtyEight, however, we’re fairly agnostic about what will happen to Trump’s polling in the near term. It’s possible that he’s already peaked — or that he’ll hold his support all the way through Iowa and New Hampshire, possibly even winning one or two early states, as similar candidates like Pat Buchanan and Newt Gingrich have in the past. Our emphatic prediction is simply that Trump will not win the nomination. It’s not even clear that he’s trying to do so.

Was the Second Debate The Beginning of the End For Donald Trump?
September 24, 2015

Donald Trump: The polls clearly show Trump losing ground after his showdown with Fiorina. Even though a number of Republicans thought he won the debate, a larger percentage of Republicans said he did the worst job in it. Zogby was the only poll that had Trump gaining ground after the debate, and Zogby’s Internet polls earned an “F” in the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings. One cautionary note, though: Polls after the first debate also found Trump falling, but that drop didn’t last.

And on and on it goes, wishcasting dressed up as "scientific, super smart, data analysis".

Nate Silver's Very Very Wrong Predictions About Donald Trump Are Terrifying

WARNING LIGHTS ARE FLASHING DOWN IN NARRATIVE CONTROL: Brutal wipeout for Democrats in Louisiana, and the press trying to keep it quiet.

Well:

Its not a 538 poll. Its just an average of all the polling data done by other polling companies including FOX NEWS and assmussen.

 

[U2Edge]

Only a small percentage of the population goes to political rally's. Scientific polling is far more representative of how people are feeling about Trump throughout the country.

LOL AND EVEN LESS ARE POLLED NOW WHAT?

All that matters is that you have scientific representative sample for the country. Most polls do.

Do yourself a favor don't follow the polls they will lead you wrong. Take my advice watch the rally attendance.

Sorry, but you get a far more accurate picture from polling that is representative of the entire population as opposed to a rally that only includes hardcore Trump supporters.

Trumps rally attendance is as big now if not bigger than it was in 2016

Still won't save Trump if he is still President on November 3, 2020.

 

[Bootney Lee Farnsworth]

FiveThirtyEight is averaging the polls on whether to impeach Donald Trump.

The link is below:

Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump?

This link is going to be updated hourly with the latest polls on impeachment.

The latest average on Saturday morning is the following:

49.3% support for impeachment

43.% Don't support impeachment



Its harder to take issue with this since its not just one poll, but an average of all polls that is being updated on an hourly basis. The above link is probably the best place to look to see how well cooked or not Donald Trump is going to be.

Well, SHIT.

What the FUCK are the Democrats waiting on?

I think they should hold a vote tomorrow.

.

 

[MAGAman]

Its harder to take issue with this since its not just one poll

yeah we can , if they all ask the same canned Q ....

~S~

Trump knows he is in trouble now, even if his supporters continue to think he is invincible.

We got him this time...


#12,980

 

[Rigby5]

First of all, Trump is never going to do well in polls because he is a vote against the main 2 political parties, that are so obviously corrupt.

Second is that Trump will likely be much higher in the polls once the attempt to impeach fails in the house or the senate.

Third is that there is no one else to vote for any more.
I like Bernie, but his health is a question.
I like Elizabeth Warren, but she comes off too unstable.
I liked Tulsi Gabbard but the DNC tossed her in the garbage.