Election Projections

[Annie]

From Election projection and others, lots of links:

http://vodkapundit.com/archives/006740.php

Excerpt:

Election Projection (the Republican site) has Bush up 328 to Kerry's 210.

Electoral-Vote.com (the Democrat site) calls it 327-211 for Bush.

GeekMedia, which uses the TradeSports results, has a narrower Bush victoy, 284-243 - with Iowa and New Hampshire too close to call.

Even Jonathan Alter is giving advice to Kerry, a link which I should have filed under the "Abandon Ship!" series.

Rasmussen's tracking poll shows Bush up almost 3. They'll have their EC projection up at 5pm Eastern.

More here, 'averaged polls': http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls.html

 

[Annie]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/New York_Fall 2004.htm

New York: Kerry 49% Bush 44%

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

September 12-18, 2004

New York 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush 44%
Kerry 49%
Nader 2%
Not Sure 5%
RasmussenReports.com


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
September 20, 2004--John Kerry's lead in New York is down to single digits. The Empire State, among the bluest of the Blue States from Election 2000, is still in the Kerry column for our Electoral College projections, but the raw numbers are stunning.

Confirming findings found in other recent polls, Rasmussen Reports shows John Kerry leading George Bush by merely five percentage points, 49% to 44%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry New York by a 25 point margin. Our last New York survey found Kerry up by 19 points.

Bush is also closer than expected in neighboring New Jersey.

Rudy Giuliani, Mayor of New York on 9/11 and one of the nation's most popular political figures, strongly endorsed the President at the Republican National Convention. That may be connected to the President's rise in the state's Election Polls.

Nearly a quarter of the state's Democrats now say they will vote for Bush.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of New Yorkers now Approve of the President's Job Performance. That's a six-point increase since our last survey in the state.

 

[Avatar4321]

Ive been fully confident that Bush was going to win New York since the post 911 action he took for them.

 

[nakedemperor]

Ive been fully confident that Bush was going to win New York since the post 911 action he took for them.

Never going to happen man. But if you want to make a little side wager...

 

[Avatar4321]

Never going to happen man. But if you want to make a little side wager...

I dont gamble. i dont like taking other people's money