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"Although the total # of absentee ballot requests in OH is down from 2012, a greater proportion of those requests are coming from the 5 big Dem counties (Cuyahoga, Franklin, Hamilton, Montgomery and Summit). Dems have thus far increased their advantage in returned ballots as compared to 2012.
More people voted during in person early voting in the first 4 days than over a similar period in 2012 (Hillary stated this in her speech in Cleveland), particularly in Hamilton County (Cincinnati) and Franklin County (Columbus). The campaign is expecting that the total vote and margin in those 2 counties will exceed Obama’s margins in 2012."
Won Duval County by 1,700 votes. Duval hasn't voted for a Democrat for President since Carter, and is one of those places where Trump really needs to run up the score. Dems also won the day in Polk County, an I-4 county that also hasn't voted for a Democrat since Carter.
Won Volusia County by several hundred, again a place that Trump was hoping to build on the gains of Romney in 2012.
And in bellwether county Hillsborough, the only place in Florida to vote for Bush twice and Obama twice, Democrats won by almost 3,000 votes, or roughly 14 points (49-35). By comparison, Democrats have a 7 point advantage in registration.
In fact, Democrats won every county along I-4, plus Pinellas -- including both Republican strongholds Polk and Seminole. The total I-4 vote was 48-33D. Seminole County hasn't voted Republican in a Presidential election since 1972.
Base turnout was also very encouraging:
In Orange County, Democrats won a robust day 53-27%
In Broward County, Democrats won a record day 63-20%
In Palm Beach, a county which improved for Romney in 2012, Dems won 53-27%
In Alachua, where the University of Florida is, it was 65-22% Dems.
And in Dade County, 10,000 more voters showed up on the first day of early voting than 2012. Of the 35,000 who cast a ballot, Democrats won the day 53-27%.
Over 28% of Democratic vote by mail returnees as of yesterday were either first time voters, or rare voters (voted in 1 of last 3), compared to 20% for Republicans. Other way of looking at it: 80% of GOP vote by mail returns are from the most likely voters, compared to 72% of Democrats. That is voter expansion.
@steveschale 5s seconds ago
In bellwether Hillsborough, Dems extend in person early lead. Lead in all votes cast (EV/abs) by 7.5% after day 2.
Since we have no idea if any of those voted crossed party line or not, those reports are meaningless concerning how people voted..... when the votes are tallied up, we will know...Your frenzy is unwarranted but then again, knock yourself out if it makes you happy...Steve Schale @steveschale 37m37 minutes ago Tallahassee, FL
CORREX: Broward had 30k more votes early today (not 25k). Almost tied record day one numbers!!! #SteveCantAdd
I am sure I will. Some things happen for reasons unforeseen to us. We find peace if we try to understand how the Universe works....Causing internal conflict because our wishes didn't come true makes no sense at all. That's how I look at it...LOL Well, we are going to enjoy 9Nov16. Are you, Defcon?
