Does Iowa really matter?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by mosten11, Dec 28, 2011.

  1. mosten11
    Offline

    mosten11 Member

    Joined:
    Dec 18, 2011
    Messages:
    50
    Thanks Received:
    6
    Trophy Points:
    6
    Location:
    South Dakota
    Ratings:
    +6
    When watching both Fox News and MSNBC, they make such a big deal of the Iowa primaries and how it is what tells Republicans who will be the nominee.... First off, if you go back to 2007, the Iowa primaries predicted that Mike Huckabee would be the nominee (according to how Fox News and MSNBC makes Iowa out to be), and oh John McCain won the nomination...

    So my question for you, what primary truly does matter to know who the nominee would be? Is it "Super Tuesday", or just an unknown thing?
     
  2. Claudette
    Online

    Claudette Gold Member

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2009
    Messages:
    19,590
    Thanks Received:
    3,018
    Trophy Points:
    280
    Ratings:
    +7,652
    It only matters till the next State has its primaries.

    Once Iowa is over they will be talking about the next State and how important it is to win there.
     
  3. LibertyForAll
    Offline

    LibertyForAll Senior Member

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2011
    Messages:
    1,155
    Thanks Received:
    140
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    St. Louis, Mo
    Ratings:
    +140
    It depends on who wins...

    If Mitt wins then it seals the deal and if Ron Paul wins then its a farce. At least that's how it will be played out in the media.

    I am sure it matters to Iowans at any rate.
     
  4. Charles_Main
    Offline

    Charles_Main AR15 Owner

    Joined:
    Jun 23, 2008
    Messages:
    16,692
    Thanks Received:
    2,238
    Trophy Points:
    88
    Location:
    Michigan, USA
    Ratings:
    +2,251
    IOWA is about momentum. If the Right person wins it, they can ride that wave to the Nomination. Not always, but many times.
     
  5. Charles_Main
    Offline

    Charles_Main AR15 Owner

    Joined:
    Jun 23, 2008
    Messages:
    16,692
    Thanks Received:
    2,238
    Trophy Points:
    88
    Location:
    Michigan, USA
    Ratings:
    +2,251
    That would basically be the truth. Because Paul lacks the Ability to win most of the other states, so him taking IOWA would be a farce, while Romney taking it, would go a long way to sealing the deal for him.
     
  6. mosten11
    Offline

    mosten11 Member

    Joined:
    Dec 18, 2011
    Messages:
    50
    Thanks Received:
    6
    Trophy Points:
    6
    Location:
    South Dakota
    Ratings:
    +6
    This is my thoughts on the results of the Iowa primary... I think if Ron Paul wins it just means he is the Huckabee for the Iowa primary...

    Personally I think that Romney may not win Iowa since he hasn't been on the ground there as much as other candidates....
     
  7. LibertyForAll
    Offline

    LibertyForAll Senior Member

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2011
    Messages:
    1,155
    Thanks Received:
    140
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    St. Louis, Mo
    Ratings:
    +140
    One thing to note though is that many people wait to decide who they will vote for until they see who is winning. The winner of Iowa will gain more momentum no matter who wins. I think it will be especially beneficial to Ron Paul just because he hasn't had the exposure so far that the other candidates have had.

    So my honest answer is that it is important for the winner no matter who it is because some people like winners and will vote for whoever is in the lead.
     
  8. occupied
    Offline

    occupied Gold Member

    Joined:
    Nov 8, 2011
    Messages:
    16,407
    Thanks Received:
    2,247
    Trophy Points:
    280
    Ratings:
    +5,732
    None of the primaries matter if the candidate hand picked by the party bosses wins before a single vote is cast.
     
  9. jacobi
    Offline

    jacobi Rookie

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2011
    Messages:
    8
    Thanks Received:
    2
    Trophy Points:
    1
    Ratings:
    +2
    I don't like caucuses, don't really think the winner of Iowa means a thing except to the people of Iowa,
    and the media which can talk about it until the next State comes up.
     
  10. Avatar4321
    Online

    Avatar4321 Diamond Member Gold Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Feb 22, 2004
    Messages:
    70,538
    Thanks Received:
    8,161
    Trophy Points:
    2,070
    Location:
    Minnesota
    Ratings:
    +12,154
    Of course it matters. To what degree? That's debateable. but if it didnt matter at all no one would care about it.
     

Share This Page