Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Discussion in 'Politics' started by ozzmdj, Jul 13, 2009.

  1. ozzmdj
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    ozzmdj Senior Member

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  2. MaggieMae
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    MaggieMae Reality bits

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    How come the cons only look at Rasmussen reports? There are hundreds here:

    Obama Administation
     
  3. Sinatra
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    Sinatra Senior Member

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    -8!!!

    The downward trend has been astounding!
     
  4. Sarah G
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    Sarah G When Nothing Goes Right, Go Left Supporting Member

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    • Thank You! Thank You! x 1
  5. toomuchtime_
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    toomuchtime_ Gold Member

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    Rasmussen shows the lowest scores because Rasmussen polls only likely voters. Obama consistently scores the highest when the general public is polled, whether they are registered voters or not, lower among registered voters and lowest among likely voters. His disapproval scores are also lowest among the general public, higher among registered voters and highest among likely voters. The obvious conclusion is that the more likely the group polled is to vote, the smaller Obama's margin on approval is, but you are correct he isn't in trouble at this time, but among likely voters he is approaching a tipping point where some really bad news could quickly put him in trouble.
     
  6. JBeukema
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    JBeukema BANNED

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    an uninformed populace would vote themselves into slavery, a wise man once said
     
  7. eagleseven
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    eagleseven Quod Erat Demonstrandum

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    That has always been the trouble with popularity...do you poll only likely voters, or do you poll everyone?

    By polling only likely voters, you are polling the people most up on current events and politics.

    By polling everyone, you are including people who don't know a thing about politics and make their judgments on vanity or a whim.
     
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  8. DiveCon
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    DiveCon gone

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    because its the most reliable
    of course, you dont like how its going so your going to Ad Hom Rasmussen
     
  9. Big Black Dog
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    Big Black Dog Gold Member Supporting Member

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    If you poll only the Democrats, his popularity would be about 95%. If you poll just the Republicians his rating would be only about 5%. So, if you add the 95% and the 5% together you will get 100%. If you divide that by 2 (2 groups polled) you will come up with an average of 50%. So, according to the BBD Political Poll, Obama is right at 50% which translates as being a "Half-Assed" President.
     
  10. MaggieMae
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    MaggieMae Reality bits

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    Still, I've always wondered how they determine "likely" voters when the polling is automated.

    Rasmussen Reports™: The Most Comprehensive Public Opinion Data Anywhere
     

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