As Netanyahus plane crossed the vast distance of the Atlantic Ocean, he must have thought that the oceanic gap was small compared to the diplomatic gap with the Obama administration. This time around there were no visible hostilities or outbursts. With an election coming up, Obama is less eager to humiliate Netanyahu, and Netanyahu does not seriously expect that a passionate appeal will get through to Obama.
Both men know the nature of the game they are playing, but neither of them expects much of the other.
Netanyahu does not believe that he can get Obama to set a firm red line that will trigger military action. For all the talk about having Israels back, the administration has not been willing to set such a red line in public or private, which makes all the assurances completely worthless. Without that red line, no actual commitments have been made, except a commitment to the Sisyphean diplomatic track.
And so Netanyahu has not bothered to seriously push for a red line. Any possibility of such a thing was off the table even before he arrived.
For his part Obama does not appear to believe that he can dissuade Netanyahu from carrying out a strike against Irans nuclear program with more talk of sanctions. The rhetoric that goes over well with Jeffrey Goldberg falls flat in the real world. The sanctions arent there to stop Iran; theyre there to stop Israel from doing something about Iran.
The sanctions are busywork and both leaders know it. Obama has sharpened his rhetoric, uneasily mentioning military action, while at the same time warning that talk of military action only helps Iran. His target audience for this sophistry isnt the man sitting opposite him with a degree from MIT who has already dealt with him enough times not to believe a word he says, its the waffling American Jews who are uneasy about him.
For Obama the priority right now is transitioning Assad out of power in Syria. An Israeli strike on Iran would disrupt the Muslim coalition that can make that happen, and that is one of the few honest talking points to come out of the administration and its allied think tanks. But the larger priority is winning the election.
Obama and Netanyahu are both capable of undermining each others goals. Obama doesnt need a political battle with the Jewish community in an election year. That can wait until he wins reelection. Netanyahu does not need Obama sabotaging an Israeli operation against Iran, but the recent leaks suggest that this administration may be willing to do just that.
At the Poker Table with Bibi and Barack | FrontPage Magazine