Another Poll: Another Big Lead for Obama

[NYcarbineer]

Obama only needs to win the states John Kerry won in 2004, plus OHIO.

Under that electoral map scenario, Obama is currently in good shape.

Yep, many people forget that this isn't about polls, even including head-to-head match-up national polls. It's about electoral votes. The most important polls will be those that reflect head-to-head races in key states like Ohio. We'll see, plenty of time for either guy to screw up.

.

The GOP hope has to be that as the rest of America gets interested in the election (as opposed to the political junky crowd) the more they learn about Mitt Romney the more they will like him.

That doesn't seem like anything I'd want to hang my hopes on.

 

[Katzndogz]

Do polls lie?

This is what the news was at one time.

http://www.harrisinteractive.com/va...FAR-AHEAD-OF-BOTH-REAGAN-AND-BUSH-1980-01.pdf


President Carter so dominates the American political scene now that his margin over Ronald Reagan in a post-Iowa trial heat has risen to an overwhelming 65-31 percent. And against George Bush, the GOP candidate who finished first in the recent Iowa caucuses, Carter leads by only a slightly lower 62-32 percent.
These latest ABC News -Harris Survey results, taken among a cross section of 1,195 likely voters on January 22nd, dramatically illustrate the incredible political comeback of President Carter. Only four months ago, Reagan held a 50-45 percent lead over Carter. This means that a 5 point deficit has been turned into a 34 point lead over this short span of time. This is the largest lead President Carter has held over any Republican since July 1976, when he was 39 points ahead of President Gerald Ford.
The magnitude of Carter's lead can best be grasped by examining where the Carter-Reagan contest stands among groups which are usually Republican in their preference:
--In the suburbs, Carter is now ahead of Reagan by a massive 66-30 percent

Mitt Romney is no Ronald Reagan. Reagan had charisma and likeability that transcended partisan politics...

...NOBODY likes Mitt Romney.

That doesn't matter. Too many people despise obama.

 

[Claudette]

Why would anyone pay any attention to a poll??

Shit. Polls go up and polls go down.

One guys ahead one week and his opponent is ahead the next week.

I'm gonna wait for Nov 2012 to see who the real winner is.

 

[Oldstyle]

Let me give you a different opinion...that poll showing Obama with a lead won't be worth the paper someone jotted the numbers down on if gas goes well above $4 a gallon and stays there through the summer. Everytime some voter takes out their wallet to pay for a tank of gas, winces at what it cost them and remembers that $6 a gallon gas is where Barry WANTED to take us...he's losing a vote.

When the additional costs for higher gas inevitably get passed along to we consumers in the form of higher prices on the goods and services that we buy, the money in that voter's wallet will continue to shrink, as will Obama's support.

As James Carville pointed out to Bill Clinton all those years ago..."It's the economy, stupid!"

 

[NYcarbineer]

Do polls lie?

This is what the news was at one time.

http://www.harrisinteractive.com/va...FAR-AHEAD-OF-BOTH-REAGAN-AND-BUSH-1980-01.pdf


President Carter so dominates the American political scene now that his margin over Ronald Reagan in a post-Iowa trial heat has risen to an overwhelming 65-31 percent. And against George Bush, the GOP candidate who finished first in the recent Iowa caucuses, Carter leads by only a slightly lower 62-32 percent.
These latest ABC News -Harris Survey results, taken among a cross section of 1,195 likely voters on January 22nd, dramatically illustrate the incredible political comeback of President Carter. Only four months ago, Reagan held a 50-45 percent lead over Carter. This means that a 5 point deficit has been turned into a 34 point lead over this short span of time. This is the largest lead President Carter has held over any Republican since July 1976, when he was 39 points ahead of President Gerald Ford.
The magnitude of Carter's lead can best be grasped by examining where the Carter-Reagan contest stands among groups which are usually Republican in their preference:
--In the suburbs, Carter is now ahead of Reagan by a massive 66-30 percent

Mitt Romney is no Ronald Reagan. Reagan had charisma and likeability that transcended partisan politics...

...NOBODY likes Mitt Romney.

That doesn't matter. Too many people despise obama.

You can fantasize all you want.

 

[JimH52]

Obama opens big gender gap in swing states

I know, I know Right Wingers...It means nothing...

You are about to win the battle at the SCOUS, but you will lose the war in November. The outcry and stories of misery of people being thrown out of their health care will make lose the WH for the GOP in November.

There's more to it then that. The whole idea that the government has the right to dictate reproductive health to a woman is frightening to them. The right wing also seems to hold that women are second class citizens that aren't entitled to the same benefits men enjoy in terms of health care. Vigra is fine to cover..but birth control pills aren't. The SCOTUS case is the icing on the cake.

The Republicans are unlikely to see this change in their favor at all. Which is why they are working overtime to suppress the vote.

The irony is incredible. The GOP sees the requirement to buy health insurance unconstitutional and instrusion into people lives...at the same time that they push through state legislation to require women to have ultrasounds....

Their Hypocrisy is astounding!