ABC 538 goes live... Trump winning every swing state...

[Missourian]

Whatever liberals strategy is, it is failing miserably. More proof that liberals have managed to destroy all faith in mainstream news and legacy media.

The Democrats have sacrificed so much credibility in their years long war against President Trump that I believe their party will catastrophically implode after Trump wins in November.

abcnews.go.com/538/trump-leads-swing-state-polls-tied-biden-nationally/story?id=109506070

 

[John Edgar Slow Horses]

Still early, youngkers.

https://us.search.yahoo.com/yhs/sea...privacy=1---&p=marist+poll+on+Trump+and+Biden

April 22, 2024

Election 2024​

Marist National Poll

Biden Edges Trump in Two-Way Presidential Contest; Opens Up Lead Among Definite Voters​

Despite a still close contest between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, Trump’s support among white voters and independents has splintered. Biden is doing better than he did in 2020 among white voters, and he has eliminated the advantage that Trump had among independents earlier this month. Biden has a three-percentage point edge over Trump among registered voters nationally. In addition to independents, Trump has lost some ground among those who have an unfavorable view of both Biden and Trump. Among those who definitely plan to vote in November, Biden holds a six-percentage point lead. Biden is up five-percentage points in a multi-candidate field.

2024 Presidential Election
If November's general election for president were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards]:


Source: Marist Poll National Registered Voters. Interviews conducted April 16th through April 18th, 2024, n=1,047 MOE +/- 3.6 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

• Three percentage points separate Biden (51%) and Trump (48%) among registered voters nationally, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Earlier this month, Biden received 50% to 48% for Trump. Among those who definitely plan to vote in November, Biden (53%) is +6 percentage points over Trump (47%).
• Trump has lost support among independents and those who have an unfavorable opinion of both candidates. Trump (49%) and Biden (49%) now tie among independents. Trump held a 7-percentage point lead over Biden previously (52% for Trump to 45% for Biden). Among those who have an unfavorable opinion of both candidates, Biden (50%) and Trump (48%) are now competitive. Trump previously had a 15-percentage point advantage over Biden (54% for Trump to 39% for Biden) among these voters.
• 67% of Trump supporters say they are voting for Trump because they are for him and not because they are against Biden (32%). Among Biden’s supporters, 55% back him because they believe in their candidate. 43% support him because they oppose Trump.
• Biden (43%) is up by five percentage points against Trump (38%) among registered voters in a multi-candidate field that includes Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (14%), Cornel West (2%), and Jill Stein (2%). Biden was previously +2 percentage points over Trump (43% for Biden to 41% for Trump) in early April. Among those who definitely plan to vote, Biden (46%) is +7 percentage points against Trump (39%) in this multi-candidate field.
• Trump’s support among independents is also down (30% from 38%) in a multi-candidate field. While Biden’s support is little changed (34% from 33%), Kennedy’s support among independents has inched up to 27% from 21%, previously.

"Despite some weak spots for Joe Biden among non-whites and younger voters, he continues to outperform his 2020 numbers among white voters," says Lee M. Miringoff, Director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. "Although it bears watching in the future, right now, a multicandidate field does not benefit Trump."

Biden and Trump with Upside Down Favorable Ratings​

Biden and Trump continue to receive upside down favorable ratings. 42% of Americans have a positive opinion of Biden compared with 51% who have an unfavorable view of him. Trump’s favorable rating is 40% among U.S. residents. 53% have an unfavorable opinion of him.

Biden’s Approval Ratings Status Quo​

President Biden’s job approval rating is 43% among Americans, identical to earlier this month. 51% disapprove of the job Biden is doing in office. Looking at intensity, 19% of Americans strongly approve of Biden’s job performance compared with 38% who strongly disapprove.

Biden’s Approval Ratings on the Economy and War in the Middle East Underwater​

President Biden’s approval rating on the economy is upside down (42% approve to 54% disapprove). Biden’s approval score on his handling of the war between Israel and Hamas is even worse. 35% approve, down from 40% in November of 2023, and 57% now disapprove.

 

[Missourian]

Biden only leads Trump by two points in Minnesota...

www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/minnesota/trump

 

[John Edgar Slow Horses]

Quit being panicked and narrow your startled eyes, Missourian.

Marist tells a different story. Let's admit we have No Idea who will win.

 

[Harpy Eagle]

Whatever liberals strategy is, it is failing miserably. More proof that liberals have managed to destroy all faith in mainstream news and legacy media.

The Democrats have sacrificed so much credibility in their years long war against President Trump that I believe their party will catastrophically implode after Trump wins in November.

View attachment 939066

abcnews.go.com/538/trump-leads-swing-state-polls-tied-biden-nationally/story?id=109506070

And Hillary was leading Trump in ever swing state...how did that turn out?

 

[JackOfNoTrades]

Whatever liberals strategy is, it is failing miserably. More proof that liberals have managed to destroy all faith in mainstream news and legacy media.

The Democrats have sacrificed so much credibility in their years long war against President Trump that I believe their party will catastrophically implode after Trump wins in November.

View attachment 939066

abcnews.go.com/538/trump-leads-swing-state-polls-tied-biden-nationally/story?id=109506070

LOL. And well within the margin of error for MI, PA, and WI.
Remind me again who won those states in 2016 and secured the Presidency?

 

[John Edgar Slow Horses]

None of us knows how it will turn out.

We all have our hopes.

 

[Donald H]

We should fear that the current regime has already decided that Trump must not become the next president. This is a hundred times a greater threat than the dysfunctional and powerless justice system.

No deterrent exists to prevent the sitting president from eliminating all contenders from the ballot!

And none will be enacted into law before the next election,

America's Fanding Fouthers bestowed the power of a dictator on all their future presidennts.

Ask me why this differs in a parliamentary system!

Or simply tell me if you choose!

 

[Harpy Eagle]

None of us knows how it will turn out.

We all have our hopes.

Not me.

I have no hope at all, the country is fucked no matter who wins in Nov.

 

[Missourian]

And Hillary was leading Trump in ever swing state...how did that turn out?

Of course.

The bias always is to the left.

Whatever Trump is leading by in these polls, you can likely double it.

 

[John Edgar Slow Horses]

Not me.

I have no hope at all, the country is fucked no matter who wins in Nov.

The older Republic is dead, yes.

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

Whatever liberals strategy is, it is failing miserably. More proof that liberals have managed to destroy all faith in mainstream news and legacy media.

The Democrats have sacrificed so much credibility in their years long war against President Trump that I believe their party will catastrophically implode after Trump wins in November.

View attachment 939066

abcnews.go.com/538/trump-leads-swing-state-polls-tied-biden-nationally/story?id=109506070

Too funny. You people can't stop attempting to deceive.

quotes --

But there's considerable uncertainty in those numbers. To communicate this, we are also publishing uncertainty intervals for our horse-race averages for the first time. These intervals — represented by the red and blue shaded areas around each line — are kind of like the range of possible precipitation reported in a weather forecast, showing you could get anywhere from, say, 1 to 3 inches of rain in an upcoming storm.

Our uncertainty intervals take into account the variability of the polling data and the uncertainty we have about the various adjustments we are making, which are detailed later in this article. Right now, that interval shows that Biden's support could be anywhere between 39.4 and 42.2 percent, while Trump’s range is from 40.3 to 42.8 percent. Read on for more information about all the sources of uncertainty we are (and aren't) taking into account for these averages.

Our averages also show Trump leading in most swing states, though there is enough uncertainty that Biden could easily be ahead in enough to win the Electoral College. The table below shows each candidate's current estimated support and our uncertainty intervals for those numbers.

 

[Donald H]

Not me.

I have no hope at all, the country is fucked no matter who wins in Nov.

The real trouble is, the rule of law is fkd until the Scotus is allowed to decide whether or not there is 'existing' law that can curtail a president's power to act illegally.

Personal business and official business as a president must remain undefined.

 

[odanny]

I love it when victory is declared in April.

Like clockwork, it happens every 4 years.

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

Of course.

The bias always is to the left.

Whatever Trump is leading by in these polls, you can likely double it.

2008 Presidential Horse Race

Giuliani Solidifies Lead in Republican Nomination Poll​

Clinton still leads among Democrats​

 

[Donald H]

Of course.

The bias always is to the left.

Whatever Trump is leading by in these polls, you can likely double it.

Biden wields the unrestricted power to stop Trump dead in his tracks.

The law is powerless to stop him.

There is only power against Biden in the hands of the people!

That power failed once already on Jan 6th. but the lesson might have been learned by patriots.

Make your voices heard but don't afford Biden an opportunity again by turning to violence!

 

[Procrustes Stretched]

Biden wields the unrestricted power to stop Trump dead in his tracks.

The law is powerless to stop him.

There is only power against Biden in the hands of the people!

That power failed once already on Jan 6th. but the lesson might have been learned by patriots.

Make your voices heard but don't afford Biden an opportunity again by turning to violence!

Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah... we heard that shit most every day in 2019 and 2020.

 

[Harpy Eagle]

Of course.

The bias always is to the left.

Whatever Trump is leading by in these polls, you can likely double it.

The truly fun/sad part of this, you actually believe this tripe

 

[Missourian]

I love it when victory is declared in April.

Like clockwork, it happens every 4 years.

The left has thrown everything at President Trump but the kitchen sink...and only because disconnecting plumbing baffles them.

They've impeached him, charged him, indicted him, arrested him, found him guilty in kangaroo court civil trials, tried to seize his assets, gone after his businesses.

And he is still winning!

What exactly do you believe will change the tragectory of this election?

 

[Donald H]

Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah... we heard that shit most every day in 2019 and 2020.

I'm a Canadian with no dog in your fight.

I relate the story the way I see it, and you shouldn't understand my words as being biased. Demonstrate at least medium intelligence or you will be ignored.