11/18- Shift in national popular polls favors Obama

[DaGoose]

President Barack Obama is now leading in polls against each of the individual Republican opponents he may face on Election Day.

It's true that polls conducted 350 days before an election have very little predictive power--but they are a meaningful indicator of the public mood as the primary season lurches into gear.

Obama is leading in the equivalent of a landslide against Newt Gingrich (54.6 percent) and Herman Cain (55.1 percent). He also performs well against two other Republican challengers not shown on the chart: Rick Perry (55.0 percent), Michele Bachman (58.1 percent), Jon Huntsman (55.3 percent) and Ron Paul (53.3 percent).

Shift in national popular polls favors Obama | The Signal - Yahoo! News

 

[Rozman]

If true it can't be based on Obama's performance.
It has to be based on perception of the GOP candidates.
Most of them are shooting themselves in the foot.
A few shouldn't even be there.
After the field narrows down this could change.
I wouldn't hand the Presidency to Obama just yet.

 

[Conservative]

from the op link...

However, while Obama may have enjoyed a good recent run in opinion polling, the prediction markets haven't grown noticeably more bullish on his re-election prospects. The data from the leading such markets, such as Betfair and Intrade, show Obama with a 51.6 percent likelihood of reelection.

beat your chest about some un-named poll all you like.