I wouldn't go to Vegas any time soon if I were you, you don't seem to understand probability very well.If they've visited Earth, where is the evidence? They'd have left something behind, a discarded food package, a broken part from their space ship. Where is it?
If they're out there, where are the radio broadcasts? We've listened for decades and heard nothing. Why haven't we heard something?
I propose a simple explanation:
There's no one in the universe but us.
Which is a good thing.