In a detailed analysis of phone versus online polling in Republican primaries, Kyle A. Dropp, the executive director of polling and data science at Morning Consult, writes:
Trump’s advantage in online polls compared with live telephone polling is eight or nine percentage points among likely voters.
This difference, Dropp notes, is driven largely by more educated voters — those who would be most concerned with “social desirability.”
These findings suggest that Trump will head into the general election with support from voters who are reluctant to admit their preferences to a live person in a phone survey, but who may well be inclined to cast a ballot for Trump on Election Day.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/11/o...ort-trump-but-dont-want-to-admit-it.html?_r=0
I am one of those educated voters that is truly afraid of declaring to the ignorant group of people that I am voting for Trump.
There are millions like me as the above article described...hesitant in live telephone polling. Hesitant to provide facts supporting Trump because anti-Trump people don't deal with facts.
For example. Anti-Trump people constantly refer to Trump as "anti-immigrant".
Proof this is a common misperception?
Google search shows About 42,500 results for "Trump is anti-immigrant".
Proof from a former CBS reporter, Sheryl Attkisson........
The news media often conflates illegal immigration and legal immigration, as if they are one in the same. But for the sake of accuracy, the distinction must be noted. The nation is split on many immigration questions yet decisive on the general issue of illegal immigration: in a CBS News poll, 84% of Americans viewed illegal immigration as a “very serious” or “somewhat serious” problem. In other words: most Americans support legal immigration and oppose illegal immigration. That’s the same view Trump has expressed. Is it fair for the press to call Trump (and, by implication, 84% of Americans) “anti-immigrant” for opposing illegal immigration, while supporting legal immigration?
Fact Check: Media claims that Trump is anti-immigrant | Sharyl Attkisson
So based on this built in ignorance and bias by the MSM, THE MSM is overlooking the simple fact that 84% of Americans are "ANTI-ILLEGAL Immigration"!
So with that basis the MSM is not only ignoring the truth, i.e. Trump MARRIED a LEGAL immigrant, but that HE wants LEGAL immigration! He like 84% of Americans want people who come to the USA legally.
With that then it is totally feasible that the current polling is ignoring the FACT that millions of people like me, I call them "Cowards for Trump" will be pulling the lever behind the privacy of the voting booth for Trump!
No one who is educated is voting for Trump. That means he will get lots of Americans voting for him. Some of the fucking dumbest people to ever disgrace the earth.
You are so f..king dumb! Here you come up with a stupid ass "UNEDUCATED" comment... "No one who is educated is voting for Trump" and THEN you do it WITH
no supporting data or links and YOU CALL ME UNEDUCATED???? You are proving my statement over and over again!
READ THIS LINK CAREFULLY!!!
5 myths about Trump supporters
By the way do you know what the word "MYTH" means???? Because you certainly aren't educated if YOU can't even find one supporting link for your dumb ass
personal hyperventilated ignorant comment! By the way I'm college educated, and 6,000 times a day health care providers come to a web site I've created for
advice if they are going to get paid by the government, you dummy!!!!
Here are five myths about Trump’s supporters.
1. “They’re uneducated”
Blue-collar voters certainly make up the bulk of Trump’s large coalition, but he is also doing very well among Republicans with college degrees.
In six of the statewide GOP exit polls so far, Trump was the most popular candidate among college-educated voters.
In another six, he was their second-place choice. (Only in Oklahoma did Trump fall out of the top two among those with college degrees.)
A large number of college Republicans count themselves as Trump supporters as well.
Still, voters without a college education are Trump’s core base of support.
More non-college-educated voters than ones with college degrees have supported Trump in every single primary and caucus so far, according to exit polls.
In those states, voters without degrees were over 11 percentage points more likely to support Trump, on average. Trump has yet to reach a majority in any state, but he won over 60 percent of blue-collar Republicans in Massachusetts on Super Tuesday, per those exit polls.
2. “They’re superconservative”
Many conservatives love Trump, but they’re not alone — and his appeal spans ideologies in ways his rivals can’t match. Cruz’s support tanks among self-identified moderates, and Rubio struggles for a significant foothold among those who self-identify as very conservative, but Trump’s share of the vote has so far been fairly consistent across ideological boundaries in the exit polls, a result that’s consistent with a host of pre-primary media surveys and other polls this year.
3. “They’d hate him if they only knew …”
Until the past few weeks, his adversaries’ main hit on Trump was that he’s a faux conservative: a flip-flopper on abortion, a fan of eminent domain, a longtime donor to Democratic politicians. The thing is, Trump’s supporters are not only untroubled by his smattering of moderate-to-liberal policy positions — many of his backers share them.
4. “It’s only men”
Like the education gap in Trump’s support shown above, his coalition is gender-skewed, too. More men than women have backed Trump in every exit poll so far, with the gap rising to double digits in some places. (In Alabama, for example, 52 percent of men backed Trump but only 36 percent of women followed suit.)
5. “They’re not serious”
Part of the reason Trump’s candidacy was dismissed by many in 2015 was that many pollsters and analysts did not believe the businessman’s gaudy poll numbers would translate to actual votes in caucuses and primaries. Drive-by political observers and nonvoters were artificially boosting his polls, we were told, and the actual results wouldn’t reflect the surveys.
Half or more of the GOP electorate in every state picked a candidate before the last week of the race there, and those voters have overwhelmingly broken for Trump. He has won voters who settled on a candidate a month or more before voting in every contest but Cruz’s home state of Texas. A huge share of Trump’s voters have committed early, stuck with him and then actually turned out to vote, driving record-setting vote totals in nearly every primary and caucus so far
5 myths about Trump supporters