WSJ: Campaigns Spin - ignore more than 30 national polls

[Dante]

WSJ: Campaigns Spin - ignore more than 30 national polls...

more than 30 national polls suggest it is going to be a cliffhanger

Both Obama and Romney Campaigns Claim They Are Winning - WSJ.com

Both President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney will win the U.S. presidential election Nov. 6, according to the candidates' campaigns.

In a reality-bending tradition, both camps are using early-vote tallies, Electoral College math and voter-turnout projections to construct a victorious narrative for their man. Meanwhile, more than 30 national polls suggest it is going to be a cliffhanger.

This week, the campaign spin in many ways became the campaign, as both sides employed the power of positive thinking to get would-be supporters to the polls. Like most confidence games, they are relying on a delicate calibration of two basic human impulses: Everybody hates a loser, but they might not bother to back a sure-fire winner.

 

[Dante]

The Romney campaign is working to convince edgy backers and undecided voters that their candidate's inching progress in several polls this month has the makings of a surge. The Obama team says the president is narrowly ahead or tied in almost every swing state, giving him an Electoral College edge.

The president's advisers say early voting in swing states Iowa and Nevada is bending in their direction. The Romney campaign says the president is running behind in some states he led in 2008, such as Colorado, and so it is actually Mr. Romney who is doing better.

Add to that the fact that each campaign says it has a secret set of voter records showing that—surprise!—their candidate is favored by people who only vote once in awhile.

Both Obama and Romney Campaigns Claim They Are Winning - WSJ.com

 

[Dante]

I wonder how many people know what it looks like on a map?

 

[Dante]

I wonder how many people know what it looks like on a map?

and I wonder how many know the world of media is much larger than CNN, MSNBC, CBS, ABC, FOX...

 

[Dante]

WSJ: Campaigns Spin - ignore more than 30 national polls...

more than 30 national polls suggest it is going to be a cliffhanger

Both Obama and Romney Campaigns Claim They Are Winning - WSJ.com

Both President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney will win the U.S. presidential election Nov. 6, according to the candidates' campaigns.

In a reality-bending tradition, both camps are using early-vote tallies, Electoral College math and voter-turnout projections to construct a victorious narrative for their man. Meanwhile, more than 30 national polls suggest it is going to be a cliffhanger.

This week, the campaign spin in many ways became the campaign, as both sides employed the power of positive thinking to get would-be supporters to the polls. Like most confidence games, they are relying on a delicate calibration of two basic human impulses: Everybody hates a loser, but they might not bother to back a sure-fire winner.

 

[Dante]

 

[Avorysuds]

who needs these polls when the election is the only poll that matters?

 

[Dante]

pre game stats

Dante rarely ever plays the poll game until it gets close. This year was a bit different. I started a thread in July and didn't post all that often in it...just to ark time and keep a record of what others were saying and doing
Interesting when you look back