Boss
Take a Memo:
Your analysis makes sense BOSS. It almost seems Cruz is being found guilty by association with the RNC, when the reality is, he is an outsider in the traditional sense. Donald just more outsidered him, and the RNC was so clueless about the anger level. It looks to be too late for him now however.
But it's really NOT too late. The Trump brigade wants us to think that it's too late, that Cruz has no chance, that if Cruz wins it's a "rigged system" or whatever... those things are only going to serve in dividing us more should Cruz prevail, but this is very much still anybody's race to win.
In 1860, Lincoln trailed Seward in the delegate count going into the GOP convention.... it wasn't over... it wasn't a rigged system... Seward simply failed to win the nomination on the first ballot and Lincoln eventually secured the delegates to reach a majority and be the nominee. This happened again with Eisenhower.... he trailed the establishment pick, Taft.... same thing, Taft didn't have a majority... only a plurality... he didn't WIN the nomination.
So this can still go to Cruz in a brokered convention. Or... it could be like the brokered convention in 1976, where Ford goes into the convention with the plurality but not the majority and Ronald Reagan was unsuccessful in securing delegates on subsequent ballots and Ford eventually did. Trump could wield his phenomenal deal-making ability at the convention and win on the second ballot.
But... It's not "too late" and it is never "over" until someone gets 1,237 delegates locked up.
So at this point, you are suggesting as long as Trump doesn't have 1237 going in, that is the only hope Cruz has left? That's my impression.
Cruz getting enough of the RNC to lean on Pence for the endorsement certainly suggest that Cruz knows he can't let Donny get 1237 before Cleveland. But in all reality, it's a long shot, even if DT doesn't have it before the convention, he has the deeper pockets to move delegates.
I would have to get 5 to 1 odds to bet on Cruz now, and I still probably like the other side of that bet.
I never said it was going to be a cake walk for Cruz. I realize at this point it is a long shot... hence the Fiorina nomination. I think he is banking on this pulling the women's vote out west and giving him a windfall in California to put him over Trump for those massive delegates (possibly). That, coupled with some other critical wins and Cruz is right back in this thing, not far behind Trump who will not get the 1,237 by the convention. Now... if Cruz loses big in California to Trump... all bets are off... Cruz literally has a snowball's chance in hell.
But the point is... this ain't over and it's not likely to be over until the last primary in California and possibly not until after the first ballot at the convention. The "fat lady" is still waiting on the limo at her hotel.
