Ask me when he leaves office.
This is intended to be a long range prediction, by future historians.
I'm not saying based on Trump's 1st three years, with all the deep state "resistance", Crossfire Hurricane, and the Mueller Investigation, and now Nancy's "impeachment". I'm saying take a look at Trump's policies and predict their long term impacts.
Will they lead to long-term US prosperity, or will they eventually lead to a decline of US wealth and influence?
Middle of the bottom group.
Despite the hoopla from his followers, nothing much in his first term has been all that earth shattering. USMCA is just a tweak of NAFTA, Phase 1 is a minor deal that does not move the economic needle much, GDP growth has been bad. His biggest "accomplishment" has been the UE rate staying as low as it has.
Assuming he gets 4 more years we will have a recession during that time, anyone that thinks not has not payed attention to history.
With the Fed rate still very low there is little room for them to act without taking Trump's plan of negative interest rates seriously which would cement his place towards the bottom. The deficit is already out of control, just think what happens when we have a recession, based on the last two it is not unreasonable to assume the deficit will hit close to or even over 3 trillion in a year.
He has nothing else that will be a lasting legacy at this time, maybe that will change if he gets 4 more yeras.
Also, keep in mind that Crossfire Hurricane, the Mueller Investigation and the impeachment are always going to be part of his legacy and will be in the history books forever. You cannot discount them when predicting his place in history.