Part 2
It continues. Trump claims, “I was President, it was my right and duty to investigate, and speak on, the rigged and stolen 2020 Presidential election.” As we noted above, elections are run by states. They certify their results on the basis of the results in each county. So, Trump had no right to get involved in the vote count in Wayne County, Michigan, but we now know that he tried to cajole Republican vote canvassers there into refusing to certify the lawful vote. Just like he called Georgia’s Secretary of State and threatened he was committing a crime if he didn’t “find” Trump more votes. That’s not the president’s job. He had no more right than anyone else to interfere with state and county election officials’ tallies of their votes. If Trump suspected fraud he could report that to DOJ, which he of course did, and they told him in no uncertain terms they couldn’t find any evidence of it. So no, the election wasn’t rigged or stolen. And Trump had neither right nor duty to investigate. It’s just more red meat he throws at his base, hoping they won’t notice that it’s spoiled.
But at end, there’s something we can agree on. Trump says he’s “looking forward to the very important arguments on Presidential Immunity in front of the DC Circuit Court of Appeals.” So am I. But I expect him to lose, and then how long will it be before we hear from him about the corrupt Democrat judges on that court who are part of the witch hunt against him?
When we got its decision today, the Supreme Court did not explain why it denied Smith’s request to hear the appeal now. All we got was one sentence.

So, what does this do to Judge Chutkan’s scheduled March trial date? It probably blows it up. Although there’s a fantasy scenario that I’d like to cling to that could keep the case almost on track, it’s more likely that this spells delay, maybe significant delay. There are too many variables here for a reliable prediction about how long of one, but given that all proceedings before Judge Chutkan are stayed at least for now, delay seems inevitable.
First off, there is the timeline set by the rules of court to consider. As the Special Counsel noted in his reply brief, even if he were to win with a quick decision before the court of appeals, the default rules give Trump 45 days to seek en banc review before the full D.C. Circuit and 90 days to file for certiorari with the Supreme Court. That’s a good sized chunk of time. Although that schedule can be altered (either direction) by the courts, there’s the prospect for considerable delay.
The fantasy scenario where trial doesn’t get pushed back more than a month would have to look something like this:
- The court of appeals moves quickly, deciding the appeal within a few days of oral argument.
- The Supreme Court steps in immediately to hear the case—Jack Smith asked them to do this, but didn’t get a ruling in the one-liner above. It’s perhaps possible for the Court to decide to do this at a later date.

- The Supreme Court moves quickly, with an expedited briefing schedule and a fast decision.
- Voila, we only lose something like 60 days off the clock and trial starts in early May.
The fantasy scenario obviously depends on a lot of things going right, and it’s too early to have any sense about whether this is even a possibility. Although the court of appeals is on a fast track, we don’t know how long it will take them to issue a decision. Trump will presumably play out the time to ask for rehearing to the full extent possible. The court could, perhaps, decide a stay was no longer warranted and permit Judge Chutkan to restart her pretrial proceedings, which could incentivize Trump to move more quickly, but again, there are a lot of different considerations involved and no certainties. The most honest conclusion I can give you tonight is that we just don’t know for sure how the schedule will shape up.
One possible bright spot: There were no dissents from denial of certiorari in advance of judgment. If this decision had signaled some sort of move by a majority of the Court to prevent any of the Trump cases from going to trial before the election, we could have expected to see one or more of the liberal Justices dissent from the denial. The fact that none of them did may suggest that there isn’t dissatisfaction about the path forward and its likely speed. Or so we can hope.
More questions tonight than answers.
Tonight, I had planned to tell you the story of Pumpkin the chicken, winding some string around her foot, which led me to bring her inside for some attention, which turned into a bath, and then a little photo session that got photobombed by Tofu. But, of course, legal news happened, so all you...
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