Trump Has Gained In 538's Forecast... He's Actually A Head In 538's Forecast

[crossbody]

Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still a toss-up​

Fri, October 18, 2024, 3:00 PM CDT

The closest election of the century keeps getting closer. Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. Now — just 18 days away from Election Day — our forecast gives Trump the bare advantage in the race with a 52-in-100 chance to win.*

Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still a toss-up

Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to make a big deal about our forecast "flipping" to Trump, but it's important to remember that a...

www.yahoo.com

 

[August West]

The latest news in the Montana Senate race is the fact that the GOP candidate lied about being shot in Afghanistan. A close friend of his has exposed his BS story.

MSN

www.msn.com

 

[22lcidw]

The latest news in the Montana Senate race is the fact that the GOP candidate lied about being shot in Afghanistan. A close friend of his has exposed his BS story.

MSN

www.msn.com

A good friend.

 

[toobfreak]

Now just 18 days away from Election Day our forecast gives Trump the advantage in the race with a 52-in-100 chance to win.​

Put another way, Hillary lost in 2016 with a 98% expectation of winning.
Harris now has a 48% expectation of winning.

Basically, the stats and trends against Harris are looking SO BAD now that if come election day she still manages to win, this country will know our elections are being RIGGED.
I can sense the democrat's panic.
Is it too late to switch back to Joe?

 

[Lisa558]

Put another way, Hillary lost in 2016 with a 98% expectation of winning.
Harris now has a 48% expectation of winning.

Basically, the stats and trends against Harris are looking SO BAD now that if come election day she still manages to win, this country will know our elections are being RIGGED.
I can sense the democrat's panic.
Is it too late to switch back to Joe?

Maybe they’d be better off relinquishing the race to Trump and leave their brain-dead followers with the impression that they are only a few points behind instead of going through with it and letting everyone see Trump’s landslide win and how the country said “F-U” to the Left’s destructive agenda.

 

[1srelluc]

LOL.....The Sunday shows should be breathless this morning.

I'd not want to be around that wild-eyed Welker woman unarmed.

 

[toobfreak]

Maybe they’d be better off relinquishing the race to Trump and leave their brain-dead followers with the impression that they are only a few points behind instead of going through with it and letting everyone see Trump’s landslide win and how the country said “F-U” to the Left’s destructive agenda.

Either way, what I fear most whether Trump wins by 2% or 20%, whether he wins the popular vote too or just sweeps the Electoral College, is the looming backlash of a trained, hateful, vitriolic, terroristic crowd of pathetic leftist loons brainwashed by their professor media cult leaders into ravaging and destroying the countryside because they didn't get their way in stupidly electing their false god Marxist hand-puppet bitch because they wanted a godless, sneering, arrogant dark-skinned female leader who would give them free abortions up to including one year after the birth.

You know, in case they change their minds and find out raising a child puts a kink into their degenerate lives of wanton libidinous sex and cheap drugs.

 

[Lisa558]

Either way, what I fear most whether Trump wins by 2% or 20%, whether he wins the popular vote too or just sweeps the Electoral College, is the looming backlash of a trained, hateful, vitriolic, terroristic crowd of pathetic leftist loons brainwashed by their professor media cult leaders into ravaging and destroying the countryside because they didn't get their way in stupidly electing their false god Marxist hand-puppet bitch because they wanted a godless, sneering, arrogant dark-skinned female leader who would give them free abortions up to including one year after the birth.

You know, in case they change their minds and find out raising a child puts a kink into their degenerate lives of wanton libidinous sex and cheap drugs.

Yes, if and when Trump wins, the reaction by the leftists will make Jan 6 look like a day at the beach. I live right outside a blue city, and I hope the riots that will ensue don’t bleed over into the near-in suburbs.

But all that will accomplish is yet another demonstration of the left’s hypocrisy and show how we were right to kick them out of office.

And best of all, Trump will be president again. Gd-willing.

 

[BasicHumanUnit]

From every indication I can get, Trump is positioned to be a landslide winner next month.
The only people still voting Democrat are hard core socialists and communists and low information democrats stuck in the 60's, and of course the really stupid people who cannot think for themselves but instead rely on celebrities, with whom they have absolutely nothing in common, to get direction.

The ONLY path to victory that I can see for the Left is absolute and massive manipulation of the election results.
This is one of the clearest elections in history.

 

[BasicHumanUnit]

Yes, if and when Trump wins, the reaction by the leftists will make Jan 6 look like a day at the beach. I live right outside a blue city, and I hope the riots that will ensue don’t bleed over into the near-in suburbs.

But all that will accomplish is yet another demonstration of the left’s hypocrisy and show how we were right to kick them out of office.

And best of all, Trump will be president again. Gd-willing.

Lisa,
We will probably know what value Trumps election is likely to offer as soon as we know the results of the congressional races.
If the system and elections are truly regulated by the establishment, we will once again see Trump in the White House, but Congress set up magically to be able to nullify any significant changes that would actually benefit the American people.

I feel this is the game that has been played for generations now by those in power. They give us the illusion of hope when in reality, they maintain an iron grip on the nations direction.

We'll see. Now if the Right manages to take the WH AND both houses of Congress we should see massive changes (corrections) to the direction of the nation reversing generations of harm brought on by the left. Still, the nation will remain divided with many feeling they were cheated and so the election itself cannot heal the nation. That would take many generations of sustained change to reverse the conditioning and indoctrination of so many to hate their own nation.

Worst case senario...Trump loses, we plow full steam ahead into authoritarianism.

 

[Lisa558]

Lisa,
We will probably know what value Trumps election is likely to offer as soon as we know the results of the congressional races.
If the system and elections are truly regulated by the establishment, we will once again see Trump in the White House, but Congress set up magically to be able to nullify any significant changes that would actually benefit the American people.

I feel this is the game that has been played for generations now by those in power. They give us the illusion of hope when in reality, they maintain an iron grip on the nations direction.

We'll see. Now if the Right manages to take the WH AND both houses of Congress we should see massive changes (corrections) to the direction of the nation reversing generations of harm brought on by the left. Still, the nation will remain divided with many feeling they were cheated and so the election itself cannot heal the nation. That would take many generations of sustained change to reverse the conditioning and indoctrination of so many to hate their own nation.

Worst case senario...Trump loses, we plow full steam ahead into authoritarianism.

In order to REALLY reverse all of the Left’s destructive policies, we need to have both Trump in office and control of Congress. This is true.

BUT…..even if we have just one chamber, the Dems in the majority of the other will know that they just got in by the wire and might feel compelled to go along with the GOP on the most obvious issues - like securing the border. So I’d say one chamber + Trump = success.

The other thing that I am thrilled with is that the polls are all indicating a Trump win, including every swing state. That means that another attempt to steal the election would be obvious, and if they tried it and succeeded, there would be a major revolt in this country against the Dem Regime preventing the American people from selecting the president.

This, plus Israel’s recent successes, has me feeling more upbeat about the situation than I’ve been in months.

I plan to early vote next week.

 

[Hellokitty]

Either way, what I fear most whether Trump wins by 2% or 20%, whether he wins the popular vote too or just sweeps the Electoral College, is the looming backlash of a trained, hateful, vitriolic, terroristic crowd of pathetic leftist loons brainwashed by their professor media cult leaders into ravaging and destroying the countryside because they didn't get their way in stupidly electing their false god Marxist hand-puppet bitch because they wanted a godless, sneering, arrogant dark-skinned female leader who would give them free abortions up to including one year after the birth.

You know, in case they change their minds and find out raising a child puts a kink into their degenerate lives of wanton libidinous sex and cheap drugs.

If TRUMP is able to clean house in the DOJ and IC communities he'll be able to go after democrats in blue states and cities who are not upholding laws.

 

[1srelluc]

 

[boevans]

This is the flag and parade the Trumpers' are preparing for victory.

 

[Mashmont]

Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still a toss-up​

Fri, October 18, 2024, 3:00 PM CDT

The closest election of the century keeps getting closer. Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. Now — just 18 days away from Election Day — our forecast gives Trump the bare advantage in the race with a 52-in-100 chance to win.*

Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still a toss-up

Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to make a big deal about our forecast "flipping" to Trump, but it's important to remember that a...

www.yahoo.com

He's also ahead in Nate Silver's forecast. Many forecasts don't have Harris leading in any of the swing states. Tied in a couple, but not leading.

 

[Mashmont]

This is the flag and parade the Trumpers' are preparing for victory.

View attachment 1028797

Nazis are leftists. You knew that, right?

 

[crossbody]

Nazis are leftists. You knew that, right?

The KKK created the entire democrat party. They tricked and threatened the blacks to help vote them into power. Blacks are still mentally and psychologically trapped on that democrat plantation.

 

[boevans]

The KKK created the entire democrat party. They tricked and threatened the blacks to help vote them into power. Blacks are still mentally and psychologically trapped on that democrat plantation.

Did you go to Fascist U?