JLW
Diamond Member
- Sep 16, 2012
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So says, Orlando Ochoa, a Caracas-based economist and a visiting fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, in the Wall Street Journal this evening.
“What the U.S. needs to do is to implement a form of a Marshall Plan,” said Ochoa, referring to the economic program that helped rebuild Europe after World War II. “This is about much more than coming into the oil and gas sector just to extract crude from the ground.”
He said that includes drafting a broad economic stabilization plan to attract the financing Venezuela badly needs from multilateral lenders to rebuild infrastructure and rusted oil-field installations. Local laws need to be modified to allow private energy firms to operate without state overreach, he added. And the government has to restructure some $160 billion in debt and settle pending arbitration cases with foreign companies to convince them to come back.
One American oil executive with a long history of working in Venezuela said the U.S. government may have done the easy part by removing Maduro. But it remains to be seen whether a transitional government could grant the security and stability needed for foreign oil companies to return to Venezuela en masse, the executive said…
But getting foreign companies to flock back to Venezuela will be a massive challenge. Chevron is the only major U.S. oil company there and is the country’s largest foreign investor. Other oil executives will be forced to gauge the stability on the ground in a country where the industry has fallen into disarray after more than two decades of mismanagement and corruption.
The other obstacle facing Trump’s effort to put more of Venezuela’s viscous crude into the global market is that the world doesn’t have much of an appetite for more oil. U.S. oil prices are languishing below $60 a barrel, a level that discourages investment for most American producers. Global supplies are expected to continue rising this year.
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So what I am reading is the idea of oil paying for the US occupation of Venezuela is a pipe dream. Venezuela will need a massive transformation to get oil companies to invest in the country given all the issues involved, specifically, corruption, obsolete infrastructure and equipment, instability, crime and security.
So how much should the US spend on this new Marshall plan? $10 billion, a $100 billion, a trillion dollars?
Seems to me that Trump, like everything he does, did not think this military operation through.
“What the U.S. needs to do is to implement a form of a Marshall Plan,” said Ochoa, referring to the economic program that helped rebuild Europe after World War II. “This is about much more than coming into the oil and gas sector just to extract crude from the ground.”
He said that includes drafting a broad economic stabilization plan to attract the financing Venezuela badly needs from multilateral lenders to rebuild infrastructure and rusted oil-field installations. Local laws need to be modified to allow private energy firms to operate without state overreach, he added. And the government has to restructure some $160 billion in debt and settle pending arbitration cases with foreign companies to convince them to come back.
One American oil executive with a long history of working in Venezuela said the U.S. government may have done the easy part by removing Maduro. But it remains to be seen whether a transitional government could grant the security and stability needed for foreign oil companies to return to Venezuela en masse, the executive said…
But getting foreign companies to flock back to Venezuela will be a massive challenge. Chevron is the only major U.S. oil company there and is the country’s largest foreign investor. Other oil executives will be forced to gauge the stability on the ground in a country where the industry has fallen into disarray after more than two decades of mismanagement and corruption.
The other obstacle facing Trump’s effort to put more of Venezuela’s viscous crude into the global market is that the world doesn’t have much of an appetite for more oil. U.S. oil prices are languishing below $60 a barrel, a level that discourages investment for most American producers. Global supplies are expected to continue rising this year.
*******************************
So what I am reading is the idea of oil paying for the US occupation of Venezuela is a pipe dream. Venezuela will need a massive transformation to get oil companies to invest in the country given all the issues involved, specifically, corruption, obsolete infrastructure and equipment, instability, crime and security.
So how much should the US spend on this new Marshall plan? $10 billion, a $100 billion, a trillion dollars?
Seems to me that Trump, like everything he does, did not think this military operation through.
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